The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?

1 venue · 5 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

5 outcomes · $303K reported volume

Observed 4m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2030

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Before Jan 1, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.5%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 9.0%

Before Jan 1, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Jan 1, 2028

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

18.0%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 22.0%

Before Jan 1, 2028

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Jan 1, 2029

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

30.0%

Bid 28.0% · Ask 32.0%

Before Jan 1, 2029

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Jan 1, 2030

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

43.0%

Bid 43.0% · Ask 46.0%

Before Jan 1, 2030

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Jul 1, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.9%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 1.9%

Before Jul 1, 2026 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.