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What the markets expect
Erling Haaland 33.5%
Next is Lindsay Clancy at 24.7%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Best Yes price
Erling Haaland33.5%33.5%23¢ bid, 44¢ askpolled, 42s ago44¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $227 (2.27x)Erling Haaland33.5%Polymarket 33.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 44¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Erling Haaland
33.5%
33.5%
23¢ bid, 44¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
44¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Erling Haaland
33.5%
Polymarket 33.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 44¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Erling Haaland
- Last price
- 33.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 44¢
- Sell Yes
- 23¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $227 (2.27x)
- Volume
- $1K
Lindsay Clancy24.7%24.7%10.2¢ bid, 39.2¢ askpolled, 42s ago39.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $255 (2.55x)Lindsay Clancy24.7%Polymarket 24.7%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 39.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $255 (2.55x)
Lindsay Clancy
24.7%
24.7%
10.2¢ bid, 39.2¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
39.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $255 (2.55x)
Lindsay Clancy
24.7%
Polymarket 24.7%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 39.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $255 (2.55x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Lindsay Clancy
- Last price
- 24.7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 39.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 10.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $255 (2.55x)
- Volume
- $772
Bad Bunny18.5%18.5%17¢ bid, 20¢ askpolled, 42s ago20¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $500 (5.00x)Bad Bunny18.5%Polymarket 18.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Bad Bunny
18.5%
18.5%
17¢ bid, 20¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
20¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Bad Bunny
18.5%
Polymarket 18.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Bad Bunny
- Last price
- 18.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 20¢
- Sell Yes
- 17¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $500 (5.00x)
- Volume
- $5K
Cristiano Ronaldo18.1%18.1%0.5¢ bid, 35.6¢ askpolled, 42s ago35.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $281 (2.81x)Cristiano Ronaldo18.1%Polymarket 18.1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 35.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $281 (2.81x)
Cristiano Ronaldo
18.1%
18.1%
0.5¢ bid, 35.6¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
35.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $281 (2.81x)
Cristiano Ronaldo
18.1%
Polymarket 18.1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 35.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $281 (2.81x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Cristiano Ronaldo
- Last price
- 18.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 35.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $281 (2.81x)
- Volume
- $209
Sydney Sweeney14.8%14.8%0.5¢ bid, 29¢ askpolled, 42s ago29¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $345 (3.45x)Sydney Sweeney14.8%Polymarket 14.8%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 29¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Sydney Sweeney
14.8%
14.8%
0.5¢ bid, 29¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
29¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Sydney Sweeney
14.8%
Polymarket 14.8%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 29¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Sydney Sweeney
- Last price
- 14.8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 29¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $345 (3.45x)
- Volume
- $2K
Zendaya14.6%14.6%0.3¢ bid, 28.8¢ askpolled, 42s ago28.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $347 (3.47x)Zendaya14.6%Polymarket 14.6%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 28.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $347 (3.47x)
Zendaya
14.6%
14.6%
0.3¢ bid, 28.8¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
28.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $347 (3.47x)
Zendaya
14.6%
Polymarket 14.6%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 28.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $347 (3.47x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Zendaya
- Last price
- 14.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 28.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $347 (3.47x)
- Volume
- $220
Benjamin Netanyahu5.1%5.1%2.5¢ bid, 7.7¢ askpolled, 42s ago7.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,299 (13.0x)Benjamin Netanyahu5.1%Polymarket 5.1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 7.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,299 (13.0x)
Benjamin Netanyahu
5.1%
5.1%
2.5¢ bid, 7.7¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
7.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,299 (13.0x)
Benjamin Netanyahu
5.1%
Polymarket 5.1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 7.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,299 (13.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Benjamin Netanyahu
- Last price
- 5.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 2.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,299 (13.0x)
- Volume
- $6K
Donald Trump3.5%3.5%0.3¢ bid, 6.7¢ askpolled, 42s ago6.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,493 (14.9x)Donald Trump3.5%Polymarket 3.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 6.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,493 (14.9x)
Donald Trump
3.5%
3.5%
0.3¢ bid, 6.7¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
6.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,493 (14.9x)
Donald Trump
3.5%
Polymarket 3.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 6.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,493 (14.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Donald Trump
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,493 (14.9x)
- Volume
- $468
Joe Burrow3.3%3.3%0.2¢ bid, 6.4¢ askpolled, 42s ago6.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,563 (15.6x)Joe Burrow3.3%Polymarket 3.3%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 6.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,563 (15.6x)
Joe Burrow
3.3%
3.3%
0.2¢ bid, 6.4¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
6.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,563 (15.6x)
Joe Burrow
3.3%
Polymarket 3.3%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 6.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,563 (15.6x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Joe Burrow
- Last price
