The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Will the U.S. grant CAATSA sanctions relief to Turkey this year?

2 venues · 5 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

3 outcomes · $56K reported volume

Observed 4m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 1, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

2 outcomes · $6K reported volume

Observed 3m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Before Jan 1, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

39.0%

Bid 39.0% · Ask 44.0%

Before Jan 1, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Oct 1, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Before Oct 1, 2026 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

December 31

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

29.0%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 36.0%

December 31

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

July 31

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

July 31 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

October 31

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

23.5%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 39.0%

October 31

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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