The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Will Trump impose martial law before his term ends?

2 venues · 4 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

1 outcomes · $113K reported volume

Observed 8m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 20, 2029

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

3 outcomes · $92K reported volume

Observed 3m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 20, 2029

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Before Jan 1, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

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Kalshi

28.0%

Bid 24.0% · Ask 28.0%

Before Jan 1, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Jan 1, 2028

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

34.0%

Bid 28.0% · Ask 35.0%

Before Jan 1, 2028

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Jan 20, 2029

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

39.0%

Bid 38.0% · Ask 39.0%

Before Jan 20, 2029

Open Kalshi ↗

Yes

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

78.5%

Bid 76.0% · Ask 81.0%

Yes

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

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Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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