The Prediction Markets

2030 FIFA World Cup Champion

Closes
Jan 15, 2031, in 51 months
Traded
$831K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Spain 18%

Next is France at 13.3%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Spain 18%France 13.3%England 8.1%Argentina 7.6%Brazil 6.5%77 others 46.5%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Spain
18%
Kalshi 15.3%(17.9% fair)polled, 42s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Spain
Last price
15.3%
Fair, margin removed
17.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
15.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$249K
Trade this on Kalshi
France
13.3%
Kalshi 11.3%(13.2% fair)polled, 42s agoBest Yes 12.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $775 (7.75x)
Kalshi
Contract
France
Last price
11.3%
Fair, margin removed
13.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12.9¢
Sell Yes
11.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$775 (7.75x)
Volume
$69K
Trade this on Kalshi
England
8.1%
Kalshi 6.9%(8.1% fair)polled, 42s agoBest Yes 7.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,333 (13.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
England
Last price
6.9%
Fair, margin removed
8.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7.5¢
Sell Yes
6.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,333 (13.3x)
Volume
$20K
Trade this on Kalshi
Argentina
7.6%
Kalshi 6.5%(7.6% fair)polled, 42s agoBest Yes 8.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,220 (12.2x)
Kalshi
Contract
Argentina
Last price
6.5%
Fair, margin removed
7.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8.2¢
Sell Yes
6.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,220 (12.2x)
Volume
$50K
Trade this on Kalshi
Brazil
6.5%
Kalshi 5.5%(6.4% fair)polled, 42s agoBest Yes 5.6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,786 (17.9x)
Kalshi
Contract
Brazil
Last price
5.5%
Fair, margin removed
6.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.6¢
Sell Yes
5.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,786 (17.9x)
Volume
$17K
Trade this on Kalshi
Germany
5.3%
Kalshi 4.5%(5.3% fair)polled, 42s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Germany
Last price
4.5%
Fair, margin removed
5.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
4.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$34K
Trade this on Kalshi
Portugal
5.1%
Kalshi 4.3%(5% fair)polled, 42s agoBest Yes 5.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Kalshi
Contract
Portugal
Last price
4.3%
Fair, margin removed
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.9¢
Sell Yes
4.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,695 (16.9x)
Volume
$22K
Trade this on Kalshi
Norway
4.5%
Kalshi 3.8%(4.5% fair)polled, 42s agoBest Yes 3.8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,632 (26.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Norway
Last price
3.8%
Fair, margin removed
4.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.8¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,632 (26.3x)
Volume
$22K
Trade this on Kalshi
Mexico
2.9%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 2.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $4,000 (40.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Mexico
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.5¢
Sell Yes
1.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,000 (40.0x)
Volume
$49K
Trade this on Kalshi
USA
2.9%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 2.6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,846 (38.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
USA
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.6¢
Sell Yes
2.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,846 (38.5x)
Volume
$41K
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 72 more outcomes
Morocco
2.8%
Kalshi 2.4%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 2.8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Morocco
Last price
2.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.8¢
Sell Yes
2.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,571 (35.7x)
Volume
$19K
Trade this on Kalshi
Italy
2.7%
Kalshi 2.3%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 2.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $4,167 (41.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Italy
Last price
2.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.4¢
Sell Yes
2.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,167 (41.7x)
Volume
$25K
Trade this on Kalshi
Netherlands
2.6%
Kalshi 2.2%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 3.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,125 (31.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Netherlands
Last price
2.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.2¢
Sell Yes
2.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,125 (31.3x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Belgium
1.7%
Kalshi 1.4%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 1.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Kalshi
Contract
Belgium
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.4¢
Sell Yes
1.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,143 (71.4x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Kalshi
Japan
1.4%
Kalshi 1.2%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Japan
Last price
1.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.2¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$8,333 (83.3x)
Volume
$15K
Trade this on Kalshi
Colombia
1.2%
Kalshi 1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Kalshi
Contract
Colombia
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.1¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$9,091 (90.9x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Kalshi
Korea Republic
0.7%
Kalshi 0.6%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Kalshi
Contract
Korea Republic
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Egypt
0.5%
Kalshi 0.4%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Kalshi
Contract
Egypt
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Kalshi
Paraguay
0.5%
Kalshi 0.4%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Kalshi
Contract
Paraguay
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Poland
0.5%
Kalshi 0.4%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Kalshi
Contract
Poland
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$334
Trade this on Kalshi
Switzerland
0.5%
Kalshi 0.4%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Kalshi
Contract
Switzerland
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Uruguay
0.5%
Kalshi 0.4%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Kalshi
Contract
Uruguay
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Kalshi
Canada
0.4%
Kalshi 0.3%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Kalshi
Contract
Canada
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$567
Trade this on Kalshi
Croatia
0.4%
Kalshi 0.3%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Kalshi
Contract
Croatia
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Volume
$13K
Trade this on Kalshi
Ecuador
0.4%
Kalshi 0.3%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ecuador
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Finland
0.4%
Kalshi 0.3%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Kalshi
Contract
Finland
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$47
Trade this on Kalshi
Senegal
0.4%
Kalshi 0.3%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Kalshi
Contract
Senegal
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Ukraine
0.4%
Kalshi 0.3%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ukraine
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Venezuela
0.4%
Kalshi 0.3%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Kalshi
Contract
Venezuela
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$12K
Trade this on Kalshi
Australia
0.3%
Kalshi 0.2%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Australia
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$123
Trade this on Kalshi
Costa Rica
0.3%
