Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Before Jan 1, 2028
$316K volume
71.0%
—
Before Jan 1, 2027
$717K volume
13.0%
—
Before Jun 1, 2026
$936K volume
4.0%
—
Live marketEnds Jan 1, 2028 (1y 270d)Updated 6m ago
Will Trump be impeached?
Live prediction market odds for "Will Trump be impeached?". Before Jan 1, 2028 is leading at 71.0%. The next most likely outcome is Before Jan 1, 2027 at 13.0%. Total volume is $2.0M across 3 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2028.
Leading Outcome
Before Jan 1, 2028
71.0%
Total Vol
$2.0M
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Will Trump be impeached?". Before Jan 1, 2028 is leading at 71.0%. The next most likely outcome is Before Jan 1, 2027 at 13.0%. Total volume is $2.0M across 3 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2028.
Expected resolution date: Jan 1, 2028.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 5 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
5
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
282h
Sources
5
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
282h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss
Latest News
Ro Khanna Vows Democrats ‘Will Impeach’ Trump If They Win The House
Bing News·1d ago·neutral
The campaign to impeach President Trump has begun
Bing News·3d ago·neutral
Pelosi won't say if Democrats will impeach Trump if they retake power, but leaves door open - foxnews.com
foxnews.com·5d ago·neutral
Will Donald Trump be impeached a third time? Exploring the likelihood
Bing News·7d ago·neutral
Is Trump facing impeachment in 2027? Here's what's been tried
Bing News·10d ago·neutral
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