- 3.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,563 (15.6x)
- Volume
- $375
Kylian Mbappé1.7%1.7%0.4¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, 42s ago3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Kylian Mbappé1.7%Polymarket 1.7%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kylian Mbappé
1.7%
1.7%
0.4¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kylian Mbappé
1.7%
Polymarket 1.7%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Kylian Mbappé
- Last price
- 1.7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $597
Show 36 more outcomesHide 36 outcomes
Alysa Liu1.3%1.3%1¢ bid, 1.5¢ askpolled, 42s ago1.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)Alysa Liu1.3%Polymarket 1.3%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 1.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Alysa Liu
1.3%
1.3%
1¢ bid, 1.5¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
1.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Alysa Liu
1.3%
Polymarket 1.3%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 1.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Alysa Liu
- Last price
- 1.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $6,667 (66.7x)
- Volume
- $388
Volodymyr Zelenskyy1.2%1.2%0.3¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 42s ago2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Volodymyr Zelenskyy1.2%Polymarket 1.2%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
1.2%
1.2%
0.3¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
1.2%
Polymarket 1.2%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Volodymyr Zelenskyy
- Last price
- 1.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $1K
Nicolás Maduro0.7%0.7%0.4¢ bid, 0.9¢ askpolled, 42s ago0.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $11,111 (111x)Nicolás Maduro0.7%Polymarket 0.7%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Nicolás Maduro
0.7%
0.7%
0.4¢ bid, 0.9¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
0.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Nicolás Maduro
0.7%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Nicolás Maduro
- Last price
- 0.7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $11,111 (111x)
- Volume
- $249
Ariana Grande0.6%0.6%0.2¢ bid, 1¢ askpolled, 42s ago1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Ariana Grande0.6%Polymarket 0.6%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Ariana Grande
0.6%
0.6%
0.2¢ bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Ariana Grande
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ariana Grande
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $257
Elon Musk0.6%0.6%0.2¢ bid, 1¢ askpolled, 42s ago1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Elon Musk0.6%Polymarket 0.6%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Elon Musk
0.6%
0.6%
0.2¢ bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Elon Musk
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Elon Musk
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $417
Lionel Messi0.6%0.6%0.3¢ bid, 0.9¢ askpolled, 42s ago0.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $11,111 (111x)Lionel Messi0.6%Polymarket 0.6%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Lionel Messi
0.6%
0.6%
0.3¢ bid, 0.9¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
0.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Lionel Messi
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Lionel Messi
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $11,111 (111x)
- Volume
- $238
Taylor Swift0.6%0.6%0.1¢ bid, 1.1¢ askpolled, 42s ago1.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)Taylor Swift0.6%Polymarket 0.6%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Taylor Swift
0.6%
0.6%
0.1¢ bid, 1.1¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
1.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Taylor Swift
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Taylor Swift
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $9,091 (90.9x)
- Volume
- $317
Angel Reese0.6%0.6%0.1¢ bid, 1¢ askpolled, 42s ago1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Angel Reese0.6%Polymarket 0.6%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Angel Reese
0.6%
0.6%
0.1¢ bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Angel Reese
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Angel Reese
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $219
Anthony Edwards0.6%0.6%0.1¢ bid, 1¢ askpolled, 42s ago1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Anthony Edwards0.6%Polymarket 0.6%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Anthony Edwards
0.6%
0.6%
0.1¢ bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Anthony Edwards
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Anthony Edwards
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $164
Christian Pulisic0.6%0.6%0.2¢ bid, 0.9¢ askpolled, 42s ago0.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $11,111 (111x)Christian Pulisic0.6%Polymarket 0.6%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Christian Pulisic
0.6%
0.6%
0.2¢ bid, 0.9¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
0.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Christian Pulisic
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Christian Pulisic
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $11,111 (111x)
- Volume
- $257
Kanye West0.6%0.6%0.2¢ bid, 0.9¢ askpolled, 42s ago0.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $11,111 (111x)Kanye West0.6%Polymarket 0.6%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Kanye West
0.6%
0.6%
0.2¢ bid, 0.9¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
0.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Kanye West
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Kanye West
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $11,111 (111x)
- Volume
- $257
Lamine Yamal0.6%0.6%0.1¢ bid, 1¢ askpolled, 42s ago1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Lamine Yamal0.6%Polymarket 0.6%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Lamine Yamal
0.6%
0.6%
0.1¢ bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Lamine Yamal
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Lamine Yamal
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $164
LeBron James0.6%0.6%0.1¢ bid, 1¢ askpolled, 42s ago1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $10,000 (100x)LeBron James0.6%Polymarket 0.6%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
LeBron James
0.6%
0.6%
0.1¢ bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
LeBron James
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- LeBron James
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $164
Luka Dončić0.6%0.6%0.2¢ bid, 0.9¢ askpolled, 42s ago0.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $11,111 (111x)Luka Dončić0.6%Polymarket 0.6%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Luka Dončić
0.6%
0.6%
0.2¢ bid, 0.9¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
