Current Status
Live
Leading Outcome
Javokhir Sindarov 73.5%
V2 BetaOptimized UI
Trade NowLive marketEnds Jan 1, 2027 (2mo)Updated 1d ago
2026 World Chess Championship: Winner
Live prediction market odds for "2026 World Chess Championship: Winner". Javokhir Sindarov is leading at 73.5%. The next most likely outcome is Gukesh Dommaraju at 30.0%. Total volume is $2.4M across 9 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi, Polymarket. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2027.
Leading Outcome
Javokhir Sindarov
73.5%
Total Vol
$2.4M
Across 2 venues
Platforms
2
2 comparable
Best Spread
350 bps
Arb opportunity
Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Javokhir Sindarov
$57K volume
73.5%
350 bps
stale quote
Gukesh Dommaraju
$250K volume
30.0%
350 bps
stale quote
Andrey Esipenko
$132K volume
1.0%
—
Fabiano Caruana
$232K volume
1.0%
—
Hikaru Nakamura
$826K volume
1.0%
—
Rameshbabu Praggnanandhaa
$144K volume
1.0%
—
Anish Giri
$252K volume
1.0%
—
Matthias Bluebaum
$51K volume
1.0%
—
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "2026 World Chess Championship: Winner". Javokhir Sindarov is leading at 73.5%. The next most likely outcome is Gukesh Dommaraju at 30.0%. Total volume is $2.4M across 9 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi, Polymarket. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2027.
Expected resolution date: Jan 1, 2027.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Matching labels identify likely equivalent outcomes, but settlement rules may differ. A “Rules unverified” label means the comparison is not a verified arbitrage opportunity.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
unavailableConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
0%
Confidence
Low confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score — from 0 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
0
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
—
Sources
0
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
—
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
0%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: No coverage
Sentiment snapshot is not ready yet for this event. Background refresh will populate it shortly.
Outcome Leaderboards by Platform
Kalshi
Javokhir Sindarov
70.0%
Gukesh Dommaraju
30.0%
Andrey Esipenko
1.0%
Fabiano Caruana
1.0%
Polymarket
Javokhir Sindarov
73.5%
Gukesh Dommaraju
26.5%
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