Home🏛️PoliticsWho will leave Trump Administration before 2027?
Live marketEnds Dec 31, 2026 (8mo)Updated 3m ago

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

Live prediction market odds for "Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?". Tulsi Gabbard is leading at 63.5%. The next most likely outcome is Kash Patel at 57.5%. Total volume is $836K across 17 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Dec 31, 2026.

Leading Outcome
Tulsi Gabbard
63.5%
Total Vol
$836K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Tulsi Gabbard
$18K volume
63.5%
Kash Patel
$160K volume
57.5%
Kristi Noem
$85K volume
54.5%
Howard Lutnick
$35K volume
52.0%
Lee Zeldin
$24K volume
46.0%
Pete Hegseth
$18K volume
45.5%
John Ratcliffe
Volume n/a
39.5%
Dan Scavino
$31 volume
33.0%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?". Tulsi Gabbard is leading at 63.5%. The next most likely outcome is Kash Patel at 57.5%. Total volume is $836K across 17 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Dec 31, 2026.

Expected resolution date: Dec 31, 2026.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

54%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score -0.054 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 10 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
54%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
10
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
54%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
10%
Median Age
312h
Sources
10
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
54%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
10%
Median Age
312h
Avg Sentiment
-0.025
Neutral %
90%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: google_news_rss

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