The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Will Ukraine become an EU associate member in 2026?

2 venues · 4 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

3 outcomes · $9K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

1 outcomes · $4K reported volume

Observed 5m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

December 31, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.1%

Bid 4.3% · Ask 5.9%

December 31, 2026

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

December 31, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

22.5%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 25.0%

December 31, 2027

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

June 30, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

16.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 17.0%

June 30, 2027

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Yes

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 9.0%

Yes

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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