0.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Luka Dončić
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Luka Dončić
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $11,111 (111x)
- Volume
- $257
Pedro Pascal0.6%0.6%0.1¢ bid, 1¢ askpolled, 42s ago1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Pedro Pascal0.6%Polymarket 0.6%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Pedro Pascal
0.6%
0.6%
0.1¢ bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Pedro Pascal
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Pedro Pascal
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $263
Scarlett Johansson0.6%0.6%0.2¢ bid, 0.9¢ askpolled, 42s ago0.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $11,111 (111x)Scarlett Johansson0.6%Polymarket 0.6%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Scarlett Johansson
0.6%
0.6%
0.2¢ bid, 0.9¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
0.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Scarlett Johansson
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Scarlett Johansson
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $11,111 (111x)
- Volume
- $257
Shohei Ohtani0.6%0.6%0.2¢ bid, 0.9¢ askpolled, 42s ago0.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $11,111 (111x)Shohei Ohtani0.6%Polymarket 0.6%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Shohei Ohtani
0.6%
0.6%
0.2¢ bid, 0.9¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
0.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Shohei Ohtani
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Shohei Ohtani
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $11,111 (111x)
- Volume
- $170
Timothée Chalamet0.6%0.6%0.2¢ bid, 0.9¢ askpolled, 42s ago0.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $11,111 (111x)Timothée Chalamet0.6%Polymarket 0.6%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Timothée Chalamet
0.6%
0.6%
0.2¢ bid, 0.9¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
0.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Timothée Chalamet
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Timothée Chalamet
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $11,111 (111x)
- Volume
- $269
Caitlin Clark0.5%0.5%0.1¢ bid, 0.9¢ askpolled, 42s ago0.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $11,111 (111x)Caitlin Clark0.5%Polymarket 0.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Caitlin Clark
0.5%
0.5%
0.1¢ bid, 0.9¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
0.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Caitlin Clark
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Caitlin Clark
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $11,111 (111x)
- Volume
- $233
Chappell Roan0.5%0.5%0.1¢ bid, 0.9¢ askpolled, 42s ago0.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $11,111 (111x)Chappell Roan0.5%Polymarket 0.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Chappell Roan
0.5%
0.5%
0.1¢ bid, 0.9¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
0.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Chappell Roan
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Chappell Roan
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $11,111 (111x)
- Volume
- $411
Ja Morant0.5%0.5%0.1¢ bid, 0.9¢ askpolled, 42s ago0.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $11,111 (111x)Ja Morant0.5%Polymarket 0.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Ja Morant
0.5%
0.5%
0.1¢ bid, 0.9¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
0.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Ja Morant
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ja Morant
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $11,111 (111x)
- Volume
- $229
Jacob Elordi0.5%0.5%0.1¢ bid, 0.9¢ askpolled, 42s ago0.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $11,111 (111x)Jacob Elordi0.5%Polymarket 0.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Jacob Elordi
0.5%
0.5%
0.1¢ bid, 0.9¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
0.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Jacob Elordi
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Jacob Elordi
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $11,111 (111x)
- Volume
- $223
Jake Paul0.5%0.5%0.1¢ bid, 0.9¢ askpolled, 42s ago0.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $11,111 (111x)Jake Paul0.5%Polymarket 0.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Jake Paul
0.5%
0.5%
0.1¢ bid, 0.9¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
0.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Jake Paul
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Jake Paul
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $11,111 (111x)
- Volume
- $348
Jude Bellingham0.5%0.5%0.1¢ bid, 0.9¢ askpolled, 42s ago0.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $11,111 (111x)Jude Bellingham0.5%Polymarket 0.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Jude Bellingham
0.5%
0.5%
0.1¢ bid, 0.9¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
0.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Jude Bellingham
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Jude Bellingham
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $11,111 (111x)
- Volume
- $138
Matt Damon0.5%0.5%0.1¢ bid, 0.9¢ askpolled, 42s ago0.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $11,111 (111x)Matt Damon0.5%Polymarket 0.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Matt Damon
0.5%
0.5%
0.1¢ bid, 0.9¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
0.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Matt Damon
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Matt Damon
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $11,111 (111x)
- Volume
- $208
Neymar0.5%0.5%0.1¢ bid, 0.9¢ askpolled, 42s ago0.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $11,111 (111x)Neymar0.5%Polymarket 0.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Neymar
0.5%
0.5%
0.1¢ bid, 0.9¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
0.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Neymar
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Neymar
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $11,111 (111x)
- Volume
- $281
Patrick Mahomes0.5%0.5%0.1¢ bid, 0.9¢ askpolled, 42s ago0.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $11,111 (111x)Patrick Mahomes0.5%Polymarket 0.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Patrick Mahomes
0.5%
0.5%
0.1¢ bid, 0.9¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
0.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Patrick Mahomes
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Patrick Mahomes
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $11,111 (111x)
- Volume
- $819
Robert Downey Jr.0.5%0.5%0.1¢ bid, 0.9¢ askpolled, 42s ago0.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $11,111 (111x)Robert Downey Jr.0.5%Polymarket 0.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Robert Downey Jr.
