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What the markets expect
BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky 89%
Next is Beauty and a Beat at 51.3%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky89%89%81¢ bid, 97¢ askpolled, 40s agoNot listed97¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $103 (1.03x)BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky89%Polymarket 89%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky
89%
89%
81¢ bid, 97¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
Not listed
97¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $103 (1.03x)
BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky
89%
Polymarket 89%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky
- Last price
- 89%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 97¢
- Sell Yes
- 81¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $103 (1.03x)
- Volume
- $40
Beauty and a Beat51.3%Not listed67%66¢ bid, 73¢ askpolled, 40s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Beauty and a Beat51.3%Kalshi 4%polled, 40s agoKalshi 67%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Beauty and a Beat
51.3%
Not listed
67%
66¢ bid, 73¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Beauty and a Beat
51.3%
Kalshi 4%polled, 40s agoKalshi 67%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Beauty and a Beat
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $520
Kalshi
- Contract
- Beauty and a Beat
- Last price
- 67%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 73¢
- Sell Yes
- 66¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $137 (1.37x)
- Volume
- $2K
Babydoll44%Not listed6%1¢ bid, 25¢ askpolled, 40s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Babydoll44%Kalshi 2%polled, 40s agoKalshi 84%polled, 40s agoKalshi 6%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Babydoll
44%
Not listed
6%
1¢ bid, 25¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Babydoll
44%
Kalshi 2%polled, 40s agoKalshi 84%polled, 40s agoKalshi 6%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Babydoll
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $3K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Babydoll
- Last price
- 84%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 85¢
- Sell Yes
- 83¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $118 (1.18x)
- Volume
- $15K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Babydoll
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
- Volume
- $2K
Man I Need24.7%Not listed4%1¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 40s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Man I Need24.7%Kalshi 47%polled, 40s agoKalshi 1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 4%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Man I Need
24.7%
Not listed
4%
1¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Man I Need
24.7%
Kalshi 47%polled, 40s agoKalshi 1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 4%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Man I Need
- Last price
- 47%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 49¢
- Sell Yes
- 46¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $204 (2.04x)
- Volume
- $16K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Man I Need
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $153
Kalshi
- Contract
- Man I Need
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $1K
Earrings21.3%Not listed2.5%1¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 40s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Earrings21.3%Kalshi 40%polled, 40s agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Earrings
21.3%
Not listed
2.5%
1¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Earrings
21.3%
Kalshi 40%polled, 40s agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Earrings
- Last price
- 40%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 56¢
- Sell Yes
- 31¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $179 (1.79x)
- Volume
- $38K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Earrings
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
SWIM8.2%Not listed10%6¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 40s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)SWIM8.2%Kalshi 3%polled, 40s agoKalshi 10%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
SWIM
8.2%
Not listed
10%
6¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
SWIM
8.2%
Kalshi 3%polled, 40s agoKalshi 10%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- SWIM
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $59
Kalshi
- Contract
- SWIM
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
- Volume
- $1K
Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA8%8%— bid, 16¢ askpolled, 40s agoNot listed16¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $625 (6.25x)Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA8%Polymarket 8%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA
8%
8%
— bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
Not listed
16¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA
8%
Polymarket 8%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
- Volume
- $276
End of Beginning6%Not listed1%1¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 40s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)End of Beginning6%Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 11%polled, 40s agoKalshi 1%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
End of Beginning
6%
Not listed
1%
1¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
End of Beginning
6%
Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 11%polled, 40s agoKalshi 1%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- End of Beginning
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $763
Kalshi
- Contract
- End of Beginning
- Last price
- 11%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
- Volume
- $11K
Kalshi
- Contract
- End of Beginning
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $880
Billie Jean3.4%Not listed5%1¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 40s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Billie Jean3.4%Kalshi 2%polled, 40s agoKalshi 5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Billie Jean
3.4%
Not listed
5%
1¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Billie Jean
3.4%
Kalshi 2%polled, 40s agoKalshi 5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Billie Jean
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $983
Kalshi
- Contract
- Billie Jean
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $832
the cure3%Not listed4%1¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 40s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)the cure3%Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 4%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
the cure
3%
Not listed
4%
1¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
the cure
3%
Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 4%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- the cure
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $50
Kalshi
- Contract
- the cure
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $107
Show 29 more outcomesHide 29 outcomes
Tarantino - LISA3%3%0.5¢ bid, 5.4¢ askpolled, 40s agoNot listed5.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,852 (18.5x)Tarantino - LISA3%Polymarket 3%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 5.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,852 (18.5x)
Tarantino - LISA
3%
3%
0.5¢ bid, 5.4¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
Not listed
5.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,852 (18.5x)
Tarantino - LISA
3%
Polymarket 3%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 5.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,852 (18.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Tarantino - LISA
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,852 (18.5x)
- Volume
- $241
Ain't In LA - ADÉLA2.6%2.6%0.3¢ bid, 4.8¢ askpolled, 40s agoNot listed4.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)Ain't In LA - ADÉLA2.6%Polymarket 2.6%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 4.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Ain't In LA - ADÉLA
2.6%
2.6%
0.3¢ bid, 4.8¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
Not listed
4.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Ain't In LA - ADÉLA
2.6%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 4.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ain't In LA - ADÉLA
- Last price
- 2.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,083 (20.8x)
- Volume
- $246
Earrings - Malcolm Todd2.5%2.5%0.2¢ bid, 4.8¢ askpolled, 40s agoNot listed4.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)Earrings - Malcolm Todd2.5%Polymarket 2.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 4.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Earrings - Malcolm Todd
2.5%
2.5%
0.2¢ bid, 4.8¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
Not listed
4.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Earrings - Malcolm Todd
