Current Status
Live
Leading Outcome
Gavin Newsom v. JD Vance 19.0%
V2 BetaOptimized UI
Trade NowLive marketEnds Nov 7, 2028 (2y 30d)Updated 3d ago
2028 Presidential matchup
Live prediction market odds for "2028 Presidential matchup". Gavin Newsom v. JD Vance is leading at 19.0%. The next most likely outcome is AOC v. JD Vance at 10.0%. Total volume is $301K across 15 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Nov 7, 2028.
Leading Outcome
Gavin Newsom v. JD Vance
19.0%
Total Vol
$301K
Across 1 venues
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
Arb opportunity
Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Gavin Newsom v. JD Vance
$71K volume
19.0%
—
AOC v. JD Vance
$30K volume
10.0%
—
Jon Ossoff v. Marco Rubio
$16K volume
8.4%
—
Kamala Harris v. JD Vance
$25K volume
7.1%
—
Jon Ossoff v. JD Vance
$22K volume
6.0%
—
Gavin Newsom v. Marco Rubio
$48K volume
2.4%
—
Andy Beshear v. JD Vance
$8K volume
1.8%
—
Josh Shapiro v. Marco Rubio
$7K volume
1.7%
—
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "2028 Presidential matchup". Gavin Newsom v. JD Vance is leading at 19.0%. The next most likely outcome is AOC v. JD Vance at 10.0%. Total volume is $301K across 15 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Nov 7, 2028.
Expected resolution date: Nov 7, 2028.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Matching labels identify likely equivalent outcomes, but settlement rules may differ. A “Rules unverified” label means the comparison is not a verified arbitrage opportunity.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
unavailableConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
0%
Confidence
Low confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score — from 0 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
0
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
—
Sources
0
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
—
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
0%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: No coverage
Sentiment snapshot is not ready yet for this event. Background refresh will populate it shortly.
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