0.5%
0.5%
0.1¢ bid, 0.9¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
0.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Robert Downey Jr.
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Robert Downey Jr.
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $11,111 (111x)
- Volume
- $394
Sabrina Carpenter0.5%0.5%0.1¢ bid, 0.9¢ askpolled, 42s ago0.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $11,111 (111x)Sabrina Carpenter0.5%Polymarket 0.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Sabrina Carpenter
0.5%
0.5%
0.1¢ bid, 0.9¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
0.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Sabrina Carpenter
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Sabrina Carpenter
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $11,111 (111x)
- Volume
- $233
Travis Kelce0.5%0.5%0.1¢ bid, 0.9¢ askpolled, 42s ago0.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $11,111 (111x)Travis Kelce0.5%Polymarket 0.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Travis Kelce
0.5%
0.5%
0.1¢ bid, 0.9¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
0.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Travis Kelce
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Travis Kelce
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $11,111 (111x)
- Volume
- $233
Vladimir Putin0.5%0.5%0.1¢ bid, 0.9¢ askpolled, 42s ago0.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $11,111 (111x)Vladimir Putin0.5%Polymarket 0.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Vladimir Putin
0.5%
0.5%
0.1¢ bid, 0.9¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
0.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Vladimir Putin
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Vladimir Putin
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $11,111 (111x)
- Volume
- $278
JD Vance0.4%0.4%0.1¢ bid, 0.7¢ askpolled, 42s ago0.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $14,286 (143x)JD Vance0.4%Polymarket 0.4%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
JD Vance
0.4%
0.4%
0.1¢ bid, 0.7¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
0.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $14,286 (143x)
JD Vance
0.4%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- JD Vance
- Last price
- 0.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $14,286 (143x)
- Volume
- $138
Stefon Diggs0.4%0.4%0.1¢ bid, 0.6¢ askpolled, 42s ago0.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $16,667 (167x)Stefon Diggs0.4%Polymarket 0.4%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Stefon Diggs
0.4%
0.4%
0.1¢ bid, 0.6¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
0.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Stefon Diggs
0.4%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Stefon Diggs
- Last price
- 0.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $16,667 (167x)
- Volume
- $204
Josh Allen0.3%0.3%0.1¢ bid, 0.5¢ askpolled, 42s ago0.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $20,000 (200x)Josh Allen0.3%Polymarket 0.3%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Josh Allen
0.3%
0.3%
0.1¢ bid, 0.5¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
0.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Josh Allen
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Josh Allen
- Last price
- 0.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $20,000 (200x)
- Volume
- $311
Scottie Scheffler0.3%0.3%0.1¢ bid, 0.4¢ askpolled, 42s ago0.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $25,000 (250x)Scottie Scheffler0.3%Polymarket 0.3%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Scottie Scheffler
0.3%
0.3%
0.1¢ bid, 0.4¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
0.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Scottie Scheffler
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Scottie Scheffler
- Last price
- 0.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $25,000 (250x)
- Volume
- $302
Billie Eilish0.2%0.2%0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ askpolled, 42s ago0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)Billie Eilish0.2%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Billie Eilish
0.2%
0.2%
0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
0.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Billie Eilish
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Billie Eilish
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $567
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Erling Haaland
- Lindsay Clancy
- Bad Bunny
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "#2 Searched Person on Google 2026?". Erling Haaland leads at 33.5%. Next is Lindsay Clancy at 24.7%. $27K has traded across 46 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 31, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #2 in Google’s official Year in Search Global "People" list for 2026. The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global → Trending → People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure. This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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