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Best ask
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What the markets expect
Australia 87%
Next is Canada at 84%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
5 of 46 prices are live from the exchange feeds; the rest come from our regular price polls, the oldest 5 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Australia87%87%45¢ bid, 87¢ askpolled, 5 h ago87¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $115 (1.15x)Australia87%Kalshi 87%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Australia
87%
87%
45¢ bid, 87¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
87¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Australia
87%
Kalshi 87%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Australia
- Last price
- 87%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 87¢
- Sell Yes
- 45¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $115 (1.15x)
- Volume
- $1K
Canada84%84%30¢ bid, 99¢ askpolled, 5 h ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Canada84%Kalshi 84%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Canada
84%
84%
30¢ bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Canada
84%
Kalshi 84%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Canada
- Last price
- 84%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- 30¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
- Volume
- $3K
Belgium72%72%— bid, 74¢ askpolled, 5 h ago74¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $135 (1.35x)Belgium72%Kalshi 72%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Belgium
72%
72%
— bid, 74¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
74¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Belgium
72%
Kalshi 72%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Belgium
- Last price
- 72%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 74¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $135 (1.35x)
- Volume
- $2K
China72%72%— bid, 72¢ askpolled, 5 h ago72¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $139 (1.39x)China72%Kalshi 72%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 72¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
China
72%
72%
— bid, 72¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
72¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $139 (1.39x)
China
72%
Kalshi 72%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 72¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- China
- Last price
- 72%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 72¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $139 (1.39x)
- Volume
- $1K
Great Britain72%72%11¢ bid, — askpolled, 5 h agoNo askGreat Britain72%Kalshi 72%polled, 5 h ago
Great Britain
72%
72%
11¢ bid, — ask
polled, 5 h ago
No ask
Great Britain
72%
Kalshi 72%polled, 5 h ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Great Britain
- Last price
- 72%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- Volume
- $3K
Hungary72%72%— bid, 77¢ askpolled, 5 h ago77¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $130 (1.30x)Hungary72%Kalshi 72%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Hungary
72%
72%
— bid, 77¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
77¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Hungary
72%
Kalshi 72%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Hungary
- Last price
- 72%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 77¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $130 (1.30x)
- Volume
- $1K
Japan71%71%52¢ bid, 71¢ askpolled, 5 h ago71¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $141 (1.41x)Japan71%Kalshi 71%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 71¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Japan
71%
71%
52¢ bid, 71¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
71¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Japan
71%
Kalshi 71%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 71¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Japan
- Last price
- 71%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 71¢
- Sell Yes
- 52¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $141 (1.41x)
- Volume
- $2K
Uganda66%66%— bid, 69¢ askpolled, 5 h ago69¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $145 (1.45x)Uganda66%Kalshi 66%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Uganda
66%
66%
— bid, 69¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
69¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Uganda
66%
Kalshi 66%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Uganda
- Last price
- 66%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 69¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $145 (1.45x)
- Volume
- $2K
Chile60%60%— bid, 60¢ askpolled, 5 h ago60¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $167 (1.67x)Chile60%Kalshi 60%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 60¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Chile
60%
60%
— bid, 60¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
60¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Chile
60%
Kalshi 60%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 60¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chile
- Last price
- 60%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 60¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $167 (1.67x)
- Volume
- $891
Finland58%58%— bid, 59¢ askpolled, 5 h ago59¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $169 (1.69x)Finland58%Kalshi 58%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 59¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Finland
58%
58%
— bid, 59¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
59¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Finland
58%
Kalshi 58%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 59¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Finland
- Last price
- 58%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 59¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $169 (1.69x)
- Volume
- $2K
Show 36 more outcomesHide 36 outcomes
Brazil57%57%17¢ bid, 68¢ askpolled, 5 h ago68¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $147 (1.47x)Brazil57%Kalshi 57%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 68¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Brazil
57%
57%
17¢ bid, 68¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
68¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Brazil
57%
Kalshi 57%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 68¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Brazil
- Last price
- 57%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 68¢
