Home🏛️PoliticsWho will leave the Trump administration in 2026?
Live marketEnds Jan 1, 2027 (9mo)Updated 15m ago

Who will leave the Trump administration in 2026?

Live prediction market odds for "Who will leave the Trump administration in 2026?". Pam Bondi is leading at 99.0%. The next most likely outcome is Lori Chavez-DeRemer at 76.0%. Total volume is $3.1M across 34 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2027.

Leading Outcome
Pam Bondi
99.0%
Total Vol
$3.1M
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Pam Bondi
$566K volume
99.0%
Lori Chavez-DeRemer
$119K volume
76.0%
Kash Patel
$372K volume
66.0%
Tulsi Gabbard
$198K volume
63.0%
Howard Lutnick
$203K volume
62.0%
Todd Blanche
$22K volume
60.0%
Amy Gleason
$17K volume
58.0%
Lee Zeldin
$15K volume
58.0%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Who will leave the Trump administration in 2026?". Pam Bondi is leading at 99.0%. The next most likely outcome is Lori Chavez-DeRemer at 76.0%. Total volume is $3.1M across 34 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2027.

Expected resolution date: Jan 1, 2027.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 2 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
8
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
272h
Sources
8
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
272h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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