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Trading ended on May 18, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 158 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
BE HER98%98%98¢ bid, 99¢ askpolled, 3813 h ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)BE HER98%Kalshi 98%polled, 3813 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
BE HER
98%
98%
98¢ bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 3813 h ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
BE HER
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 3813 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- BE HER
- Last price
- 98%
- As of
- Polled 158 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- 98¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
- Volume
- $4K
Man I Need83%83%— bid, 10¢ askpolled, 3813 h ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Man I Need83%Kalshi 83%polled, 3813 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Man I Need
83%
83%
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 3813 h ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Man I Need
83%
Kalshi 83%polled, 3813 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Man I Need
- Last price
- 83%
- As of
- Polled 158 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $262
drop dead13%13%1¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 3813 h ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)drop dead13%Kalshi 13%polled, 3813 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
drop dead
13%
13%
1¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 3813 h ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
drop dead
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 3813 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- drop dead
- Last price
- 13%
- As of
- Polled 158 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $53
Billie Jean8%8%1¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 3813 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Billie Jean8%Kalshi 8%polled, 3813 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Billie Jean
8%
8%
1¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 3813 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Billie Jean
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 3813 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Billie Jean
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled 158 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $52
I Just Might8%8%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, 3813 h ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)I Just Might8%Kalshi 8%polled, 3813 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
I Just Might
8%
8%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 3813 h ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
I Just Might
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 3813 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- I Just Might
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled 158 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $53
Boston4.5%4.5%1¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 3813 h ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Boston4.5%Kalshi 4.5%polled, 3813 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Boston
4.5%
4.5%
1¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 3813 h ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Boston
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 3813 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Boston
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled 158 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
EARRINGS2.5%2.5%1¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 3813 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)EARRINGS2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3813 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
EARRINGS
2.5%
2.5%
1¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 3813 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
EARRINGS
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3813 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- EARRINGS
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 158 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
American Cars1%1%— bid, 8¢ askpolled, 3813 h ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)American Cars1%Kalshi 1%polled, 3813 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
American Cars
1%
1%
— bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 3813 h ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
American Cars
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3813 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- American Cars
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 158 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $50
BABYDOLL1%1%— bid, 8¢ askpolled, 3813 h ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)BABYDOLL1%Kalshi 1%polled, 3813 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
BABYDOLL
1%
1%
— bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 3813 h ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
BABYDOLL
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3813 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- BABYDOLL
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 158 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $50
Beauty And A Beat1%1%— bid, 8¢ askpolled, 3813 h ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Beauty And A Beat1%Kalshi 1%polled, 3813 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Beauty And A Beat
1%
1%
— bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 3813 h ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Beauty And A Beat
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3813 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Beauty And A Beat
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 158 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $50
Show 17 more outcomesHide 17 outcomes
Choosin' Texas1%1%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 3813 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Choosin' Texas1%Kalshi 1%polled, 3813 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Choosin' Texas
1%
1%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 3813 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Choosin' Texas
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3813 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Choosin' Texas
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 158 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $137
DAISIES1%1%1¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 3813 h ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)DAISIES1%Kalshi 1%polled, 3813 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
DAISIES
1%
1%
1¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 3813 h ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
DAISIES
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3813 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- DAISIES
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 158 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $50
Dashboard1%1%1¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 3813 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Dashboard1%Kalshi 1%polled, 3813 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Dashboard
1%
1%
1¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 3813 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Dashboard
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3813 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dashboard
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 158 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $50
Doors1%1%1¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 3813 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Doors1%Kalshi 1%polled, 3813 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Doors
1%
1%
1¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 3813 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Doors
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3813 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Doors
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 158 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $50
Dracula1%1%1¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 3813 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Dracula1%Kalshi 1%polled, 3813 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Dracula
1%
1%
1¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 3813 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Dracula
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3813 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dracula
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 158 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $50
End of August1%1%— bid, 8¢ askpolled, 3813 h ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)End of August1%Kalshi 1%polled, 3813 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
End of August
1%
1%
— bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 3813 h ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
End of August
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3813 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- End of August
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 158 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $50
Folded1%1%— bid, 8¢ askpolled, 3813 h ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Folded1%Kalshi 1%polled, 3813 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Folded
1%
1%
— bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 3813 h ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Folded
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3813 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Folded
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 158 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $50
Golden1%1%— bid, 8¢ askpolled, 3813 h ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Golden1%Kalshi 1%polled, 3813 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Golden
1%
1%
— bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 3813 h ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Golden
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3813 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Golden
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 158 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $50
Human Nature1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3813 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Human Nature1%Kalshi 1%polled, 3813 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Human Nature
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3813 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Human Nature
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3813 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Human Nature
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 158 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $50
I CAN'T LOVE YOU ANYMORE1%1%— bid, 8¢ askpolled, 3813 h ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)I CAN'T LOVE YOU ANYMORE1%Kalshi 1%polled, 3813 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
I CAN'T LOVE YOU ANYMORE
1%
1%
— bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 3813 h ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
I CAN'T LOVE YOU ANYMORE
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3813 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- I CAN'T LOVE YOU ANYMORE
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 158 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $50
LOVING LIFE AGAIN1%1%— bid, 8¢ askpolled, 3813 h ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)LOVING LIFE AGAIN1%Kalshi 1%polled, 3813 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
LOVING LIFE AGAIN
1%
1%
— bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 3813 h ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
LOVING LIFE AGAIN
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3813 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- LOVING LIFE AGAIN
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 158 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $51
Ordinary1%1%— bid, 8¢ askpolled, 3813 h ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Ordinary1%Kalshi 1%polled, 3813 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Ordinary
1%
1%
— bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 3813 h ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Ordinary
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3813 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ordinary
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 158 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $50
Risk It All1%1%— bid, 8¢ askpolled, 3813 h ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Risk It All1%Kalshi 1%polled, 3813 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Risk It All
1%
1%
— bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 3813 h ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Risk It All
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3813 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Risk It All
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 158 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $50
So Easy (To Fall In Love)1%1%— bid, 8¢ askpolled, 3813 h ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)So Easy (To Fall In Love)1%Kalshi 1%polled, 3813 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
So Easy (To Fall In Love)
1%
1%
— bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 3813 h ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
So Easy (To Fall In Love)
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3813 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- So Easy (To Fall In Love)
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 158 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $50
STATESIDE1%1%— bid, 8¢ askpolled, 3813 h ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)STATESIDE1%Kalshi 1%polled, 3813 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
STATESIDE
1%
1%
— bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 3813 h ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
STATESIDE
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3813 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- STATESIDE
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 158 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $50
The Fate of Ophelia1%1%— bid, 8¢ askpolled, 3813 h ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)The Fate of Ophelia1%Kalshi 1%polled, 3813 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
The Fate of Ophelia
1%
1%
— bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 3813 h ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
The Fate of Ophelia
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3813 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- The Fate of Ophelia
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 158 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $50
The Great Divide1%1%— bid, 8¢ askpolled, 3813 h ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)The Great Divide1%Kalshi 1%polled, 3813 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
The Great Divide
1%
1%
— bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 3813 h ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
The Great Divide
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3813 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- The Great Divide
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 158 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $50
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange)
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- BE HER
- Man I Need
- drop dead
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Final prediction market prices for "#2 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of May 23, 2026?". BE HER last traded at 98%. Next is Man I Need at 83%. $5K has traded across 27 outcomes on Kalshi. The market closed on May 18, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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