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What the markets expect
Erling Braut Haaland 35.3%
Next is Alysa Liu at 19.8%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
Outcome
Fair chance
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Best Yes price
Erling Braut Haaland35.3%37.5%35.3% fair34¢ bid, 41¢ askpolled, 43s ago41¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $244 (2.44x)Erling Braut Haaland35.3%Polymarket 37.5%(35.3% fair)polled, 43s agoBest Yes 41¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Erling Braut Haaland
35.3%
37.5%
35.3% fair
34¢ bid, 41¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
41¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Erling Braut Haaland
35.3%
Polymarket 37.5%(35.3% fair)polled, 43s agoBest Yes 41¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Erling Braut Haaland
- Last price
- 37.5%
- Fair, margin removed
- 35.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 41¢
- Sell Yes
- 34¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $244 (2.44x)
- Volume
- $10K
Alysa Liu19.8%21%19.8% fair20¢ bid, 22¢ askpolled, 43s ago22¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $455 (4.55x)Alysa Liu19.8%Polymarket 21%(19.8% fair)polled, 43s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Alysa Liu
19.8%
21%
19.8% fair
20¢ bid, 22¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
22¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Alysa Liu
19.8%
Polymarket 21%(19.8% fair)polled, 43s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Alysa Liu
- Last price
- 21%
- Fair, margin removed
- 19.8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 22¢
- Sell Yes
- 20¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $455 (4.55x)
- Volume
- $22K
Lionel Messi7.5%8%6¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 43s ago10¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Lionel Messi7.5%Polymarket 8%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Lionel Messi
7.5%
8%
6¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
10¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Lionel Messi
7.5%
Polymarket 8%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Lionel Messi
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $19K
Anthony Joshua4.5%4.8%0.5¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 43s ago9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Anthony Joshua4.5%Polymarket 4.8%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Anthony Joshua
4.5%
4.8%
0.5¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Anthony Joshua
4.5%
Polymarket 4.8%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Anthony Joshua
- Last price
- 4.8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $353
Folarin Balogun4.2%4.5%1.7¢ bid, 7.2¢ askpolled, 43s ago7.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,389 (13.9x)Folarin Balogun4.2%Polymarket 4.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 7.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,389 (13.9x)
Folarin Balogun
4.2%
4.5%
1.7¢ bid, 7.2¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
7.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,389 (13.9x)
Folarin Balogun
4.2%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 7.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,389 (13.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Folarin Balogun
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,389 (13.9x)
- Volume
- $322
Arch Manning4.1%4.3%0.2¢ bid, 8.4¢ askpolled, 43s ago8.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,190 (11.9x)Arch Manning4.1%Polymarket 4.3%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 8.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,190 (11.9x)
Arch Manning
4.1%
4.3%
0.2¢ bid, 8.4¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
8.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,190 (11.9x)
Arch Manning
4.1%
Polymarket 4.3%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 8.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,190 (11.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Arch Manning
- Last price
- 4.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,190 (11.9x)
- Volume
- $332
Lamine Yamal3.8%4%3.2¢ bid, 4.8¢ askpolled, 43s ago4.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)Lamine Yamal3.8%Polymarket 4%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 4.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Lamine Yamal
3.8%
4%
3.2¢ bid, 4.8¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
4.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Lamine Yamal
3.8%
Polymarket 4%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 4.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Lamine Yamal
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 3.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,083 (20.8x)
- Volume
- $4K
Lindsey Vonn3.8%4.1%0.1¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 43s ago8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Lindsey Vonn3.8%Polymarket 4.1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Lindsey Vonn
3.8%
4.1%
0.1¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Lindsey Vonn
3.8%
Polymarket 4.1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Lindsey Vonn
- Last price
- 4.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $216
Jalen Brunson3.7%3.9%2.8¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 43s ago5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Jalen Brunson3.7%Polymarket 3.9%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Jalen Brunson
3.7%
3.9%
2.8¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Jalen Brunson
3.7%
Polymarket 3.9%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Jalen Brunson
- Last price
- 3.9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 2.8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $2K
Ilia Malinin3.1%3.3%0.3¢ bid, 6.2¢ askpolled, 43s ago6.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,613 (16.1x)Ilia Malinin3.1%Polymarket 3.3%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 6.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,613 (16.1x)
Ilia Malinin
3.1%
3.3%
0.3¢ bid, 6.2¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
6.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,613 (16.1x)
Ilia Malinin
3.1%
Polymarket 3.3%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 6.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,613 (16.1x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ilia Malinin
- Last price
- 3.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,613 (16.1x)
- Volume
- $333
Show 26 more outcomesHide 26 outcomes
Conor McGregor1.9%2.1%0.2¢ bid, 3.9¢ askpolled, 43s ago3.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,564 (25.6x)Conor McGregor1.9%Polymarket 2.1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 3.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,564 (25.6x)
