Market comparison
Wizards vs. Bulls
2 venues · 68 outcome rows · 1 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active
Kalshi
Open venue ↗2 outcomes · $4K reported volume
Observed 1m ago
Recorded venue end date: Oct 27, 2026
Polymarket
Open venue ↗67 outcomes · $1K reported volume
Observed 43s ago
Recorded venue end date: Oct 25, 2026
Known rule differences between venues
- Postponement: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time (tennis: not finished within two weeks); Polymarket stays open until the game is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up (UFC/tennis: ~14 days).
- Ties and draws in two-way sports (NFL, college football, UFC no-contest): both venues pay 50/50.
- Soccer: both settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties excluded.
- Tennis: Kalshi requires a ball to be played and pays the winner; Polymarket pays the player who advances, including on retirement. A pre-match walkover is a fair price on Kalshi, 50-50 on Polymarket.
- UFC: Kalshi ignores result changes after expiry; Polymarket follows the official UFC result.
- Polymarket two-way moneylines are one contract priced on the first-named side; the other side is its complement (recorded as a derived relation, not a link).
A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.
| Outcome | Kalshi | Polymarket | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
Washington Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 1.5 pp | ||
Chicago Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
O/U 213.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
O/U 215.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
O/U 217.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
O/U 219.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
O/U 221.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
O/U 223.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
O/U 225.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
O/U 227.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
O/U 229.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
O/U 230.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
O/U 231.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
O/U 233.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
O/U 235.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
O/U 236.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
O/U 237.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
O/U 238.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
O/U 239.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
O/U 241.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
O/U 242.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
O/U 243.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
O/U 244.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
O/U 246.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
O/U 249.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
O/U 252.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
O/U 255.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Odd/Even Score Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Overtime? Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Race to 10 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Race to 20 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Race to 30 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Spread -5.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Spread -7.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Spread -8.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Spread -10.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Spread -11.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Spread -13.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Spread -14.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Spread -15.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Spread -16.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Spread -17.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Spread -18.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Spread -19.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Spread -20.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Spread -21.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Spread -22.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Spread -23.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Spread -24.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Spread -25.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Spread -26.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Spread -27.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Spread -29.5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Spread: Bulls (-1.5) Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Spread: Bulls (-2.5) Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Spread: Bulls (-3.5) Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Spread: Bulls (-4.5) Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Spread: Bulls (-6.5) Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Spread: Bulls (-9.5) Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Spread: Bulls (-12.5) Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Spread: Wizards (-1.5) Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Spread: Wizards (-2.5) Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Spread: Wizards (-3.5) Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Spread: Wizards (-4.5) Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Spread: Wizards (-6.5) Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Spread: Wizards (-9.5) Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Spread: Wizards (-12.5) Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Team to Score First Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — |
Washington
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 1.5 pp
Chicago
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
O/U 213.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
O/U 215.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
O/U 217.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
O/U 219.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
O/U 221.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
O/U 223.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
O/U 225.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
O/U 227.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
O/U 229.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
O/U 230.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
O/U 231.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
O/U 233.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
O/U 235.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
O/U 236.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
O/U 237.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
O/U 238.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
O/U 239.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
O/U 241.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
O/U 242.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
O/U 243.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
O/U 244.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
O/U 246.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
O/U 249.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
O/U 252.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
O/U 255.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Odd/Even Score
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Overtime?
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Race to 10
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Race to 20
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Race to 30
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Spread -5.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Spread -7.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Spread -8.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Spread -10.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Spread -11.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Spread -13.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Spread -14.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Spread -15.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Spread -16.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Spread -17.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Spread -18.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Spread -19.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Spread -20.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Spread -21.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Spread -22.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Spread -23.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Spread -24.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Spread -25.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Spread -26.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Spread -27.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Spread -29.5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Spread: Bulls (-1.5)
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Spread: Bulls (-2.5)
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Spread: Bulls (-3.5)
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Spread: Bulls (-4.5)
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Spread: Bulls (-6.5)
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Spread: Bulls (-9.5)
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Spread: Bulls (-12.5)
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Spread: Wizards (-1.5)
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Spread: Wizards (-2.5)
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Spread: Wizards (-3.5)
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Spread: Wizards (-4.5)
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Spread: Wizards (-6.5)
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Spread: Wizards (-9.5)
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Spread: Wizards (-12.5)
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Team to Score First
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.