Market comparison

Wyoming Governor margin of victory

2 venues · 25 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $43K reported volume

Observed 40s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

14 outcomes · $10K reported volume

Observed 40s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Wyoming Governor margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Barlow, 19+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	95.8% Bid 94.0% · Ask 98.1% Barlow, 19+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Barlow, 22+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	95.4% Bid 75.0% · Ask 98.1% Barlow, 22+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Barlow, 25+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	95.1% Bid 75.0% · Ask 98.1% Barlow, 25+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Barlow, 28+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	91.8% Bid 36.0% · Ask 97.9% Barlow, 28+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Barlow, 31+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	89.0% Bid 3.9% · Ask 97.9% Barlow, 31+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Barlow, 34+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	84.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 90.9% Barlow, 34+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Barlow, 37+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	67.0% Bid 67.0% · Ask 79.0% Barlow, 37+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Barlow, 40+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	54.0% Bid 48.0% · Ask 60.0% Barlow, 40+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Barlow, 43+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	37.0% Bid 36.0% · Ask 38.0% Barlow, 43+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Barlow, 46+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	21.0% Bid 9.2% · Ask 21.0% Barlow, 46+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Barlow, 49+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	8.9% Bid 1.1% · Ask 9.9% Barlow, 49+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Barlow, 52+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.1% Bid 1.1% · Ask 7.1% Barlow, 52+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Barlow, 55+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.0% Barlow, 55+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Barlow, 58+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.0% Barlow, 58+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democrat Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Democrat Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 0-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.5% Bid 0.7% · Ask 4.2% Republican 0-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.6% Bid 0.8% · Ask 6.5% Republican 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.9% Bid 1.0% · Ask 10.8% Republican 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.6% Bid 0.9% · Ask 8.3% Republican 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 10.0% Republican 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.0% Bid 15.0% · Ask 21.0% Republican 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 35-40% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 15.0% Republican 35-40% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 40-45% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	22.1% Bid 21.2% · Ask 23.0% Republican 40-45% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 45-50% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	23.5% Bid 19.6% · Ask 27.5% Republican 45-50% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 50%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.4% Bid 1.9% · Ask 13.0% Republican 50%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Barlow, 19+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

95.8%

Bid 94.0% · Ask 98.1%

Barlow, 19+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Barlow, 22+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

95.4%

Bid 75.0% · Ask 98.1%

Barlow, 22+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Barlow, 25+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

95.1%

Bid 75.0% · Ask 98.1%

Barlow, 25+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Barlow, 28+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

91.8%

Bid 36.0% · Ask 97.9%

Barlow, 28+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Barlow, 31+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

89.0%

Bid 3.9% · Ask 97.9%

Barlow, 31+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Barlow, 34+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

84.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 90.9%

Barlow, 34+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Barlow, 37+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

67.0%

Bid 67.0% · Ask 79.0%

Barlow, 37+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Barlow, 40+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

54.0%

Bid 48.0% · Ask 60.0%

Barlow, 40+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Barlow, 43+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

37.0%

Bid 36.0% · Ask 38.0%

Barlow, 43+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Barlow, 46+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

21.0%

Bid 9.2% · Ask 21.0%

Barlow, 46+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Barlow, 49+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

8.9%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 9.9%

Barlow, 49+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Barlow, 52+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

7.1%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 7.1%

Barlow, 52+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Barlow, 55+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

3.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.0%

Barlow, 55+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Barlow, 58+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

3.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.0%

Barlow, 58+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Democrat Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Democrat Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 0-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.5%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 4.2%

Republican 0-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.6%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 6.5%

Republican 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.9%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 10.8%

Republican 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.6%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 8.3%

Republican 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 10.0%

Republican 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 21.0%

Republican 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 35-40%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

9.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 15.0%

Republican 35-40%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 40-45%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

22.1%

Bid 21.2% · Ask 23.0%

Republican 40-45%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 45-50%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

23.5%

Bid 19.6% · Ask 27.5%

Republican 45-50%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 50%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.4%

Bid 1.9% · Ask 13.0%

Republican 50%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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