Market comparison

Wyoming Senate margin of victory

2 venues · 22 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $25K reported volume

Observed 51s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $8K reported volume

Observed 51s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Wyoming Senate margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.8% Bid 0.6% · Ask 1.0% Democrat Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Hageman, 26+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	91.3% Bid 85.0% · Ask 94.8% Hageman, 26+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Hageman, 28+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	89.0% Bid 82.0% · Ask 89.0% Hageman, 28+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Hageman, 30+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	81.0% Bid 72.0% · Ask 84.0% Hageman, 30+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Hageman, 32+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	75.0% Bid 66.0% · Ask 76.0% Hageman, 32+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Hageman, 34+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	63.0% Bid 54.0% · Ask 63.0% Hageman, 34+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Hageman, 36+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	51.0% Bid 45.0% · Ask 55.0% Hageman, 36+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Hageman, 38+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	40.0% Bid 33.0% · Ask 45.0% Hageman, 38+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Hageman, 40+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	24.0% Bid 24.0% · Ask 36.0% Hageman, 40+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Hageman, 42+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	16.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 27.0% Hageman, 42+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Hageman, 44+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	18.0% Bid 8.6% · Ask 18.0% Hageman, 44+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Hageman, 46+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	14.0% Bid 4.6% · Ask 14.0% Hageman, 46+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican 0-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.7% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.1% Republican 0-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.5% Bid 0.8% · Ask 4.2% Republican 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.5% Bid 3.0% · Ask 7.9% Republican 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.5% Bid 1.8% · Ask 5.3% Republican 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.2% Bid 3.8% · Ask 8.5% Republican 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.5% Bid 14.0% · Ask 17.0% Republican 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 35-40% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	21.5% Bid 20.0% · Ask 23.0% Republican 35-40% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 40-45% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	19.5% Bid 19.0% · Ask 20.0% Republican 40-45% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 45-50% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.5% Bid 6.0% · Ask 11.0% Republican 45-50% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 50%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.0% Bid 14.5% · Ask 15.6% Republican 50%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.8%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 1.0%

Democrat Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Hageman, 26+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

91.3%

Bid 85.0% · Ask 94.8%

Hageman, 26+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Hageman, 28+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

89.0%

Bid 82.0% · Ask 89.0%

Hageman, 28+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Hageman, 30+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

81.0%

Bid 72.0% · Ask 84.0%

Hageman, 30+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Hageman, 32+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

75.0%

Bid 66.0% · Ask 76.0%

Hageman, 32+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Hageman, 34+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

63.0%

Bid 54.0% · Ask 63.0%

Hageman, 34+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Hageman, 36+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

51.0%

Bid 45.0% · Ask 55.0%

Hageman, 36+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Hageman, 38+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

40.0%

Bid 33.0% · Ask 45.0%

Hageman, 38+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Hageman, 40+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

24.0%

Bid 24.0% · Ask 36.0%

Hageman, 40+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Hageman, 42+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

16.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 27.0%

Hageman, 42+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Hageman, 44+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

18.0%

Bid 8.6% · Ask 18.0%

Hageman, 44+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Hageman, 46+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

14.0%

Bid 4.6% · Ask 14.0%

Hageman, 46+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican 0-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.7%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.1%

Republican 0-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.5%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 4.2%

Republican 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.5%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 7.9%

Republican 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 1.8% · Ask 5.3%

Republican 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.2%

Bid 3.8% · Ask 8.5%

Republican 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

15.5%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 17.0%

Republican 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 35-40%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

21.5%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 23.0%

Republican 35-40%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 40-45%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

19.5%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 20.0%

Republican 40-45%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 45-50%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.5%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 11.0%

Republican 45-50%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 50%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

15.0%

Bid 14.5% · Ask 15.6%

Republican 50%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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