- Sell Yes
- 17¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $147 (1.47x)
- Volume
- $2K
Singapore45%45%— bid, 50¢ askpolled, 5 h ago50¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Singapore45%Kalshi 45%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Singapore
45%
45%
— bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
50¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Singapore
45%
Kalshi 45%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Singapore
- Last price
- 45%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
- Volume
- $3K
Germany43%43%41¢ bid, 59¢ askpolled, 5 h ago59¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $169 (1.69x)Germany43%Kalshi 43%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 59¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Germany
43%
43%
41¢ bid, 59¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
59¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Germany
43%
Kalshi 43%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 59¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Germany
- Last price
- 43%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 59¢
- Sell Yes
- 41¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $169 (1.69x)
- Volume
- $1K
Italy41%41%2¢ bid, 57¢ askpolled, 5 h ago57¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $175 (1.75x)Italy41%Kalshi 41%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 57¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Italy
41%
41%
2¢ bid, 57¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
57¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Italy
41%
Kalshi 41%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 57¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Italy
- Last price
- 41%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 57¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $175 (1.75x)
- Volume
- $2K
Slovakia40%40%— bid, 76¢ askpolled, 5 h ago76¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $132 (1.32x)Slovakia40%Kalshi 40%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Slovakia
40%
40%
— bid, 76¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
76¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Slovakia
40%
Kalshi 40%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Slovakia
- Last price
- 40%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 76¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $132 (1.32x)
- Volume
- $1K
Ireland38%38%38¢ bid, 59¢ askpolled, 5 h ago59¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $169 (1.69x)Ireland38%Kalshi 38%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 59¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Ireland
38%
38%
38¢ bid, 59¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
59¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Ireland
38%
Kalshi 38%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 59¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ireland
- Last price
- 38%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 59¢
- Sell Yes
- 38¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $169 (1.69x)
- Volume
- $3K
Greece29%29%7¢ bid, 29¢ askpolled, 5 h ago29¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $345 (3.45x)Greece29%Kalshi 29%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Greece
29%
29%
7¢ bid, 29¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
29¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Greece
29%
Kalshi 29%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Greece
- Last price
- 29%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 29¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $345 (3.45x)
- Volume
- $4K
Czechia26%26%24¢ bid, 26¢ asklive, 5 h ago26¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $385 (3.85x)Czechia26%Kalshi 26%live, 5 h agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Czechia
26%
26%
24¢ bid, 26¢ ask
live, 5 h ago
26¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Czechia
26%
Kalshi 26%live, 5 h agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Czechia
- Price
- 26%
- As of
- Live feed, 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 26¢
- Sell Yes
- 24¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $385 (3.85x)
- Volume
- $4K
Israel26%26%10¢ bid, — askpolled, 5 h agoNo askIsrael26%Kalshi 26%polled, 5 h ago
Israel
26%
26%
10¢ bid, — ask
polled, 5 h ago
No ask
Israel
26%
Kalshi 26%polled, 5 h ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Israel
- Last price
- 26%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- Volume
- $3K
Saudi Arabia25%25%— bid, 76¢ askpolled, 5 h ago76¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $132 (1.32x)Saudi Arabia25%Kalshi 25%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Saudi Arabia
25%
25%
— bid, 76¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
76¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Saudi Arabia
25%
Kalshi 25%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Saudi Arabia
- Last price
- 25%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 76¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $132 (1.32x)
- Volume
- $2K
Austria24%24%17¢ bid, 32¢ askpolled, 5 h ago32¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $313 (3.13x)Austria24%Kalshi 24%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Austria
24%
24%
17¢ bid, 32¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
32¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Austria
24%
Kalshi 24%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Austria
- Last price
- 24%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 32¢
- Sell Yes
- 17¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $313 (3.13x)
- Volume
- $2K
Chinese Taipei24%24%— bid, 86¢ askpolled, 5 h ago86¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $116 (1.16x)Chinese Taipei24%Kalshi 24%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Chinese Taipei
24%
24%
— bid, 86¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
86¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Chinese Taipei
24%
Kalshi 24%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chinese Taipei
- Last price
- 24%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 86¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $116 (1.16x)
- Volume
- $4K
Croatia24%24%9¢ bid, 27¢ askpolled, 5 h ago27¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $370 (3.70x)Croatia24%Kalshi 24%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Croatia
24%
24%
9¢ bid, 27¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
27¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Croatia
24%
Kalshi 24%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Croatia