Kalshi 0.2%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Costa Rica
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$545
Trade this on Kalshi
Austria
0.2%
Kalshi 0.2%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Austria
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Chile
0.2%
Kalshi 0.2%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Chile
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Czechia
0.2%
Kalshi 0.2%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Czechia
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Denmark
0.2%
Kalshi 0.2%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Denmark
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$47
Trade this on Kalshi
Ghana
0.2%
Kalshi 0.2%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ghana
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Haiti
0.2%
Kalshi 0.2%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Haiti
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Honduras
0.2%
Kalshi 0.2%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Honduras
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Iraq
0.2%
Kalshi 0.2%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Iraq
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$47
Trade this on Kalshi
Ivory Coast
0.2%
Kalshi 0.2%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ivory Coast
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$13K
Trade this on Kalshi
Jordan
0.2%
Kalshi 0.2%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jordan
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Peru
0.2%
Kalshi 0.2%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Peru
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$297
Trade this on Kalshi
Qatar
0.2%
Kalshi 0.2%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Kalshi
Contract
Qatar
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$25K
Trade this on Kalshi
Romania
0.2%
Kalshi 0.2%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Romania
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Scotland
0.2%
Kalshi 0.2%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Scotland
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$100
Trade this on Kalshi
Sweden
0.2%
Kalshi 0.2%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sweden
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
United Arab Emirates
0.2%
Kalshi 0.2%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
United Arab Emirates
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$463
Trade this on Kalshi
Wales
0.2%
Kalshi 0.2%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Kalshi
Contract
Wales
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Albania
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Albania
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$685
Trade this on Kalshi
Algeria
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Algeria
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$500
Trade this on Kalshi
Bolivia
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Kalshi
Contract
Bolivia
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$500
Trade this on Kalshi
Bosnia and Herzegovina
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$500
Trade this on Kalshi
Burkina Faso
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Burkina Faso
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Cameroon
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cameroon
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$500
Trade this on Kalshi
Cape Verde
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cape Verde
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Kalshi
Congo DR
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Congo DR
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Curacao
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Curacao
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$972
Trade this on Kalshi
Georgia
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Georgia
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$500
Trade this on Kalshi
Greece
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Kalshi
Contract
Greece
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.8¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$12,500 (125x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Kalshi
Hungary
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Hungary
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$500
Trade this on Kalshi
Iceland
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Iceland
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$500
Trade this on Kalshi
IR Iran
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Kalshi
Contract
IR Iran
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$500
Trade this on Kalshi
Ireland
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ireland
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Israel
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Israel
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$531
Trade this on Kalshi
Jamaica
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jamaica
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$500
Trade this on Kalshi
Kosovo
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kosovo
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Mali
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Kalshi
Contract
Mali
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$500
Trade this on Kalshi
New Caledonia
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
New Caledonia
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$500
Trade this on Kalshi
New Zealand
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
New Zealand
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$500
Trade this on Kalshi
Nigeria
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nigeria
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$872
Trade this on Kalshi
North Macedonia
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Kalshi
Contract
North Macedonia
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Northern Ireland
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Northern Ireland
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$500
Trade this on Kalshi
Panama
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Panama
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$500
Trade this on Kalshi
Saudi Arabia
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Saudi Arabia
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Serbia
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Serbia
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Slovakia
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Kalshi
Contract
Slovakia
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Slovenia
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Slovenia
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Trade this on Kalshi
South Africa
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Kalshi
Contract
South Africa
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$500
Trade this on Kalshi
Suriname
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Suriname
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$500
Trade this on Kalshi
Tunisia
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tunisia
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$500
Trade this on Kalshi
Turkiye
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Kalshi
Contract
Turkiye
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Uzbekistan
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Uzbekistan
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$500
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: FIFA, ESPN

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Spain
  • France
  • England

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

Loading…

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "2030 FIFA World Cup Champion". Spain leads at 18%. Next is France at 13.3%. $831K has traded across 82 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 15, 2031.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

See all sports markets