2.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 4.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Earrings - Malcolm Todd
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,083 (20.8x)
- Volume
- $246
expectations - Olivia Rodrigo & Chappell Roan2.5%2.5%0.2¢ bid, 4.8¢ askpolled, 40s agoNot listed4.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)expectations - Olivia Rodrigo & Chappell Roan2.5%Polymarket 2.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 4.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
expectations - Olivia Rodrigo & Chappell Roan
2.5%
2.5%
0.2¢ bid, 4.8¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
Not listed
4.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
expectations - Olivia Rodrigo & Chappell Roan
2.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 4.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- expectations - Olivia Rodrigo & Chappell Roan
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,083 (20.8x)
- Volume
- $246
stupid2.5%Not listed2.5%1¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 40s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)stupid2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
stupid
2.5%
Not listed
2.5%
1¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
stupid
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- stupid
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
the cure - Olivia Rodrigo2.5%2.5%0.2¢ bid, 4.8¢ askpolled, 40s agoNot listed4.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)the cure - Olivia Rodrigo2.5%Polymarket 2.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 4.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
the cure - Olivia Rodrigo
2.5%
2.5%
0.2¢ bid, 4.8¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
Not listed
4.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
the cure - Olivia Rodrigo
2.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 4.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- the cure - Olivia Rodrigo
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,083 (20.8x)
- Volume
- $246
DtMF2.3%Not listed4%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 40s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)DtMF2.3%Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 4%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
DtMF
2.3%
Not listed
4%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
DtMF
2.3%
Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 4%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- DtMF
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $2K
Kalshi
- Contract
- DtMF
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $1K
Kalshi
- Contract
- DtMF
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $2K
The Fate of Ophelia2%Not listed2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 40s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)The Fate of Ophelia2%Kalshi 2%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
The Fate of Ophelia
2%
Not listed
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
The Fate of Ophelia
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- The Fate of Ophelia
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $4K
drop dead1.8%Not listed2.5%1¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 40s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)drop dead1.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
drop dead
1.8%
Not listed
2.5%
1¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
drop dead
1.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- drop dead
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $50
Kalshi
- Contract
- drop dead
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
hate that i made you love me1.8%Not listed2.5%1¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 40s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)hate that i made you love me1.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
hate that i made you love me
1.8%
Not listed
2.5%
1¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
hate that i made you love me
1.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- hate that i made you love me
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $60
Kalshi
- Contract
- hate that i made you love me
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Self Aware1.8%Not listed2.5%1¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 40s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Self Aware1.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Self Aware
1.8%
Not listed
2.5%
1¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Self Aware
1.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 2.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Self Aware
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $50
Kalshi
- Contract
- Self Aware
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
luther (with sza)1.7%Not listed2%1¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 40s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)luther (with sza)1.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 2%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
luther (with sza)
1.7%
Not listed
2%
1¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
luther (with sza)
1.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 2%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- luther (with sza)
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $82
Kalshi
- Contract
- luther (with sza)
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $2K
Don’t Say You Love Me1.6%Not listed2%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 40s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Don’t Say You Love Me1.6%Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 2%polled, 40s agoKalshi 2%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Don’t Say You Love Me
1.6%
Not listed
2%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Don’t Say You Love Me
1.6%
Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 2%polled, 40s agoKalshi 2%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Don’t Say You Love Me
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $295
Kalshi
- Contract
- Don’t Say You Love Me
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $192
Kalshi
- Contract
- Don’t Say You Love Me
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $214
Ordinary1.5%Not listed1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 40s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Ordinary1.5%Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 3%polled, 40s agoKalshi 1%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Ordinary
1.5%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Ordinary
1.5%
Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 3%polled, 40s agoKalshi 1%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ordinary
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $3K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ordinary
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $312
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ordinary
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $110
back to friends1.5%Not listed2%2¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, 40s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)back to friends1.5%Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 2%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
back to friends
1.5%
Not listed
2%
2¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
back to friends
1.5%
Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 2%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- back to friends
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $480
Kalshi
- Contract
- back to friends
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $102
Kalshi
- Contract
- back to friends
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $3K
BIRDS OF A FEATHER1.5%Not listed3%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 40s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)BIRDS OF A FEATHER1.5%Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 3%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
BIRDS OF A FEATHER
1.5%
Not listed
3%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
BIRDS OF A FEATHER
1.5%
Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 3%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- BIRDS OF A FEATHER
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $313
Kalshi
- Contract
- BIRDS OF A FEATHER
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $1K
Kalshi
- Contract
- BIRDS OF A FEATHER
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $198
So Easy (To Fall in Love)1.5%Not listed2%1¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, 40s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)So Easy (To Fall in Love)1.5%Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 2%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
So Easy (To Fall in Love)
1.5%
Not listed
2%
1¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
So Easy (To Fall in Love)
