Market comparison

Which world leaders will leave office in 2026?

1 venue · 42 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

42 outcomes · $3.9M reported volume

Observed 11s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 2, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Which world leaders will leave office in 2026?
Outcome	Kalshi	Difference
Ahmad al-Sharaa Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.3% Bid 3.3% · Ask 6.6% Ahmad al-Sharaa Open Kalshi ↗	—
Aleksandar Vučić Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	62.0% Bid 59.0% · Ask 65.0% Aleksandar Vučić · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ali Khamenei Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	70.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Ali Khamenei · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Benjamin Netanyahu Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	39.0% Bid 37.0% · Ask 39.0% Benjamin Netanyahu Open Kalshi ↗	—
Christopher Luxon Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	46.0% Bid 46.0% · Ask 50.0% Christopher Luxon Open Kalshi ↗	—
Claudia Sheinbaum Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.5% Bid 2.5% · Ask 3.6% Claudia Sheinbaum Open Kalshi ↗	—
Cyril Ramaphosa Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.5% Bid 1.2% · Ask 6.5% Cyril Ramaphosa Open Kalshi ↗	—
Daniel Noboa Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.1% Bid 1.3% · Ask 6.1% Daniel Noboa Open Kalshi ↗	—
Delcy Rodriguez Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.6% Bid 6.1% · Ask 8.6% Delcy Rodriguez Open Kalshi ↗	—
Denis Sassou Nguesso Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.4% Bid 3.3% · Ask 5.4% Denis Sassou Nguesso Open Kalshi ↗	—
Edi Rama Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.0% Bid 8.0% · Ask 13.0% Edi Rama Open Kalshi ↗	—
Emmanuel Macron Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.5% Bid 5.3% · Ask 7.5% Emmanuel Macron Open Kalshi ↗	—
Félix Tshisekedi Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.7% Bid 1.6% · Ask 5.7% Félix Tshisekedi Open Kalshi ↗	—
Frederik X Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.2% Bid 1.1% · Ask 4.4% Frederik X Open Kalshi ↗	—
Friedrich Merz Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.9% Bid 6.0% · Ask 6.9% Friedrich Merz Open Kalshi ↗	—
Giorgia Meloni Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.9% Bid 2.5% · Ask 3.9% Giorgia Meloni Open Kalshi ↗	—
Gustavo Petro Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.9% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Gustavo Petro · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Irfaan Ali Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.9% Irfaan Ali Open Kalshi ↗	—
Javier Milei Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.3% Bid 2.3% · Ask 3.9% Javier Milei Open Kalshi ↗	—
Jens-Frederik Nielsen Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0% Bid 1.3% · Ask 5.0% Jens-Frederik Nielsen Open Kalshi ↗	—
José Jerí Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	98.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% José Jerí · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Keir Starmer Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	96.2% Bid 96.2% · Ask 97.0% Keir Starmer · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Kim Jong Un Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.5% Bid 4.5% · Ask 6.0% Kim Jong Un Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lee Jae Myung Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.8% Bid 3.2% · Ask 4.8% Lee Jae Myung Open Kalshi ↗	—
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.9% Bid 2.6% · Ask 4.9% Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva Open Kalshi ↗	—
Mark Carney Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.1% Bid 1.1% · Ask 4.1% Mark Carney Open Kalshi ↗	—
Mette Frederiksen Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.2% Bid 5.2% · Ask 6.2% Mette Frederiksen Open Kalshi ↗	—
Miguel Díaz-Canel Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 13.0% Miguel Díaz-Canel Open Kalshi ↗	—
Mohammed bin Salman Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 14.0% Mohammed bin Salman Open Kalshi ↗	—
Narendra Modi Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.7% Bid 2.5% · Ask 4.7% Narendra Modi Open Kalshi ↗	—
Nayib Bukele Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.8% Bid 1.4% · Ask 2.8% Nayib Bukele Open Kalshi ↗	—
Nicolás Maduro Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Nicolás Maduro · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Pedro Sánchez Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.0% Bid 15.0% · Ask 16.0% Pedro Sánchez Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ramzan Kadyrov Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 6.0% Ramzan Kadyrov Open Kalshi ↗	—
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 2.3% · Ask 4.9% Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Open Kalshi ↗	—
Rodrigo Paz Pereira Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.7% Bid 3.9% · Ask 9.6% Rodrigo Paz Pereira Open Kalshi ↗	—
Sanae Takaichi Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.1% Bid 1.1% · Ask 4.5% Sanae Takaichi Open Kalshi ↗	—
Sébastien Lecornu Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.0% Bid 18.0% · Ask 22.0% Sébastien Lecornu Open Kalshi ↗	—
Viktor Orbán Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.8% Bid 99.8% · Ask 99.9% Viktor Orbán · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Vladimir Putin Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.9% Bid 3.9% · Ask 4.0% Vladimir Putin Open Kalshi ↗	—
Volodymyr Zelenskyy Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.8% Bid 8.5% · Ask 9.8% Volodymyr Zelenskyy Open Kalshi ↗	—
Xi Jinping Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.4% Bid 2.4% · Ask 2.8% Xi Jinping Open Kalshi ↗	—

