Market comparison

Will Trump be impeached?

2 venues · 17 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $3.4M reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2028

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

4 outcomes · $1.2M reported volume

Observed 4m ago

Observed 3m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Will Trump be impeached?
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Before Apr 1, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	35.0% Bid 34.0% · Ask 36.0% Before Apr 1, 2027 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Before Aug 1, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	53.0% Bid 53.0% · Ask 54.0% Before Aug 1, 2027 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Before Feb 1, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.0% Bid 15.0% · Ask 16.0% Before Feb 1, 2027 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Before Jan 1, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Before Jan 1, 2026 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Before Jan 1, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.6% Bid 3.1% · Ask 3.6% Before Jan 1, 2027 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Before Jan 1, 2028 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	65.0% Bid 64.0% · Ask 65.0% Before Jan 1, 2028 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Before Jul 1, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	47.0% Bid 47.0% · Ask 48.0% Before Jul 1, 2027 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Before Jun 1, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Before Jun 1, 2026 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Before Jun 1, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	42.0% Bid 42.0% · Ask 43.0% Before Jun 1, 2027 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Before Mar 1, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	28.0% Bid 26.0% · Ask 28.0% Before Mar 1, 2027 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Before May 1, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	39.0% Bid 39.0% · Ask 40.0% Before May 1, 2027 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Before Oct 1, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	64.0% Bid 63.0% · Ask 64.0% Before Oct 1, 2027 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Before Sep 1, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Before Sep 1, 2026 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
December 31, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.1% Bid 1.9% · Ask 2.2% December 31, 2026 Open Polymarket ↗	—
December 31, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	62.5% Bid 53.0% · Ask 72.0% December 31, 2027 Open Polymarket ↗	—
June 30, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	49.0% Bid 42.0% · Ask 56.0% June 30, 2027 Open Polymarket ↗	—
Yes Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	78.5% Bid 76.0% · Ask 81.0% Yes Open Polymarket ↗	—

Before Apr 1, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

35.0%

Bid 34.0% · Ask 36.0%

Before Apr 1, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Before Aug 1, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

53.0%

Bid 53.0% · Ask 54.0%

Before Aug 1, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Before Feb 1, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 16.0%

Before Feb 1, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Before Jan 1, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Before Jan 1, 2026 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Before Jan 1, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

3.6%

Bid 3.1% · Ask 3.6%

Before Jan 1, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Before Jan 1, 2028

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

65.0%

Bid 64.0% · Ask 65.0%

Before Jan 1, 2028

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Before Jul 1, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

47.0%

Bid 47.0% · Ask 48.0%

Before Jul 1, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Before Jun 1, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.1%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Before Jun 1, 2026 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Before Jun 1, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

42.0%

Bid 42.0% · Ask 43.0%

Before Jun 1, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Before Mar 1, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

28.0%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 28.0%

Before Mar 1, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Before May 1, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

39.0%

Bid 39.0% · Ask 40.0%

Before May 1, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Before Oct 1, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

64.0%

Bid 63.0% · Ask 64.0%

Before Oct 1, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Before Sep 1, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Before Sep 1, 2026 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

December 31, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

2.1%

Bid 1.9% · Ask 2.2%

December 31, 2026

Open Polymarket ↗

December 31, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

62.5%

Bid 53.0% · Ask 72.0%

December 31, 2027

Open Polymarket ↗

June 30, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

49.0%

Bid 42.0% · Ask 56.0%

June 30, 2027

Open Polymarket ↗

Yes

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

78.5%

Bid 76.0% · Ask 81.0%

Yes

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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