1.5%
Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 2%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- So Easy (To Fall in Love)
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $52
Kalshi
- Contract
- So Easy (To Fall In Love)
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Manchild1.4%Not listed1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 40s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Manchild1.4%Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 2%polled, 40s agoKalshi 1%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Manchild
1.4%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Manchild
1.4%
Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 2%polled, 40s agoKalshi 1%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Manchild
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $338
Kalshi
- Contract
- Manchild
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $407
Kalshi
- Contract
- Manchild
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $127
Your Idol1.4%Not listed2%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 40s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Your Idol1.4%Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 2%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Your Idol
1.4%
Not listed
2%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Your Idol
1.4%
Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 2%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Your Idol
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $398
Kalshi
- Contract
- Your Idol
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $113
Kalshi
- Contract
- Your Idol
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $380
APT.1.3%Not listed1%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 40s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)APT.1.3%Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 2%polled, 40s agoKalshi 1%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
APT.
1.3%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
APT.
1.3%
Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 2%polled, 40s agoKalshi 1%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- APT.
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $319
Kalshi
- Contract
- APT.
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $137
Kalshi
- Contract
- APT.
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $335
Die With A Smile1%Not listed1%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 40s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Die With A Smile1%Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 1%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Die With A Smile
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Die With A Smile
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 1%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Die With A Smile
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $582
Kalshi
- Contract
- Die With A Smile
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $221
Kalshi
- Contract
- Die With A Smile
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $337
Golden1%Not listed1%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 40s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Golden1%Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 1%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Golden
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Golden
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 1%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Golden
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $1K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Golden
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $1K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Golden
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $724
iloveitiloveitiloveit1%Not listed1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 40s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)iloveitiloveitiloveit1%Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
iloveitiloveitiloveit
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
iloveitiloveitiloveit
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- iloveitiloveitiloveit
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $50
Soda Pop1%Not listed1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 40s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Soda Pop1%Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 1%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Soda Pop
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Soda Pop
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 1%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Soda Pop
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $377
Kalshi
- Contract
- Soda Pop
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $109
Kalshi
- Contract
- Soda Pop
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $159
stupid song1%Not listed1%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 40s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)stupid song1%Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
stupid song
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
stupid song
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- stupid song
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $50
Timeless (feat Playboi Carti)1%Not listed1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 40s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Timeless (feat Playboi Carti)1%Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Timeless (feat Playboi Carti)
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Timeless (feat Playboi Carti)
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Timeless (feat Playboi Carti)
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $77
Raindance (feat. Tems)1%Not listed1%1¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, 40s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Raindance (feat. Tems)1%Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 1%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Raindance (feat. Tems)
1%
Not listed
1%
1¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Raindance (feat. Tems)
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 1%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Raindance (feat. Tems)
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $50
Kalshi
- Contract
- Raindance (feat. Tems)
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $1
Stateside + Zara Larsson1%Not listed1%1¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, 40s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Stateside + Zara Larsson1%Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 1%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Stateside + Zara Larsson
1%
Not listed
1%
1¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Stateside + Zara Larsson
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 1%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Stateside + Zara Larsson
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $53
Kalshi
- Contract
- Stateside + Zara Larsson
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $78
Kalshi
- Contract
- Stateside + Zara Larsson
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $2
Housewife - Tate McRae1%1%0.2¢ bid, 1.7¢ askpolled, 40s agoNot listed1.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)Housewife - Tate McRae1%Polymarket 1%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Housewife - Tate McRae
1%
1%
0.2¢ bid, 1.7¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
Not listed
1.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Housewife - Tate McRae
1%
Polymarket 1%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Housewife - Tate McRae
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,882 (58.8x)
- Volume
- $230
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle, source: open.spotify.com
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Spotify
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky
- Beauty and a Beat
- Babydoll
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Kalshi
Kalshi doesn’t list BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky for this event.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "#2 Spotify song this week? (October 30)". BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky leads at 89%. Next is Beauty and a Beat at 51.3%. $124K has traded across 39 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 31, 2026.
Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs globally and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday. This market will resolve according to the second most-streamed song globally on Spotify for the week labeled October 30. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If Spotify does not release its #2 song for the week labeled October 30 by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The weekly top songs chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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