Market comparison

Winnipeg mayoral election winner?

2 venues · 14 outcome rows · 9 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

37 outcomes · $35K reported volume

Observed 50s ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 29, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $8K reported volume

Observed 50s ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 28, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

Known rule differences between venues

Generic non-US election template: rules are not uniform across events and need a per-event rules comparison before parity can be claimed.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Winnipeg mayoral election winner?
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Christopher Clacio Identity matched The outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Christopher Clacio Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0% Christopher Clacio Open Kalshi ↗	0.9 pp
Don Woodstock Identity matched The outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.	0.8% Bid 0.4% · Ask 1.1% Don Woodstock Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0% Don Woodstock Open Kalshi ↗	0.3 pp
Johnny Calderon Identity matched The outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Johnny Calderon Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0% Johnny Calderon Open Kalshi ↗	0.9 pp
Joshua Pagdato Identity matched The outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Joshua Pagdato Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0% Joshua Pagdato Open Kalshi ↗	0.9 pp
Kevin Klein Identity matched The outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.	5.6% Bid 2.8% · Ask 8.4% Kevin Klein Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.0% Kevin Klein Open Kalshi ↗	4.6 pp
Mazher Alam Identity matched The outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.	3.3% Bid 0.7% · Ask 5.9% Mazher Alam Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Mazher Alam Open Kalshi ↗	2.3 pp
Noah Redden Identity matched The outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.	1.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 2.1% Noah Redden Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.0% Noah Redden Open Kalshi ↗	0.1 pp
Scott Gillingham Identity matched The outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.	91.5% Bid 90.0% · Ask 93.0% Scott Gillingham Open Polymarket ↗	92.0% Bid 90.0% · Ask 92.0% Scott Gillingham Open Kalshi ↗	0.5 pp
Umar Hayat Identity matched The outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Umar Hayat Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.0% Umar Hayat Open Kalshi ↗	0.9 pp
Brad Gross Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Brad Gross Open Kalshi ↗	—
Michael Vogiatzakis Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.3% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.4% Michael Vogiatzakis Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Michael Vogiatzakis Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0% Mike Vogiatzakis Open Kalshi ↗	—
Tracey Drexler Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.0% Tracey Drexler Open Kalshi ↗	—
Zachary Uminski Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Zachary Uminski Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Christopher Clacio

Identity matched

The outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Christopher Clacio

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Christopher Clacio

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.9 pp

Don Woodstock

Identity matched

The outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.

Polymarket

0.8%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 1.1%

Don Woodstock

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0%

Don Woodstock

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.3 pp

Johnny Calderon

Identity matched

The outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Johnny Calderon

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Johnny Calderon

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.9 pp

Joshua Pagdato

Identity matched

The outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Joshua Pagdato

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Joshua Pagdato

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.9 pp

Kevin Klein

Identity matched

The outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.

Polymarket

5.6%

Bid 2.8% · Ask 8.4%

Kevin Klein

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.0%

Kevin Klein

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 4.6 pp

Mazher Alam

Identity matched

The outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.

Polymarket

3.3%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 5.9%

Mazher Alam

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Mazher Alam

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 2.3 pp

Noah Redden

Identity matched

The outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 2.1%

Noah Redden

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.0%

Noah Redden

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.1 pp

Scott Gillingham

Identity matched

The outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.

Polymarket

91.5%

Bid 90.0% · Ask 93.0%

Scott Gillingham

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

92.0%

Bid 90.0% · Ask 92.0%

Scott Gillingham

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.5 pp

Umar Hayat

Identity matched

The outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Umar Hayat

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.0%

Umar Hayat

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.9 pp

Brad Gross

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Brad Gross

Open Kalshi ↗

Michael Vogiatzakis

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.4%

Michael Vogiatzakis

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Michael Vogiatzakis

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Mike Vogiatzakis

Open Kalshi ↗

Tracey Drexler

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.0%

Tracey Drexler

Open Kalshi ↗

Zachary Uminski

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Zachary Uminski

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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