Market comparison

Will Trump go on SNL during his second term?

2 venues · 2 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

1 outcomes · $113K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 20, 2029

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

1 outcomes · $27K reported volume

Observed 9m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 20, 2029

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Will Trump go on SNL during his second term?
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Before 2029 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	16.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 16.0% Before 2029 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Yes Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	78.5% Bid 76.0% · Ask 81.0% Yes Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Before 2029

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

16.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 16.0%

Before 2029

Open Kalshi ↗

Yes

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

78.5%

Bid 76.0% · Ask 81.0%

Yes

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

View event details, charts and rules →Explore more markets