Live prediction market odds for "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory". Lula da Silva <5% is leading at 29.0%. The next most likely outcome is Flávio Bolsonaro <5% at 21.5%. Total volume is $209K across 10 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Oct 4, 2026.
Live prediction market odds for "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory". Lula da Silva <5% is leading at 29.0%. The next most likely outcome is Flávio Bolsonaro <5% at 21.5%. Total volume is $209K across 10 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Oct 4, 2026.
Expected resolution date: Oct 4, 2026.
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
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Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.