Market comparison

Will Trump visit China?

2 venues · 8 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

7 outcomes · $527K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 1, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

2 outcomes · $14K reported volume

Observed 5m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Will Trump visit China?
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Before Dec 1, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	85.0% Bid 85.0% · Ask 88.0% Before Dec 1, 2026 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Before Jan 1, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	87.0% Bid 87.0% · Ask 93.0% Before Jan 1, 2027 Open Kalshi ↗	—
December 31 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.5% Bid 8.0% · Ask 9.0% December 31 Open Polymarket ↗ 7.5% Bid 6.6% · Ask 8.4% December 31 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
June 30 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.1% June 30 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
March 31 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.1% March 31 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
October 31 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.6% Bid 0.5% · Ask 0.7% October 31 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
September 30 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.1% September 30 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Yes Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.3% Bid 1.4% · Ask 3.1% Yes Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Before Dec 1, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

85.0%

Bid 85.0% · Ask 88.0%

Before Dec 1, 2026

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Jan 1, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

87.0%

Bid 87.0% · Ask 93.0%

Before Jan 1, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

December 31

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.5%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 9.0%

December 31

Open Polymarket ↗

7.5%

Bid 6.6% · Ask 8.4%

December 31

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

June 30

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

June 30 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

March 31

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

March 31 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

October 31

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 0.7%

October 31

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

September 30

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

September 30 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Yes

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.3%

Bid 1.4% · Ask 3.1%

Yes

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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