Home🏛️PoliticsCalifornia Governor winner? (Person)
Live marketEnds Nov 3, 2027 (1y 211d)Updated 14m ago

California Governor winner? (Person)

Live prediction market odds for "California Governor winner? (Person)". Eric Swalwell is leading at 58.0%. The next most likely outcome is Tom Steyer at 15.0%. Total volume is $5.2M across 25 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Nov 3, 2027.

Leading Outcome
Eric Swalwell
58.0%
Total Vol
$5.2M
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Eric Swalwell
$964K volume
58.0%
Tom Steyer
$474K volume
15.0%
Steve Hilton
$460K volume
8.0%
Matt Mahan
$831K volume
8.0%
Chad Bianco
$550K volume
7.0%
Ché Ahn
$381K volume
5.0%
Katie Porter
$440K volume
4.0%
Leo Zacky
$275 volume
1.0%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "California Governor winner? (Person)". Eric Swalwell is leading at 58.0%. The next most likely outcome is Tom Steyer at 15.0%. Total volume is $5.2M across 25 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Nov 3, 2027.

Expected resolution date: Nov 3, 2027.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score +0.002 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
1.00x
Source Diversity
5
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
312h
Sources
5
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
312h
Avg Sentiment
+0.025
Neutral %
90%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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