Home🏛️PoliticsWhich world leaders will leave office in 2026?
Live marketEnds Jan 2, 2027 (9mo)Updated 3m ago

Which world leaders will leave office in 2026?

Live prediction market odds for "Which world leaders will leave office in 2026?". Gustavo Petro is leading at 94.0%. The next most likely outcome is Viktor Orbán at 73.0%. Total volume is $7.3M across 36 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 2, 2027.

Leading Outcome
Gustavo Petro
94.0%
Total Vol
$7.3M
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Gustavo Petro
$160K volume
94.0%
Viktor Orbán
$61K volume
73.0%
Miguel Díaz-Canel
$479K volume
61.0%
Keir Starmer
$291K volume
60.0%
Christopher Luxon
$8K volume
40.0%
Pedro Sánchez
$19K volume
30.0%
Delcy Rodriguez
$9K volume
29.0%
Benjamin Netanyahu
$246K volume
27.0%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Which world leaders will leave office in 2026?". Gustavo Petro is leading at 94.0%. The next most likely outcome is Viktor Orbán at 73.0%. Total volume is $7.3M across 36 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 2, 2027.

Expected resolution date: Jan 2, 2027.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
8
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
663h
Sources
8
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
663h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: google_news_rss

Latest News

Related Politics Markets

Explore Other Categories