The Prediction Markets

2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Closed
Sep 13, 2026
Traded
$2.7M
Venues
Polymarket
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This market has closed

Trading ended on Sep 13, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 125 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Aryna Sabalenka
26.7%
Polymarket 25.5%(26.7% fair)polled, 3003 h agoBest Yes 26¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
Aryna Sabalenka
Last price
25.5%
Fair, margin removed
26.7%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
Iga Swiatek
17.2%
Polymarket 16.5%(17.3% fair)polled, 3003 h agoBest Yes 17¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Polymarket
Contract
Iga Swiatek
Last price
16.5%
Fair, margin removed
17.3%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
Elena Rybakina
11.8%
Polymarket 11.3%(11.8% fair)polled, 3003 h agoBest Yes 11.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $870 (8.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
Elena Rybakina
Last price
11.3%
Fair, margin removed
11.8%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
11.5¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$870 (8.70x)
Volume
$67K
Trade this on Polymarket
Coco Gauff
6%
Polymarket 5.8%polled, 3003 h agoBest Yes 5.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,724 (17.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Coco Gauff
Last price
5.8%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
5.8¢
Sell Yes
5.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,724 (17.2x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Polymarket
Mirra Andreeva
5.1%
Polymarket 4.9%polled, 3003 h agoBest Yes 5.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,923 (19.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mirra Andreeva
Last price
4.9%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
5.2¢
Sell Yes
4.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,923 (19.2x)
Volume
$18K
Trade this on Polymarket
Amanda Anisimova
4.5%
Polymarket 4.3%polled, 3003 h agoBest Yes 4.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,222 (22.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Amanda Anisimova
Last price
4.3%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
4.5¢
Sell Yes
4.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,222 (22.2x)
Volume
$51K
Trade this on Polymarket
Elina Svitolina
3.9%
Polymarket 3.7%polled, 3003 h agoBest Yes 4.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,174 (21.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Elina Svitolina
Last price
3.7%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
4.6¢
Sell Yes
2.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,174 (21.7x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Jessica Pegula
2.3%
Polymarket 2.3%polled, 3003 h agoBest Yes 2.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,348 (43.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jessica Pegula
Last price
2.3%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
2.3¢
Sell Yes
2.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,348 (43.5x)
Volume
$81K
Trade this on Polymarket
Alexandra Eala
1.8%
Polymarket 1.7%polled, 3003 h agoBest Yes 2.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,762 (47.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Alexandra Eala
Last price
1.7%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
2.1¢
Sell Yes
1.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,762 (47.6x)
Volume
$247K
Trade this on Polymarket
Madison Keys
1.7%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 3003 h agoBest Yes 1.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Madison Keys
Last price
1.6%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
1.7¢
Sell Yes
1.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,882 (58.8x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 30 more outcomes
Diana Shnaider
1.6%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 3003 h agoBest Yes 1.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Diana Shnaider
Last price
1.6%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
1.6¢
Sell Yes
1.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$6,250 (62.5x)
Volume
$25K
Trade this on Polymarket
Naomi Osaka
1.6%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 3003 h agoBest Yes 1.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Naomi Osaka
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
1.6¢
Sell Yes
1.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$6,250 (62.5x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Karolina Muchova
1.3%
Polymarket 1.3%polled, 3003 h agoBest Yes 1.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Karolina Muchova
Last price
1.3%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
1.3¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,692 (76.9x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Victoria Mboko
1.2%
Polymarket 1.2%polled, 3003 h agoBest Yes 1.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Victoria Mboko
Last price
1.2%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
1.4¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,143 (71.4x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Marketa Vondrousova
1%
Polymarket 1%polled, 3003 h agoBest Yes 1.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Marketa Vondrousova
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
1.8¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,556 (55.6x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Qinwen Zheng
1%
Polymarket 1%polled, 3003 h agoBest Yes 1.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Qinwen Zheng
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
1.3¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,692 (76.9x)
Volume
$220K
Trade this on Polymarket
Anastasia Potapova
0.9%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 3003 h agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
Contract
Anastasia Potapova
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$416K
Trade this on Polymarket
Emma Navarro
0.8%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 3003 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Emma Navarro
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$18K
Trade this on Polymarket
Linda Noskova
0.8%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 3003 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Linda Noskova
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Belinda Bencic
0.7%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 3003 h agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
Contract
Belinda Bencic
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$40K
Trade this on Polymarket
Clara Tauson
0.7%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 3003 h agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
Contract
Clara Tauson
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Jelena Ostapenko
0.7%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 3003 h agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jelena Ostapenko
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Marie Bouzkova
0.7%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 3003 h agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
Contract
Marie Bouzkova
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$24K
Trade this on Polymarket
Elise Mertens
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 3003 h agoBest Yes 0.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Polymarket
Contract
Elise Mertens
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
0.8¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$12,500 (125x)
Volume
$20K
Trade this on Polymarket
Barbora Krejcikova
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 3003 h agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Polymarket
Contract
Barbora Krejcikova
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
0.6¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$16,667 (167x)
Volume
$521K
Trade this on Polymarket
Jasmine Paolini
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 3003 h agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jasmine Paolini
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Ashlyn Krueger
0.4%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 3003 h agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ashlyn Krueger
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
0.6¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$16,667 (167x)
Volume
$20K
Trade this on Polymarket
Daria Kasatkina
0.4%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 3003 h agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
Contract
Daria Kasatkina
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Donna Vekic
0.4%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 3003 h agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
Contract
Donna Vekic
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$109K
Trade this on Polymarket
Ekaterina Alexandrova
0.4%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 3003 h agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Polymarket
Emma Raducanu
0.4%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 3003 h agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
Emma Raducanu
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$42K
Trade this on Polymarket
Tereza Valentova
0.4%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 3003 h agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tereza Valentova
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
0.6¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$16,667 (167x)
Volume
$543K
Trade this on Polymarket
Beatriz Haddad Maia
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 3003 h agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
Contract
Beatriz Haddad Maia
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$25K
Trade this on Polymarket
Dayana Yastremska
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 3003 h agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
Contract
Dayana Yastremska
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Katie Boulter
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 3003 h agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
Contract
Katie Boulter
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$50K
Trade this on Polymarket
Liudmila Samsonova
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 3003 h agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
Contract
Liudmila Samsonova
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$14K
Trade this on Polymarket
Maya Joint
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 3003 h agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
Contract
Maya Joint
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$32K
Trade this on Polymarket
Paula Badosa
0.2%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 3003 h agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
Contract
Paula Badosa
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Polymarket
Sofia Kenin
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 3003 h agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sofia Kenin
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Xiyu Wang
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 3003 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Xiyu Wang
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$20K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Aryna Sabalenka
  • Iga Swiatek
  • Elena Rybakina

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)". Aryna Sabalenka last traded at 26.7%. Next is Iga Swiatek at 17.2%. $2.7M has traded across 40 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Sep 13, 2026.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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