The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Will Trump try to fire Kevin Warsh?

2 venues · 5 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

4 outcomes · $33K reported volume

Observed 51s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2028

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

1 outcomes · $30K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Before Jan 1, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 5.0%

Before Jan 1, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Before Jan 1, 2028

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

20.0%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 32.0%

Before Jan 1, 2028

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Before Jul 1, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

10.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 14.0%

Before Jul 1, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Before Sep 1, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Before Sep 1, 2026 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Yes

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

2.8%

Bid 2.1% · Ask 3.4%

Yes

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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