The Prediction Markets

#1 song on US Spotify this week? (April 24)

Closed
Apr 24, 2026
Traded
$31K
Venues
Polymarket
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This market has closed

Trading ended on Apr 24, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 181 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo
99.6%
Polymarket 100%polled, 4366 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo
Last price
100%
As of
Polled 181 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.9¢
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Polymarket
Babydoll - Dominic Fike
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4366 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Babydoll - Dominic Fike
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 181 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$655
Trade this on Polymarket
Be Her - Ella Langley
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4366 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Be Her - Ella Langley
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 181 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$561
Trade this on Polymarket
Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber, Nicki Minaj
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4366 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber, Nicki Minaj
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 181 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4366 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 181 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$16K
Trade this on Polymarket
E85 - Don Toliver
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4366 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
E85 - Don Toliver
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 181 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$552
Trade this on Polymarket
iloveitiloveitiloveit - Bella Kay
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4366 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
iloveitiloveitiloveit - Bella Kay
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 181 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$416
Trade this on Polymarket
Potential - sombr
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4366 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Potential - sombr
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 181 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$619
Trade this on Polymarket
She Did It Again - Tyla, Zara Larsson
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4366 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
She Did It Again - Tyla, Zara Larsson
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 181 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$649
Trade this on Polymarket
Stateside + Zara Larsson - PinkPantheress, Zara Larsson
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4366 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Stateside + Zara Larsson - PinkPantheress, Zara Larsson
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 181 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$596
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo
  • Babydoll - Dominic Fike
  • Be Her - Ella Langley

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "#1 song on US Spotify this week? (April 24)". Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo last traded at 99.6%. Next is Babydoll - Dominic Fike at 0.1%. $31K has traded across 10 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Apr 24, 2026.

Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs globally and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday. This market will resolve according to the most-streamed song in the U.S. on Spotify for the week labeled April 24. If Spotify does not release its top song for the week labeled April 24 by April 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The weekly top songs - USA chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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