Market comparison

Will Trump declare a national emergency?

2 venues · 8 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

2 outcomes · $221K reported volume

Observed 53s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

6 outcomes · $4K reported volume

Observed 53s ago

Recorded venue end date: Apr 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Will Trump declare a national emergency?
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Before Apr 1, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	64.0% Bid 59.0% · Ask 69.0% Before Apr 1, 2027 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Before Dec 1, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	40.0% Bid 37.0% · Ask 46.0% Before Dec 1, 2026 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Before Dec 29, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 0.0% Before Dec 29, 2026 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Before Jan 1, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	57.0% Bid 52.0% · Ask 58.0% Before Jan 1, 2027 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Before Nov 1, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	29.0% Bid 21.0% · Ask 31.0% Before Nov 1, 2026 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Before Oct 1, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Before Oct 1, 2026 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
December 31 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	27.5% Bid 26.0% · Ask 29.0% December 31 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
July 17 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.2% July 17 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Before Apr 1, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

64.0%

Bid 59.0% · Ask 69.0%

Before Apr 1, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Dec 1, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

40.0%

Bid 37.0% · Ask 46.0%

Before Dec 1, 2026

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Dec 29, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 0.0%

Before Dec 29, 2026

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Jan 1, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

57.0%

Bid 52.0% · Ask 58.0%

Before Jan 1, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Nov 1, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

29.0%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 31.0%

Before Nov 1, 2026

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Oct 1, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

7.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Before Oct 1, 2026 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

December 31

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

27.5%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 29.0%

December 31

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

July 17

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.2%

July 17 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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