Market comparison

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?

1 venue · 3 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

3 outcomes · $4.4M reported volume

Observed 32s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?
Outcome	Polymarket	Difference
December 31 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.8% Bid 2.6% · Ask 2.9% December 31 Open Polymarket ↗	—
June 30 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.1% June 30 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
June 30, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.5% Bid 8.0% · Ask 9.0% June 30, 2027 Open Polymarket ↗	—

December 31

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.8%

Bid 2.6% · Ask 2.9%

December 31

Open Polymarket ↗

June 30

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

June 30 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

June 30, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.5%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 9.0%

June 30, 2027

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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