The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran?

2 venues · 4 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

3 outcomes · $317K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

2 outcomes · $356K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Observed 9m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Before 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.2%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 2.9%

Before 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Before 2028

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

14.0%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 14.0%

Before 2028

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Before September 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Before September 2026 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Yes

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

3.0%

Bid 1.7% · Ask 4.4%

Yes

Open Polymarket ↗

3.0%

Bid 2.3% · Ask 3.8%

Yes

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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