2026 midterms · Connecticut
Connecticut 2026 Election Odds
Live
Kalshi and
Polymarket odds for Connecticut's 2026 races — governor and 5 House districts. Election Day is November 3, 2026.
Connecticut Governor
Safe D
Kalshi
- Ned Lamont96%
- Ryan Fazio4%
Polymarket
- Ned Lamont97%
- Ryan Fazio3%
Venue gap 0.7 ptsCompare odds → Connecticut House races
Every Connecticut district with a market on either venue.
Connecticut House races| District | Rating | Kalshi favourite | Polymarket favourite | Gap | Link |
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| CT-01 | Safe D | Luke Bronin97% | Luke Bronin97% | 0.1 pts | Odds → |
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| CT-02 | Safe D | Joe Courtney99% | Joe Courtney97% | 2.0 pts | Odds → |
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| CT-03 | Safe D | Rosa DeLauro97% | Rosa DeLauro97% | 0.4 pts | Odds → |
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| CT-04 | Safe D | Jim Himes97% | Jim Himes97% | 0.8 pts | Odds → |
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| CT-05 | Safe D | Jahana Hayes97% | Jahana Hayes96% | 1.1 pts | Odds → |
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Connecticut midterms: common questions
- Who will win the Connecticut governor race in 2026?
- Ned Lamont (Democrat) is favoured to win the Connecticut governor race, at 96% on Kalshi and 97% on Polymarket.
- Which Connecticut House races are competitive in 2026?
- Prediction markets don't rate any Connecticut House district as a toss-up or lean race right now.