Virginia Senate
Safe D
Kalshi
- Mark Warner98%
- Bert Mizusawa2%
Polymarket
- Mark Warner98%
- Bert Mizusawa2%
Venue gap 0.0 ptsCompare odds →
2026 midterms · Virginia
Virginia 2026 Election Odds
Live Kalshi and Polymarket odds for Virginia's 2026 races — Senate and 11 House districts. Election Day is November 3, 2026.
Virginia House races
Every Virginia district with a market on either venue.
| District | Rating | Kalshi favourite | Polymarket favourite | Gap | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VA-01 | Lean D | Shannon Taylor60% | Shannon Taylor61% | 0.5 pts | Odds → |
| VA-02 | Likely D | Elaine Luria89% | Elaine Luria89% | 0.5 pts | Odds → |
| VA-03 | Safe D | Not listed | Bobby Scott96% | — | Odds → |
| VA-04 | Safe D | Jennifer McClellan98% | Jennifer McClellan97% | 1.3 pts | Odds → |
| VA-05 | Lean R | John McGuire61% | John McGuire62% | 0.5 pts | Odds → |
| VA-06 | Safe R | Ben Cline93% | Ben Cline93% | 0.3 pts | Odds → |
| VA-07 | Safe D | Eugene Vindman96% | Eugene Vindman96% | 0.2 pts | Odds → |
| VA-08 | Safe D | Don Beyer98% | Don Beyer96% | 1.9 pts | Odds → |
| VA-09 | Safe R | Morgan Griffith97% | Morgan Griffith97% | 0.2 pts | Odds → |
| VA-10 | Safe D | Suhas Subramanyam96% | Suhas Subramanyam97% | 0.7 pts | Odds → |
| VA-11 | Safe D | James Walkinshaw97% | James Walkinshaw97% | 0.6 pts | Odds → |
Virginia midterms: common questions
- Who will win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?
- Mark Warner (Democrat) is favoured to win the Virginia Senate race, at 98% on Kalshi and 98% on Polymarket.
- Which Virginia House races are competitive in 2026?
- Prediction markets rate VA-01, VA-05 as toss-up or lean races.