- Last price
- 24%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 27¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $370 (3.70x)
- Volume
- $2K
Philippines23%23%— bid, 23¢ askpolled, 5 h ago23¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $435 (4.35x)Philippines23%Kalshi 23%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Philippines
23%
23%
— bid, 23¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
23¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Philippines
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Philippines
- Last price
- 23%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 23¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $435 (4.35x)
- Volume
- $3K
Sweden23%23%12¢ bid, 29¢ askpolled, 5 h ago29¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $345 (3.45x)Sweden23%Kalshi 23%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Sweden
23%
23%
12¢ bid, 29¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
29¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Sweden
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Sweden
- Last price
- 23%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 29¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $345 (3.45x)
- Volume
- $4K
Switzerland23%23%— bid, 59¢ askpolled, 5 h ago59¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $169 (1.69x)Switzerland23%Kalshi 23%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 59¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Switzerland
23%
23%
— bid, 59¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
59¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Switzerland
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 59¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Switzerland
- Last price
- 23%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 59¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $169 (1.69x)
- Volume
- $987
Türkiye23%23%— bid, 62¢ askpolled, 5 h ago62¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $161 (1.61x)Türkiye23%Kalshi 23%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 62¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Türkiye
23%
23%
— bid, 62¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
62¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Türkiye
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 62¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Türkiye
- Last price
- 23%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 62¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $161 (1.61x)
- Volume
- $2K
Ghana22%22%17¢ bid, 23¢ askpolled, 5 h ago23¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $435 (4.35x)Ghana22%Kalshi 22%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Ghana
22%
22%
17¢ bid, 23¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
23¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Ghana
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ghana
- Last price
- 22%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 23¢
- Sell Yes
- 17¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $435 (4.35x)
- Volume
- $2K
Jamaica22%22%— bid, 22¢ askpolled, 5 h ago22¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $455 (4.55x)Jamaica22%Kalshi 22%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Jamaica
22%
22%
— bid, 22¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
22¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Jamaica
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jamaica
- Last price
- 22%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 22¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $455 (4.55x)
- Volume
- $2K
Latvia22%22%— bid, 24¢ askpolled, 5 h ago24¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $417 (4.17x)Latvia22%Kalshi 22%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Latvia
22%
22%
— bid, 24¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
24¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Latvia
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Latvia
- Last price
- 22%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 24¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $417 (4.17x)
- Volume
- $1K
Portugal22%22%— bid, 51¢ askpolled, 5 h ago51¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $196 (1.96x)Portugal22%Kalshi 22%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 51¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Portugal
22%
22%
— bid, 51¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
51¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Portugal
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 51¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Portugal
- Last price
- 22%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 51¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $196 (1.96x)
- Volume
- $2K
Norway21%21%18¢ bid, 21¢ asklive, 5 h ago21¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $476 (4.76x)Norway21%Kalshi 21%live, 5 h agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Norway
21%
21%
18¢ bid, 21¢ ask
live, 5 h ago
21¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Norway
21%
Kalshi 21%live, 5 h agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Norway
- Price
- 21%
- As of
- Live feed, 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 21¢
- Sell Yes
- 18¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $476 (4.76x)
- Volume
- $5K
France20%20%16¢ bid, 26¢ askpolled, 5 h ago26¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $385 (3.85x)France20%Kalshi 20%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
France
20%
20%
16¢ bid, 26¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
26¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $385 (3.85x)
France
20%
Kalshi 20%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- France
- Last price
- 20%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 26¢
- Sell Yes
- 16¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $385 (3.85x)
- Volume
- $2K
South Africa17%17%17¢ bid, 39¢ askpolled, 5 h ago39¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $256 (2.56x)South Africa17%Kalshi 17%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
South Africa
17%
17%
17¢ bid, 39¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
39¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $256 (2.56x)
South Africa
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- South Africa
- Last price
- 17%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 39¢
- Sell Yes
- 17¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $256 (2.56x)
- Volume
- $2K
Spain16%16%16¢ bid, 25¢ askpolled, 5 h ago25¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $400 (4.00x)Spain16%Kalshi 16%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Spain
