Wisconsin Governor
Likely D
Kalshi
- David Crowley81%
- Tom Tiffany20%
Polymarket
- David Crowley81%
- Tom Tiffany20%
Venue gap 0.5 ptsCompare odds →
2026 midterms · Wisconsin
Wisconsin 2026 Election Odds
Live Kalshi and Polymarket odds for Wisconsin's 2026 races — governor and 8 House districts. Election Day is November 3, 2026.
Wisconsin House races
Every Wisconsin district with a market on either venue.
| District | Rating | Kalshi favourite | Polymarket favourite | Gap | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WI-01 | Toss-up | Bryan Steil57% | Bryan Steil56% | 1.0 pts | Odds → |
| WI-02 | Safe D | Mark Pocan97% | Mark Pocan98% | 1.4 pts | Odds → |
| WI-03 | Likely D | Rebecca Cooke78% | Rebecca Cooke78% | 0.5 pts | Odds → |
| WI-04 | Safe D | Gwen Moore98% | Gwen Moore95% | 2.7 pts | Odds → |
| WI-05 | Safe R | Scott Fitzgerald96% | Scott Fitzgerald97% | 1.5 pts | Odds → |
| WI-06 | Safe R | Glenn Grothman92% | Glenn Grothman92% | 0.5 pts | Odds → |
| WI-07 | Safe R | Michael Alfonso95% | Michael Alfonso95% | 0.2 pts | Odds → |
| WI-08 | Safe R | Tony Wied90% | Tony Wied90% | 0.0 pts | Odds → |
Wisconsin midterms: common questions
- Who will win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?
- David Crowley (Democrat) is favoured to win the Wisconsin governor race, at 81% on Kalshi and 81% on Polymarket.
- Which Wisconsin House races are competitive in 2026?
- Prediction markets rate WI-01 as toss-up or lean races.