Conor McGregor
1.9%
2.1%
0.2¢ bid, 3.9¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
3.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,564 (25.6x)
Conor McGregor
1.9%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 3.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,564 (25.6x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Conor McGregor
- Last price
- 2.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,564 (25.6x)
- Volume
- $252
Kylian Mbappé1.9%2%0.3¢ bid, 3.7¢ askpolled, 43s ago3.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,703 (27.0x)Kylian Mbappé1.9%Polymarket 2%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 3.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,703 (27.0x)
Kylian Mbappé
1.9%
2%
0.3¢ bid, 3.7¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
3.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,703 (27.0x)
Kylian Mbappé
1.9%
Polymarket 2%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 3.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,703 (27.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Kylian Mbappé
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,703 (27.0x)
- Volume
- $1K
Kenneth Walker III1.1%1.2%0.3¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 43s ago2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Kenneth Walker III1.1%Polymarket 1.2%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kenneth Walker III
1.1%
1.2%
0.3¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kenneth Walker III
1.1%
Polymarket 1.2%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Kenneth Walker III
- Last price
- 1.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $252
Rodri0.7%0.7%0.4¢ bid, 1¢ askpolled, 43s ago1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Rodri0.7%Polymarket 0.7%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Rodri
0.7%
0.7%
0.4¢ bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Rodri
0.7%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Rodri
- Last price
- 0.7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $15K
LeBron James0.6%0.6%0.2¢ bid, 1¢ askpolled, 43s ago1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $10,000 (100x)LeBron James0.6%Polymarket 0.6%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
LeBron James
0.6%
0.6%
0.2¢ bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
LeBron James
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- LeBron James
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $1K
Victor Wembanyama0.4%0.5%0.1¢ bid, 0.8¢ askpolled, 43s ago0.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $12,500 (125x)Victor Wembanyama0.4%Polymarket 0.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Victor Wembanyama
0.4%
0.5%
0.1¢ bid, 0.8¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
0.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Victor Wembanyama
0.4%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Victor Wembanyama
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $12,500 (125x)
- Volume
- $3K
Alexander Zverev0.3%0.3%0.1¢ bid, 0.5¢ askpolled, 43s ago0.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $20,000 (200x)Alexander Zverev0.3%Polymarket 0.3%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Alexander Zverev
0.3%
0.3%
0.1¢ bid, 0.5¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
0.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Alexander Zverev
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Alexander Zverev
- Last price
- 0.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $20,000 (200x)
- Volume
- $317
Christian Pulisic0.3%0.3%0.1¢ bid, 0.5¢ askpolled, 43s ago0.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $20,000 (200x)Christian Pulisic0.3%Polymarket 0.3%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Christian Pulisic
0.3%
0.3%
0.1¢ bid, 0.5¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
0.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Christian Pulisic
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Christian Pulisic
- Last price
- 0.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $20,000 (200x)
- Volume
- $166
Cooper Flagg0.3%0.3%0.1¢ bid, 0.5¢ askpolled, 43s ago0.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $20,000 (200x)Cooper Flagg0.3%Polymarket 0.3%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Cooper Flagg
0.3%
0.3%
0.1¢ bid, 0.5¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
0.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Cooper Flagg
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Cooper Flagg
- Last price
- 0.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $20,000 (200x)
- Volume
- $166
Drake Maye0.3%0.3%0.1¢ bid, 0.5¢ askpolled, 43s ago0.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $20,000 (200x)Drake Maye0.3%Polymarket 0.3%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Drake Maye
0.3%
0.3%
0.1¢ bid, 0.5¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
0.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Drake Maye
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Drake Maye
- Last price
- 0.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $20,000 (200x)
- Volume
- $166
Pau Cubarsí0.3%0.3%0.1¢ bid, 0.5¢ askpolled, 43s ago0.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $20,000 (200x)Pau Cubarsí0.3%Polymarket 0.3%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Pau Cubarsí
0.3%
0.3%
0.1¢ bid, 0.5¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
0.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Pau Cubarsí
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Pau Cubarsí
- Last price
- 0.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $20,000 (200x)
- Volume
- $389
Rory McIlroy0.3%0.3%0.1¢ bid, 0.5¢ askpolled, 43s ago0.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $20,000 (200x)Rory McIlroy0.3%Polymarket 0.3%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Rory McIlroy
0.3%
0.3%
0.1¢ bid, 0.5¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
0.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Rory McIlroy
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Rory McIlroy
- Last price
- 0.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $20,000 (200x)
- Volume
- $166
Tyson Fury0.3%0.3%0.1¢ bid, 0.5¢ askpolled, 43s ago0.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $20,000 (200x)Tyson Fury0.3%Polymarket 0.3%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Tyson Fury
0.3%
0.3%
0.1¢ bid, 0.5¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
0.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Tyson Fury
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Tyson Fury
- Last price
- 0.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $20,000 (200x)
- Volume
- $166
Jon Jones0.2%0.3%— bid, 0.5¢ askpolled, 43s ago0.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $20,000 (200x)Jon Jones0.2%Polymarket 0.3%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Jon Jones