16%
16%
16¢ bid, 25¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
25¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Spain
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Spain
- Last price
- 16%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- 16¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
- Volume
- $3K
South Korea14%14%12¢ bid, 16¢ asklive, 5 h ago16¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $625 (6.25x)South Korea14%Kalshi 14%live, 5 h agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
South Korea
14%
14%
12¢ bid, 16¢ ask
live, 5 h ago
16¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
South Korea
14%
Kalshi 14%live, 5 h agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- South Korea
- Price
- 14%
- As of
- Live feed, 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
- Volume
- $17K
India10%10%— bid, 10¢ askpolled, 5 h ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)India10%Kalshi 10%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
India
10%
10%
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
India
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- India
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $1K
Mexico10%10%— bid, 10¢ askpolled, 5 h ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Mexico10%Kalshi 10%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Mexico
10%
10%
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Mexico
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Mexico
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $2K
Netherlands8%8%8¢ bid, 56¢ askpolled, 5 h ago56¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $179 (1.79x)Netherlands8%Kalshi 8%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 56¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Netherlands
8%
8%
8¢ bid, 56¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
56¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Netherlands
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 56¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Netherlands
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 56¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $179 (1.79x)
- Volume
- $2K
Côte d’Ivoire7%7%— bid, 10¢ asklive, 5 h ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Côte d’Ivoire7%Kalshi 7%live, 5 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Côte d’Ivoire
7%
7%
— bid, 10¢ ask
live, 5 h ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Côte d’Ivoire
7%
Kalshi 7%live, 5 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Côte d’Ivoire
- Price
- 7%
- As of
- Live feed, 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $22K
Kenya7%7%7¢ bid, 68¢ askpolled, 5 h ago68¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $147 (1.47x)Kenya7%Kalshi 7%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 68¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Kenya
7%
7%
7¢ bid, 68¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
68¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Kenya
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 68¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kenya
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 68¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $147 (1.47x)
- Volume
- $2K
Hong Kong, China6%6%1¢ bid, 19¢ askpolled, 5 h ago19¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $526 (5.26x)Hong Kong, China6%Kalshi 6%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Hong Kong, China
6%
6%
1¢ bid, 19¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
19¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Hong Kong, China
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Hong Kong, China
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 19¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $526 (5.26x)
- Volume
- $3K
Denmark5%5%— bid, 73¢ askpolled, 5 h ago73¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $137 (1.37x)Denmark5%Kalshi 5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 73¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Denmark
5%
5%
— bid, 73¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
73¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Denmark
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 73¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Denmark
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 73¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $137 (1.37x)
- Volume
- $664
Poland2%2%— bid, 33¢ askpolled, 5 h ago33¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $303 (3.03x)Poland2%Kalshi 2%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Poland
2%
2%
— bid, 33¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
33¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Poland
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Poland
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 33¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $303 (3.03x)
- Volume
- $1K
Puerto Rico2%2%2¢ bid, 18¢ askpolled, 5 h ago18¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $556 (5.56x)Puerto Rico2%Kalshi 2%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Puerto Rico
2%
2%
2¢ bid, 18¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
18¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Puerto Rico
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Puerto Rico
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 18¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $556 (5.56x)
- Volume
- $3K
New Zealand1%1%— bid, 44¢ asklive, 5 h ago44¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $227 (2.27x)New Zealand1%Kalshi 1%live, 5 h agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
New Zealand
1%
1%
— bid, 44¢ ask
live, 5 h ago
44¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $227 (2.27x)
New Zealand
1%
Kalshi 1%live, 5 h agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New Zealand
- Price
- 1%
- As of
- Live feed, 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 44¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $227 (2.27x)
- Volume
- $15K
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: LA28, World Lacrosse, Team USA
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Australia
- Canada
- Belgium
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Which countries will qualify for LA28 men's lacrosse?". Australia leads at 87%. Next is Canada at 84%. $150K has traded across 46 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Aug 1, 2028.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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