Market comparison

Will Trump visit North Korea by...?

2 venues · 30 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

28 outcomes · $524K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Observed 6m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

2 outcomes · $167K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Will Trump visit North Korea by...?
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Before Dec 1, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	85.0% Bid 85.0% · Ask 88.0% Before Dec 1, 2026 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Before Jan 1, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	87.0% Bid 87.0% · Ask 93.0% Before Jan 1, 2027 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Canada Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 3.6% Canada Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
China Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.9% Bid 99.8% · Ask 100.0% China · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Cuba Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.5% Bid 5.3% · Ask 8.8% Cuba Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
December 31 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.5% Bid 6.6% · Ask 8.4% December 31 Open Polymarket ↗	—
Denmark Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.5% Bid 4.5% · Ask 8.9% Denmark Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
France Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.9% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% France · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Germany Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 13.0% Germany Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Hungary Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.8% Bid 3.8% · Ask 6.5% Hungary Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
India Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.0% Bid 5.3% · Ask 8.3% India Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Israel Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.8% Bid 9.2% · Ask 9.8% Israel Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Italy Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.9% Bid 5.8% · Ask 7.9% Italy Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Japan Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 16.0% Japan Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
June 30 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.1% June 30 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Mexico Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.5% Bid 5.3% · Ask 5.5% Mexico Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
North Korea Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.1% Bid 7.0% · Ask 7.1% North Korea Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Norway Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 10.0% Norway Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Pakistan Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 5.0% Pakistan Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Palestine Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.5% Bid 3.5% · Ask 3.6% Palestine Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Poland Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.7% Bid 2.0% · Ask 6.8% Poland Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Qatar Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.9% Bid 3.7% · Ask 8.7% Qatar Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Russia Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.3% Bid 5.3% · Ask 6.9% Russia Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Saudi Arabia Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 16.0% Saudi Arabia Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Switzerland Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Switzerland · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Taiwan Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.1% Bid 1.1% · Ask 2.6% Taiwan Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Turkey Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	97.0% Bid 92.0% · Ask 97.0% Turkey · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Ukraine Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.6% Bid 2.4% · Ask 4.1% Ukraine Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Vatican City Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.7% Bid 3.3% · Ask 6.7% Vatican City Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Venezuela Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.3% Bid 6.3% · Ask 9.0% Venezuela Open Kalshi ↗	—	—

Before Dec 1, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

85.0%

Bid 85.0% · Ask 88.0%

Before Dec 1, 2026

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Before Jan 1, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

87.0%

Bid 87.0% · Ask 93.0%

Before Jan 1, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Canada

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 3.6%

Canada

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

China

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.9%

Bid 99.8% · Ask 100.0%

China · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Cuba

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.5%

Bid 5.3% · Ask 8.8%

Cuba

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

December 31

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

7.5%

Bid 6.6% · Ask 8.4%

December 31

Open Polymarket ↗

Denmark

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.5%

Bid 4.5% · Ask 8.9%

Denmark

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

France

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.9%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

France · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Germany

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

12.0%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 13.0%

Germany

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Hungary

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

3.8%

Bid 3.8% · Ask 6.5%

Hungary

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

India

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 5.3% · Ask 8.3%

India

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Israel

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

9.8%

Bid 9.2% · Ask 9.8%

Israel

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Italy

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

7.9%

Bid 5.8% · Ask 7.9%

Italy

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Japan

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

16.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 16.0%

Japan

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

June 30

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

June 30 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Mexico

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.5%

Bid 5.3% · Ask 5.5%

Mexico

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

North Korea

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

7.1%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 7.1%

North Korea

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Norway

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

10.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 10.0%

Norway

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Pakistan

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 5.0%

Pakistan

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Palestine

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

3.5%

Bid 3.5% · Ask 3.6%

Palestine

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Poland

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.7%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 6.8%

Poland

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Qatar

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

3.9%

Bid 3.7% · Ask 8.7%

Qatar

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Russia

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.3%

Bid 5.3% · Ask 6.9%

Russia

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Saudi Arabia

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 16.0%

Saudi Arabia

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Switzerland

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Switzerland · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Taiwan

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.1%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 2.6%

Taiwan

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Turkey

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

97.0%

Bid 92.0% · Ask 97.0%

Turkey · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Ukraine

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.6%

Bid 2.4% · Ask 4.1%

Ukraine

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Vatican City

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.7%

Bid 3.3% · Ask 6.7%

Vatican City

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Venezuela

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.3%

Bid 6.3% · Ask 9.0%

Venezuela

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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