Top of book
ConnectingBest bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—
Waiting for the first live quote…
What the markets expect
Housewife 57%
Next is Patient Zero at 52%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Housewife57%57%53¢ bid, 70¢ askpolled, 23s ago70¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $143 (1.43x)Housewife57%Kalshi 57%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 70¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Housewife
57%
57%
53¢ bid, 70¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
70¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Housewife
57%
Kalshi 57%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 70¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Housewife
- Last price
- 57%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 70¢
- Sell Yes
- 53¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $143 (1.43x)
- Volume
- $3K
Patient Zero52%52%— bid, 52¢ askpolled, 23s ago52¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $192 (1.92x)Patient Zero52%Kalshi 52%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 52¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Patient Zero
52%
52%
— bid, 52¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
52¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Patient Zero
52%
Kalshi 52%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 52¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Patient Zero
- Last price
- 52%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 52¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $192 (1.92x)
- Volume
- $2K
Choosin' Texas47%47%32¢ bid, 49¢ askpolled, 23s ago49¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $204 (2.04x)Choosin' Texas47%Kalshi 47%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Choosin' Texas
47%
47%
32¢ bid, 49¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
49¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Choosin' Texas
47%
Kalshi 47%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Choosin' Texas
- Last price
- 47%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 49¢
- Sell Yes
- 32¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $204 (2.04x)
- Volume
- $22K
Expectations6%6%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 23s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Expectations6%Kalshi 6%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Expectations
6%
6%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Expectations
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Expectations
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $540
Babydoll1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 23s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Babydoll1%Kalshi 1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Babydoll
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Babydoll
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Babydoll
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $287
BbY WOW1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 23s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)BbY WOW1%Kalshi 1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
BbY WOW
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
BbY WOW
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- BbY WOW
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $100
BE HER1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 23s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)BE HER1%Kalshi 1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
BE HER
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
BE HER
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- BE HER
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $100
Been By Now1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 23s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Been By Now1%Kalshi 1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Been By Now
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Been By Now
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Been By Now
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $100
Boston1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 23s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Boston1%Kalshi 1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Boston
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Boston
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Boston
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $100
Earrings1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 23s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Earrings1%Kalshi 1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Earrings
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Earrings
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Earrings
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $100
Show 15 more outcomesHide 15 outcomes
hate that i made you love me1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 23s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)hate that i made you love me1%Kalshi 1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
hate that i made you love me
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
hate that i made you love me
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- hate that i made you love me
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $100
I Just Might1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 23s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)I Just Might1%Kalshi 1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
I Just Might
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
I Just Might
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- I Just Might
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $194
LAST THING YOU NEED1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 23s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)LAST THING YOU NEED1%Kalshi 1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
LAST THING YOU NEED
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
LAST THING YOU NEED
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- LAST THING YOU NEED
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $101
Lies1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 23s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Lies1%Kalshi 1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Lies
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Lies
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Lies
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $179
LODI WHEN1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 23s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)LODI WHEN1%Kalshi 1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
LODI WHEN
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
LODI WHEN
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- LODI WHEN
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $100
LOVING LIFE AGAIN1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 23s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)LOVING LIFE AGAIN1%Kalshi 1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
LOVING LIFE AGAIN
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
LOVING LIFE AGAIN
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- LOVING LIFE AGAIN
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $100
Man I Need1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 23s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Man I Need1%Kalshi 1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Man I Need
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Man I Need
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Man I Need
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $100
Midnight Sun1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 23s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Midnight Sun1%Kalshi 1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Midnight Sun
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Midnight Sun
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Midnight Sun
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $334
Nicole Kidman1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 23s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Nicole Kidman1%Kalshi 1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Nicole Kidman
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Nicole Kidman
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nicole Kidman
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $364
Quebec1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 23s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Quebec1%Kalshi 1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Quebec
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Quebec
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Quebec
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $100
Risk It All1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 23s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Risk It All1%Kalshi 1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Risk It All
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Risk It All
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Risk It All
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $100
ROBOT KILLED THE WORKING MAN1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 23s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)ROBOT KILLED THE WORKING MAN1%Kalshi 1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
ROBOT KILLED THE WORKING MAN
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
ROBOT KILLED THE WORKING MAN
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- ROBOT KILLED THE WORKING MAN
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $100
Solar Eclipse1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 23s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Solar Eclipse1%Kalshi 1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Solar Eclipse
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Solar Eclipse
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Solar Eclipse
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $100
stupid song1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 23s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)stupid song1%Kalshi 1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
stupid song
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
stupid song
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- stupid song
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $100
the cure1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 23s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)the cure1%Kalshi 1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
the cure
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
the cure
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- the cure
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $118
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Billboard
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Housewife
- Patient Zero
- Choosin' Texas
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "#1 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Oct 31, 2026?". Housewife leads at 57%. Next is Patient Zero at 52%. $30K has traded across 25 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 26, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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