The Prediction Markets

#1 song on Spotify this week? (April 3)

Closed
Apr 3, 2026
Traded
$40K
Venues
Polymarket
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This market has closed

Trading ended on Apr 3, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 201 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
SWIM - BTS
99.6%
Polymarket 100%polled, 4846 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
SWIM - BTS
Last price
100%
As of
Polled 201 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.9¢
Volume
$26K
Trade this on Polymarket
Aliens - BTS
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4846 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Aliens - BTS
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 201 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Aliens - BTS
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4846 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Like Animals - BTS
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 201 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Aliens - BTS
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4846 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Body to Body - BTS
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 201 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$984
Trade this on Polymarket
Aliens - BTS
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4846 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Hooligan - BTS
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 201 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Babydoll - Dominic Fike
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4846 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Babydoll - Dominic Fike
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 201 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
FYA - BTS
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4846 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
FYA - BTS
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 201 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
NORMAL - BTS
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4846 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
NORMAL - BTS
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 201 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Risk It All - Bruno Mars
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4846 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Risk It All - Bruno Mars
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 201 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Stateside + Zara Larsson - Pink Pantheress & Zara Larsson
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4846 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Stateside + Zara Larsson - Pink Pantheress & Zara Larsson
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 201 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • SWIM - BTS
  • Aliens - BTS
  • Aliens - BTS

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "#1 song on Spotify this week? (April 3)". SWIM - BTS last traded at 99.6%. Next is Aliens - BTS at 0.1%. $40K has traded across 10 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Apr 3, 2026.

Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs globally and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday. This market will resolve according to the most-streamed song globally on Spotify for the week labeled April 3. If Spotify does not release its top song for the week labeled April 3 by April 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The weekly top songs chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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