Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
100M
$1.4M volume
100.0%
—
300M
$2.4M volume
0.1%
—
1B
$1.7M volume
0.1%
—
700M
$1.4M volume
0.1%
—
3B
$283K volume
0.1%
—
4B
$368K volume
0.1%
—
500M
$1.7M volume
0.1%
—
5B
$397K volume
0.1%
—
Live marketEnds Jan 1, 2027 (9mo)Updated 11d ago
Backpack FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Live prediction market odds for "Backpack FDV above ___ one day after launch?". 100M is leading at 100.0%. The next most likely outcome is 300M at 0.1%. Total volume is $17.0M across 10 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2027.
Leading Outcome
100M
100.0%
Total Vol
$17.0M
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Backpack FDV above ___ one day after launch?". 100M is leading at 100.0%. The next most likely outcome is 300M at 0.1%. Total volume is $17.0M across 10 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2027.
Expected resolution date: Jan 1, 2027.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
25%
Confidence
Low confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 5 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 30 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
25%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
2
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
25%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
268h
Sources
2
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
25%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
268h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss
Latest News
Genius FDV above $20M one day after launch? - Polymarket
Polymarket·3d ago·neutral
Backpack CEO says allegations of OTC dumping by the team are “fake news"
Bing News·9d ago·neutral
Bitmine launches its Ethereum staking platform MAVAN
Bing News·11d ago·neutral
Backpack launches $BP token, airdrops to Mad Lads NFT holders
Bing News·11d ago·neutral
Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) one day after launch? Predict... - Polymarket
Polymarket·730d ago·neutral
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