2026 midterms · Nevada
Nevada 2026 Election Odds
Live 
Kalshi and 
Polymarket odds for Nevada's 2026 races — governor and 4 House districts. Election Day is November 3, 2026.
Nevada Governor
FlipLean DKalshi
- Aaron Ford66%
- Joe Lombardo34%
Polymarket
- Aaron Ford67%
- Joe Lombardo34%
Venue gap 0.5 ptsCompare odds → Nevada House races
Every Nevada district with a market on either venue.
Nevada House races| District | Rating | Kalshi favourite | Polymarket favourite | Gap | Link |
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| NV-01 | Safe D | Dina Titus96% | Dina Titus97% | 1.0 pts | Odds → |
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| NV-02 | Lean R | David Flippo63% | David Flippo62% | 1.5 pts | Odds → |
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| NV-03 | Safe D | Susie Lee93% | Susie Lee94% | 0.6 pts | Odds → |
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| NV-04 | Safe D | Steven Horsford96% | Steven Horsford96% | 0.4 pts | Odds → |
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Nevada midterms: common questions
- Who will win the Nevada governor race in 2026?
- Aaron Ford (Democrat) is favoured to win the Nevada governor race, at 66% on Kalshi and 67% on Polymarket.
- Which Nevada House races are competitive in 2026?
- Prediction markets rate NV-02 as toss-up or lean races.