HomeSports2026 Men's World Cup winner?
Live marketEnds Jul 18, 2028 (2y 104d)Updated 14m ago

2026 Men's World Cup winner?

Live prediction market odds for "2026 Men's World Cup winner?". Spain is leading at 17.1%. The next most likely outcome is France at 15.8%. Total volume is $11.8M across 48 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jul 18, 2028.

Leading Outcome
Spain
17.1%
Total Vol
$11.8M
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Spain
$903K volume
17.1%
France
$1.2M volume
15.8%
England
$523K volume
12.1%
Argentina
$621K volume
9.7%
Brazil
$439K volume
9.6%
Portugal
$896K volume
8.1%
Germany
$329K volume
5.7%
Netherlands
$437K volume
3.9%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "2026 Men's World Cup winner?". Spain is leading at 17.1%. The next most likely outcome is France at 15.8%. Total volume is $11.8M across 48 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jul 18, 2028.

Expected resolution date: Jul 18, 2028.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 4 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
5
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
11h
Sources
5
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
11h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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