The Prediction Markets

2026 FIFA World Cup: Player to make Brazil Squad

Closed
Jun 2, 2026
Traded
$73K
Venues
Polymarket
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This market has closed

Trading ended on Jun 2, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 159 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Ederson
97.5%
Polymarket 97.5%polled, 3823 h agoBest Yes 98.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ederson
Last price
97.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
98.9¢
Sell Yes
96.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Vinícius Júnior
97.4%
Polymarket 97.4%polled, 3823 h agoBest Yes 99.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Vinícius Júnior
Last price
97.4%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
99.7¢
Sell Yes
95¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$27
Trade this on Polymarket
Danilo Luiz da Silva
97.1%
Polymarket 97.1%polled, 3823 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Danilo Luiz da Silva
Last price
97.1%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
95.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$693
Trade this on Polymarket
Marquinhos
96.5%
Polymarket 96.5%polled, 3823 h agoBest Yes 99.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Marquinhos
Last price
96.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
99.9¢
Sell Yes
93.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$144
Trade this on Polymarket
Gabriel Magalhães
96.1%
Polymarket 96.1%polled, 3823 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gabriel Magalhães
Last price
96.1%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
93.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$18
Trade this on Polymarket
Matheus Cunha
96%
Polymarket 96%polled, 3823 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
Matheus Cunha
Last price
96%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
92¢
Volume
$17
Trade this on Polymarket
Luiz Henrique
94.6%
Polymarket 94.6%polled, 3823 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Luiz Henrique
Last price
94.6%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
90.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$329
Trade this on Polymarket
Alisson
93.5%
Polymarket 93.5%polled, 3823 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
Alisson
Last price
93.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
87¢
Volume
$125
Trade this on Polymarket
Bruno Guimarães
93.5%
Polymarket 93.5%polled, 3823 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
Bruno Guimarães
Last price
93.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
87¢
Volume
$203
Trade this on Polymarket
Casemiro
93.5%
Polymarket 93.5%polled, 3823 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
Casemiro
Last price
93.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
87¢
Volume
$71
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 25 more outcomes
Gabriel Martinelli
92.5%
Polymarket 92.5%polled, 3823 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gabriel Martinelli
Last price
92.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
86¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$49
Trade this on Polymarket
Raphinha
91.8%
Polymarket 91.8%polled, 3823 h agoBest Yes 99.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Raphinha
Last price
91.8%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
99.6¢
Sell Yes
84¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$230
Trade this on Polymarket
Douglas Santos
88%
Polymarket 88%polled, 3823 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Polymarket
Contract
Douglas Santos
Last price
88%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
81¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$217
Trade this on Polymarket
Endrick
88%
Polymarket 88%polled, 3823 h agoBest Yes 93¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
Endrick
Last price
88%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
83¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
Fabinho
86%
Polymarket 86%polled, 3823 h agoBest Yes 93¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
Fabinho
Last price
86%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
79¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Volume
$438
Trade this on Polymarket
Igor Thiago
84.5%
Polymarket 84.5%polled, 3823 h agoBest Yes 92¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
Igor Thiago
Last price
84.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
77¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Volume
$721
Trade this on Polymarket
Leo Pereira
80%
Polymarket 80%polled, 3823 h agoBest Yes 89¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Polymarket
Contract
Leo Pereira
Last price
80%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
71¢
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Volume
$148
Trade this on Polymarket
Neymar
79%
Polymarket 79%polled, 3823 h agoBest Yes 82¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Polymarket
Contract
Neymar
Last price
79%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
76¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Volume
$45K
Trade this on Polymarket
Bremer
75.5%
Polymarket 75.5%polled, 3823 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bremer
Last price
75.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
53¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Bento
75%
Polymarket 75%polled, 3823 h agoBest Yes 78¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bento
Last price
75%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
78¢
Sell Yes
72¢
$100 on Yes pays
$128 (1.28x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Lucas Paquetá
71.5%
Polymarket 71.5%polled, 3823 h agoBest Yes 80¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lucas Paquetá
Last price
71.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
63¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$264
Trade this on Polymarket
João Pedro
69%
Polymarket 69%polled, 3823 h agoBest Yes 90¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Polymarket
Contract
João Pedro
Last price
69%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
48¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$928
Trade this on Polymarket
Rayan
63.5%
Polymarket 63.5%polled, 3823 h agoBest Yes 69¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rayan
Last price
63.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
58¢
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Wesley
53.5%
Polymarket 53.5%polled, 3823 h agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Wesley
Last price
53.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$55
Trade this on Polymarket
Roger Ibañez
52%
Polymarket 52%polled, 3823 h agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Roger Ibañez
Last price
52%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Danilo Luiz da Silva
51.5%
Polymarket 51.5%polled, 3823 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Danilo Barbosa da Silva
Last price
51.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$50
Trade this on Polymarket
Gabriel Sara
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 3823 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gabriel Sara
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kaiki
45.5%
Polymarket 45.5%polled, 3823 h agoBest Yes 88¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kaiki
Last price
45.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Polymarket
Andrey Santos
38.5%
Polymarket 38.5%polled, 3823 h agoBest Yes 45¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Polymarket
Contract
Andrey Santos
Last price
38.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
32¢
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Richarlison
6%
Polymarket 6%polled, 3823 h agoBest Yes 10.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $917 (9.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
Richarlison
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
10.9¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$917 (9.17x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Vitor Roque
3.5%
Polymarket 3.5%polled, 3823 h agoBest Yes 6.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,493 (14.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Vitor Roque
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
6.7¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,493 (14.9x)
Volume
$256
Trade this on Polymarket
Savinho
3.1%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 3823 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Savinho
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$538
Trade this on Polymarket
der Militão
1.8%
Polymarket 1.8%polled, 3823 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
der Militão
Last price
1.8%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Estêvão
0.9%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 3823 h agoBest Yes 1.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Estêvão
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
1.5¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$6,667 (66.7x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Rodrygo
0.9%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 3823 h agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rodrygo
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
1.2¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$8,333 (83.3x)
Volume
$31
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Ederson
  • Vinícius Júnior
  • Danilo Luiz da Silva

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "2026 FIFA World Cup: Player to make Brazil Squad". Ederson last traded at 97.5%. Next is Vinícius Júnior at 97.4%. $73K has traded across 35 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Jun 2, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed player is announced as a member of the listed nation’s official squad for the 2026 FIFA World Cup by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. Only full squad announcements will be considered. Prior cut lists or previous squad lists other than the officially announced squad lists will not be considered. If a player is officially announced as part of the squad but is replaced before the nation’s first game for any reason, the corresponding market will still resolve “Yes”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the listed player cannot be confirmed as a part of the listed nation’s official squad for the 2026 FIFA World Cup within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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