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Trading ended on Jun 22, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets
Odds by venue
Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 125 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Fair chance
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Choosin' Texas60.9%81%60.9% fair79¢ bid, 80¢ askpolled, 3017 h ago80¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $125 (1.25x)Choosin' Texas60.9%Kalshi 81%(60.9% fair)polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Choosin' Texas
60.9%
81%
60.9% fair
79¢ bid, 80¢ ask
polled, 3017 h ago
80¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Choosin' Texas
60.9%
Kalshi 81%(60.9% fair)polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Choosin' Texas
- Last price
- 81%
- Fair, margin removed
- 60.9%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 80¢
- Sell Yes
- 79¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $125 (1.25x)
- Volume
- $2K
stupid song16.5%22%16.5% fair22¢ bid, 23¢ askpolled, 3017 h ago23¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $435 (4.35x)stupid song16.5%Kalshi 22%(16.5% fair)polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
stupid song
16.5%
22%
16.5% fair
22¢ bid, 23¢ ask
polled, 3017 h ago
23¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $435 (4.35x)
stupid song
16.5%
Kalshi 22%(16.5% fair)polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- stupid song
- Last price
- 22%
- Fair, margin removed
- 16.5%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 23¢
- Sell Yes
- 22¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $435 (4.35x)
- Volume
- $5K
drop dead1.5%2%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 3017 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)drop dead1.5%Kalshi 2%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
drop dead
1.5%
2%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 3017 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
drop dead
1.5%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- drop dead
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $1K
BE HER0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3017 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)BE HER0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
BE HER
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3017 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
BE HER
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- BE HER
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $50
begged0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3017 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)begged0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
begged
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3017 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
begged
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- begged
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $50
Billie Jean0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3017 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Billie Jean0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Billie Jean
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3017 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Billie Jean
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Billie Jean
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $50
Boston0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3017 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Boston0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Boston
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3017 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Boston
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Boston
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $50
EARRINGS0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3017 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)EARRINGS0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
EARRINGS
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3017 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
EARRINGS
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- EARRINGS
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $50
expectations0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3017 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)expectations0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
expectations
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3017 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
expectations
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- expectations
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $50
Folded0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3017 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Folded0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Folded
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3017 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Folded
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Folded
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $50
Show 21 more outcomesHide 21 outcomes
hate that i made you love me0.8%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 3017 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)hate that i made you love me0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
hate that i made you love me
0.8%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 3017 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
hate that i made you love me
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- hate that i made you love me
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $985
honeybee0.8%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 3017 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)honeybee0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
honeybee
0.8%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 3017 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
honeybee
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- honeybee
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $50
I CAN'T LOVE YOU ANYMORE0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3017 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)I CAN'T LOVE YOU ANYMORE0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
I CAN'T LOVE YOU ANYMORE
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3017 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
I CAN'T LOVE YOU ANYMORE
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- I CAN'T LOVE YOU ANYMORE
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $50
I Just Might0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3017 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)I Just Might0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
I Just Might
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3017 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
I Just Might
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- I Just Might
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $50
I Knew It, I Knew You0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3017 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)I Knew It, I Knew You0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
I Knew It, I Knew You
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3017 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
I Knew It, I Knew You
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- I Knew It, I Knew You
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $153
Janice STFU0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3017 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Janice STFU0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Janice STFU
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3017 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Janice STFU
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Janice STFU
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $250
less0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3017 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)less0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
less
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3017 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
less
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- less
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $50
maggots for brains0.8%1%— bid, 40¢ askpolled, 3017 h ago40¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $250 (2.50x)maggots for brains0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
maggots for brains
0.8%
1%
— bid, 40¢ ask
polled, 3017 h ago
40¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $250 (2.50x)
maggots for brains
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- maggots for brains
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 40¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $250 (2.50x)
- Volume
- $50
Man I Need0.7%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3017 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Man I Need0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Man I Need
0.7%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3017 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Man I Need
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Man I Need
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $50
my way0.7%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3017 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)my way0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
my way
0.7%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3017 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
my way
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- my way
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $50
National Treasures0.7%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3017 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)National Treasures0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
National Treasures
0.7%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3017 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
National Treasures
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- National Treasures
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $50
purple0.7%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3017 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)purple0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
purple
0.7%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3017 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
purple
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- purple
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $50
Ran To Atlanta0.7%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3017 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Ran To Atlanta0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Ran To Atlanta
0.7%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3017 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Ran To Atlanta
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ran To Atlanta
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $50
Risk It All0.7%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3017 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Risk It All0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Risk It All
0.7%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3017 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Risk It All
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Risk It All
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $50
Shabang0.7%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3017 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Shabang0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Shabang
0.7%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3017 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Shabang
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Shabang
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $50
So Easy (To Fall In Love)0.7%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3017 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)So Easy (To Fall In Love)0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
So Easy (To Fall In Love)
0.7%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3017 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
So Easy (To Fall In Love)
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- So Easy (To Fall In Love)
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $50
STATESIDE0.7%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3017 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)STATESIDE0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
STATESIDE
0.7%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3017 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
STATESIDE
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- STATESIDE
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $50
the cure0.7%1%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 3017 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)the cure0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
the cure
0.7%
1%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 3017 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
the cure
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- the cure
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $50
u + me = <30.7%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3017 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)u + me = <30.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
u + me = <3
0.7%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3017 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
u + me = <3
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- u + me = <3
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $50
what’s wrong with me0.7%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3017 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)what’s wrong with me0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
what’s wrong with me
0.7%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3017 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
what’s wrong with me
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- what’s wrong with me
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $50
Whisper My Name0.7%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3017 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Whisper My Name0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Whisper My Name
0.7%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3017 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Whisper My Name
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3017 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Whisper My Name
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $50
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Billboard
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Choosin' Texas
- stupid song
- drop dead
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Final prediction market prices for "#2 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Jun 27, 2026?". Choosin' Texas last traded at 60.9%. Next is stupid song at 16.5%. $11K has traded across 31 outcomes on Kalshi. The market closed on Jun 22, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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