Ahmad al-Sharaa

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

3.3%

Bid 3.3% · Ask 6.6%

Ahmad al-Sharaa

Open Kalshi ↗

Aleksandar Vučić

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

62.0%

Bid 59.0% · Ask 65.0%

Aleksandar Vučić · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Ali Khamenei

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

70.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Ali Khamenei · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Benjamin Netanyahu

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

39.0%

Bid 37.0% · Ask 39.0%

Benjamin Netanyahu

Open Kalshi ↗

Christopher Luxon

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

46.0%

Bid 46.0% · Ask 50.0%

Christopher Luxon

Open Kalshi ↗

Claudia Sheinbaum

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.5%

Bid 2.5% · Ask 3.6%

Claudia Sheinbaum

Open Kalshi ↗

Cyril Ramaphosa

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.5%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 6.5%

Cyril Ramaphosa

Open Kalshi ↗

Daniel Noboa

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.1%

Bid 1.3% · Ask 6.1%

Daniel Noboa

Open Kalshi ↗

Delcy Rodriguez

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

8.6%

Bid 6.1% · Ask 8.6%

Delcy Rodriguez

Open Kalshi ↗

Denis Sassou Nguesso

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.4%

Bid 3.3% · Ask 5.4%

Denis Sassou Nguesso

Open Kalshi ↗

Edi Rama

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

12.0%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 13.0%

Edi Rama

Open Kalshi ↗

Emmanuel Macron

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

7.5%

Bid 5.3% · Ask 7.5%

Emmanuel Macron

Open Kalshi ↗

Félix Tshisekedi

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.7%

Bid 1.6% · Ask 5.7%

Félix Tshisekedi

Open Kalshi ↗

Frederik X

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.2%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 4.4%

Frederik X

Open Kalshi ↗

Friedrich Merz

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.9%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 6.9%

Friedrich Merz

Open Kalshi ↗

Giorgia Meloni

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

3.9%

Bid 2.5% · Ask 3.9%

Giorgia Meloni

Open Kalshi ↗

Gustavo Petro

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.9%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Gustavo Petro · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Irfaan Ali

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.9%

Irfaan Ali

Open Kalshi ↗

Javier Milei

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.3%

Bid 2.3% · Ask 3.9%

Javier Milei

Open Kalshi ↗

Jens-Frederik Nielsen

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 1.3% · Ask 5.0%

Jens-Frederik Nielsen

Open Kalshi ↗

José Jerí

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

98.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

José Jerí · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Keir Starmer

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

96.2%

Bid 96.2% · Ask 97.0%

Keir Starmer · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Kim Jong Un

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.5%

Bid 4.5% · Ask 6.0%

Kim Jong Un

Open Kalshi ↗

Lee Jae Myung

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.8%

Bid 3.2% · Ask 4.8%

Lee Jae Myung

Open Kalshi ↗

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.9%

Bid 2.6% · Ask 4.9%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Open Kalshi ↗

Mark Carney

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.1%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 4.1%

Mark Carney

Open Kalshi ↗

Mette Frederiksen

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.2%

Bid 5.2% · Ask 6.2%

Mette Frederiksen

Open Kalshi ↗

Miguel Díaz-Canel

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

12.0%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 13.0%

Miguel Díaz-Canel

Open Kalshi ↗

Mohammed bin Salman

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

13.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 14.0%

Mohammed bin Salman

Open Kalshi ↗

Narendra Modi

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.7%

Bid 2.5% · Ask 4.7%

Narendra Modi

Open Kalshi ↗

Nayib Bukele

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.8%

Bid 1.4% · Ask 2.8%

Nayib Bukele

Open Kalshi ↗

Nicolás Maduro

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Nicolás Maduro · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Pedro Sánchez

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

16.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 16.0%

Pedro Sánchez

Open Kalshi ↗

Ramzan Kadyrov

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 6.0%

Ramzan Kadyrov

Open Kalshi ↗

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 2.3% · Ask 4.9%

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

Open Kalshi ↗

Rodrigo Paz Pereira

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.7%

Bid 3.9% · Ask 9.6%

Rodrigo Paz Pereira

Open Kalshi ↗

Sanae Takaichi

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.1%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 4.5%

Sanae Takaichi

Open Kalshi ↗

Sébastien Lecornu

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

18.0%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 22.0%

Sébastien Lecornu

Open Kalshi ↗

Viktor Orbán

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.8%

Bid 99.8% · Ask 99.9%

Viktor Orbán · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Vladimir Putin

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

3.9%

Bid 3.9% · Ask 4.0%

Vladimir Putin

Open Kalshi ↗

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

9.8%

Bid 8.5% · Ask 9.8%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

Open Kalshi ↗

Xi Jinping

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.4%

Bid 2.4% · Ask 2.8%

Xi Jinping

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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