The Prediction Markets

2026 Men’s Monte Carlo Masters Winner

Closed
Apr 13, 2026
Traded
$21K
Venues
Polymarket
Share

This market has closed

Trading ended on Apr 13, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 195 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Carlos Alcaraz
55.4%
Polymarket 58%(55.4% fair)polled, 4692 h agoBest Yes 60¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
Carlos Alcaraz
Last price
58%
Fair, margin removed
55.4%
As of
Polled 195 d ago
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
56¢
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Jannik Sinner
38.2%
Polymarket 40%(38.2% fair)polled, 4692 h agoBest Yes 42¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jannik Sinner
Last price
40%
Fair, margin removed
38.2%
As of
Polled 195 d ago
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Valentin Vacherot
3.6%
Polymarket 3.8%polled, 4692 h agoBest Yes 5.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,852 (18.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Valentin Vacherot
Last price
3.8%
As of
Polled 195 d ago
Buy Yes
5.4¢
Sell Yes
2.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,852 (18.5x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Alexander Zverev
2.8%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, 4692 h agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Alexander Zverev
Last price
2.9%
As of
Polled 195 d ago
Buy Yes
4.9¢
Sell Yes
0.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,041 (20.4x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Carlos Alcaraz
  • Jannik Sinner
  • Valentin Vacherot

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "2026 Men’s Monte Carlo Masters Winner". Carlos Alcaraz last traded at 55.4%. Next is Jannik Sinner at 38.2%. $21K has traded across 4 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Apr 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Monte Carlo Masters Men’s Singles Tournament scheduled for April 4 - April 12, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Monte Carlo Masters Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 Monte Carlo Masters Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 26, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Monte Carlo Masters (https://montecarlotennismasters.com/en/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

More other markets

See all other markets