The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Wizards vs. Bulls

2 venues · 68 outcome rows · 1 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

2 outcomes · $4K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 27, 2026

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

67 outcomes · $1K reported volume

Observed 43s ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 25, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

Known rule differences between venues

  • Postponement: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time (tennis: not finished within two weeks); Polymarket stays open until the game is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up (UFC/tennis: ~14 days).
  • Ties and draws in two-way sports (NFL, college football, UFC no-contest): both venues pay 50/50.
  • Soccer: both settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties excluded.
  • Tennis: Kalshi requires a ball to be played and pays the winner; Polymarket pays the player who advances, including on retirement. A pre-match walkover is a fair price on Kalshi, 50-50 on Polymarket.
  • UFC: Kalshi ignores result changes after expiry; Polymarket follows the official UFC result.
  • Polymarket two-way moneylines are one contract priced on the first-named side; the other side is its complement (recorded as a derived relation, not a link).

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Washington

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

52.0%

Bid 52.0% · Ask 54.0%

Washington

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

53.5%

Bid 53.0% · Ask 54.0%

Wizards vs. Bulls

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.5 pp

Chicago

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

47.0%

Bid 46.0% · Ask 47.0%

Chicago

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

O/U 213.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 97.0%

O/U 213.5

Open Polymarket ↗

O/U 215.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 97.0%

O/U 215.5

Open Polymarket ↗

O/U 217.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 97.0%

O/U 217.5

Open Polymarket ↗

O/U 219.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 97.0%

O/U 219.5

Open Polymarket ↗

O/U 221.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 97.0%

O/U 221.5

Open Polymarket ↗

O/U 223.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 97.0%

O/U 223.5

Open Polymarket ↗

O/U 225.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 97.0%

O/U 225.5

Open Polymarket ↗

O/U 227.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 97.0%

O/U 227.5

Open Polymarket ↗

O/U 229.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 97.0%

O/U 229.5

Open Polymarket ↗

O/U 230.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.5%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 97.0%

O/U 230.5

Open Polymarket ↗

O/U 231.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 97.0%

O/U 231.5

Open Polymarket ↗

O/U 233.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 97.0%

O/U 233.5

Open Polymarket ↗

O/U 235.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 97.0%

O/U 235.5

Open Polymarket ↗

O/U 236.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

51.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 97.0%

O/U 236.5

Open Polymarket ↗

O/U 237.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 97.0%

O/U 237.5

Open Polymarket ↗

O/U 238.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 97.0%

O/U 238.5

Open Polymarket ↗

O/U 239.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.5%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 97.0%

O/U 239.5

Open Polymarket ↗

O/U 241.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.5%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 97.0%

O/U 241.5

Open Polymarket ↗

O/U 242.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 97.0%

O/U 242.5

Open Polymarket ↗

O/U 243.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

49.5%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 96.0%

O/U 243.5

Open Polymarket ↗

O/U 244.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

49.5%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 96.0%

O/U 244.5

Open Polymarket ↗

O/U 246.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

49.5%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 96.0%

O/U 246.5

Open Polymarket ↗

O/U 249.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

49.5%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 96.0%

O/U 249.5

Open Polymarket ↗

O/U 252.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

49.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 95.0%

O/U 252.5

Open Polymarket ↗

O/U 255.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

49.5%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 96.0%

O/U 255.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Odd/Even Score

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 97.0%

Odd/Even Score

Open Polymarket ↗

Overtime?

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 97.0%

Overtime?

Open Polymarket ↗

Race to 10

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 97.0%

Race to 10

Open Polymarket ↗

Race to 20

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 97.0%

Race to 20

Open Polymarket ↗

Race to 30

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 97.0%

Race to 30

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread -5.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

34.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 65.0%

Spread -5.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread -7.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

29.5%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 56.0%

Spread -7.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread -8.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

48.5%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 92.0%

Spread -8.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread -10.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

47.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 89.0%

Spread -10.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread -11.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

32.5%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 62.0%

Spread -11.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread -13.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

29.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 55.0%

Spread -13.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread -14.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

47.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 89.0%

Spread -14.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread -15.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

29.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 55.0%

Spread -15.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread -16.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

47.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 89.0%

Spread -16.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread -17.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

29.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 55.0%

Spread -17.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread -18.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

47.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 89.0%

Spread -18.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread -19.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

30.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 57.0%

Spread -19.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread -20.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

48.5%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 92.0%

Spread -20.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread -21.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

30.5%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 58.0%

Spread -21.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread -22.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

49.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 93.0%

Spread -22.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread -23.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

30.5%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 58.0%

Spread -23.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread -24.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

47.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 89.0%

Spread -24.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread -25.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

29.5%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 56.0%

Spread -25.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread -26.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

48.5%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 92.0%

Spread -26.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread -27.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

31.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 59.0%

Spread -27.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread -29.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

29.5%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 56.0%

Spread -29.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread: Bulls (-1.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

45.5%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 86.0%

Spread: Bulls (-1.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread: Bulls (-2.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

48.5%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 92.0%

Spread: Bulls (-2.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread: Bulls (-3.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

47.5%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 90.0%

Spread: Bulls (-3.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread: Bulls (-4.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

47.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 89.0%

Spread: Bulls (-4.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread: Bulls (-6.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

47.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 89.0%

Spread: Bulls (-6.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread: Bulls (-9.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

47.5%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 90.0%

Spread: Bulls (-9.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread: Bulls (-12.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

47.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 89.0%

Spread: Bulls (-12.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread: Wizards (-1.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

29.5%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 52.0%

Spread: Wizards (-1.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread: Wizards (-2.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

49.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 93.0%

Spread: Wizards (-2.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread: Wizards (-3.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

29.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 55.0%

Spread: Wizards (-3.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread: Wizards (-4.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

28.5%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 54.0%

Spread: Wizards (-4.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread: Wizards (-6.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

29.5%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 56.0%

Spread: Wizards (-6.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread: Wizards (-9.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

29.5%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 56.0%

Spread: Wizards (-9.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread: Wizards (-12.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

29.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 55.0%

Spread: Wizards (-12.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Team to Score First

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 97.0%

Team to Score First

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.