0.2%
0.3%
— bid, 0.5¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
0.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Jon Jones
0.2%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Jon Jones
- Last price
- 0.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $20,000 (200x)
- Volume
- $174
Max Holloway0.2%0.3%— bid, 0.5¢ askpolled, 43s ago0.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $20,000 (200x)Max Holloway0.2%Polymarket 0.3%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Max Holloway
0.2%
0.3%
— bid, 0.5¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
0.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Max Holloway
0.2%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Max Holloway
- Last price
- 0.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $20,000 (200x)
- Volume
- $174
Sam Darnold0.2%0.2%— bid, 0.4¢ askpolled, 43s ago0.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $25,000 (250x)Sam Darnold0.2%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Sam Darnold
0.2%
0.2%
— bid, 0.4¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
0.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Sam Darnold
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Sam Darnold
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $25,000 (250x)
- Volume
- $263
Shedeur Sanders0.2%0.3%— bid, 0.5¢ askpolled, 43s ago0.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $20,000 (200x)Shedeur Sanders0.2%Polymarket 0.3%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Shedeur Sanders
0.2%
0.3%
— bid, 0.5¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
0.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Shedeur Sanders
0.2%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Shedeur Sanders
- Last price
- 0.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $20,000 (200x)
- Volume
- $174
Caitlin Clark0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.2¢ askpolled, 43s ago0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)Caitlin Clark0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Caitlin Clark
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.2¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
0.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Caitlin Clark
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Caitlin Clark
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $263
Carlos Alcaraz0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.2¢ askpolled, 43s ago0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)Carlos Alcaraz0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Carlos Alcaraz
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.2¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
0.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Carlos Alcaraz
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Carlos Alcaraz
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $263
Chloe Kim0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.2¢ askpolled, 43s ago0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)Chloe Kim0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Chloe Kim
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.2¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
0.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Chloe Kim
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Chloe Kim
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $262
Ilia Topuria0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.2¢ askpolled, 43s ago0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)Ilia Topuria0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Ilia Topuria
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.2¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
0.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Ilia Topuria
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ilia Topuria
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $268
Jake Paul0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.2¢ askpolled, 43s ago0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)Jake Paul0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Jake Paul
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.2¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
0.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Jake Paul
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Jake Paul
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $263
Jannik Sinner0.1%0.2%— bid, 0.3¢ askpolled, 43s ago0.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $33,333 (333x)Jannik Sinner0.1%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Jannik Sinner
0.1%
0.2%
— bid, 0.3¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
0.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Jannik Sinner
0.1%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Jannik Sinner
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $33,333 (333x)
- Volume
- $263
Maikel García0.1%0.2%— bid, 0.3¢ askpolled, 43s ago0.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $33,333 (333x)Maikel García0.1%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Maikel García
0.1%
0.2%
— bid, 0.3¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
0.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Maikel García
0.1%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Maikel García
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $33,333 (333x)
- Volume
- $284
Deshaun Watson0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 43s ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Deshaun Watson0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Deshaun Watson
0%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Deshaun Watson
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Deshaun Watson
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $259
Travis Kelce0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 43s ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Travis Kelce0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Travis Kelce
0%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Travis Kelce
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Travis Kelce
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $416
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Erling Braut Haaland
- Alysa Liu
- Lionel Messi
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "#1 Searched Athlete on Google 2026?". Erling Braut Haaland leads at 35.3%. Next is Alysa Liu at 19.8%. $84K has traded across 36 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 31, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search Global “Athletes” list for 2026. The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global → Sports → Athletes. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure. This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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