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What the markets expect
Love Is Blind: S11: Boston 51%
Next is The New Stanford Prison Experiment at 48%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 4 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Love Is Blind: S11: Boston51%Not listed51%51¢ bid, 59¢ askpolled, 51s ago59¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $169 (1.69x)Love Is Blind: S11: Boston51%Kalshi 51%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 59¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Love Is Blind: S11: Boston
51%
Not listed
51%
51¢ bid, 59¢ ask
polled, 51s ago
59¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Love Is Blind: S11: Boston
51%
Kalshi 51%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 59¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Love Is Blind: S11: Boston
- Last price
- 51%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 59¢
- Sell Yes
- 51¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $169 (1.69x)
- Volume
- $523
The New Stanford Prison Experiment48%Not listed48%2¢ bid, 48¢ askpolled, 51s ago48¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $208 (2.08x)The New Stanford Prison Experiment48%Kalshi 48%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 48¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
The New Stanford Prison Experiment
48%
Not listed
48%
2¢ bid, 48¢ ask
polled, 51s ago
48¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $208 (2.08x)
The New Stanford Prison Experiment
48%
Kalshi 48%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 48¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- The New Stanford Prison Experiment
- Last price
- 48%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 48¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $208 (2.08x)
- Volume
- $4
Animals41.2%25.5%2¢ bid, 49¢ askpolled, 4 min agoNot listed33¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $303 (3.03x)Animals41.2%Polymarket 29.5%polled, 51s agoPolymarket 64.5%polled, 51s agoPolymarket 25.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 33¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Animals
41.2%
25.5%
2¢ bid, 49¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
Not listed
33¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Animals
41.2%
Polymarket 29.5%polled, 51s agoPolymarket 64.5%polled, 51s agoPolymarket 25.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 33¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Animals
- Last price
- 29.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 33¢
- Sell Yes
- 26¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $303 (3.03x)
- Volume
- $385
Polymarket
- Contract
- Animals
- Last price
- 64.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 71¢
- Sell Yes
- 58¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $141 (1.41x)
- Volume
- $350
Polymarket
- Contract
- Animals
- Last price
- 25.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 49¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $204 (2.04x)
- Volume
- $34
Gladiator II27.7%8.5%2¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 4 min agoNot listed15¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Gladiator II27.7%Polymarket 38.5%polled, 51s agoPolymarket 30.5%polled, 51s agoPolymarket 8.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Gladiator II
27.7%
8.5%
2¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
Not listed
15¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Gladiator II
27.7%
Polymarket 38.5%polled, 51s agoPolymarket 30.5%polled, 51s agoPolymarket 8.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Gladiator II
- Last price
- 38.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 27¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
- Volume
- $130
Polymarket
- Contract
- Gladiator II
- Last price
- 30.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 33¢
- Sell Yes
- 28¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $303 (3.03x)
- Volume
- $177
Polymarket
- Contract
- Gladiator II
- Last price
- 8.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
- Volume
- $10
Nobody Wants This: Season 323%Not listed23%3¢ bid, 23¢ askpolled, 51s ago23¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $435 (4.35x)Nobody Wants This: Season 323%Kalshi 23%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Nobody Wants This: Season 3
23%
Not listed
23%
3¢ bid, 23¢ ask
polled, 51s ago
23¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Nobody Wants This: Season 3
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nobody Wants This: Season 3
- Last price
- 23%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 23¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $435 (4.35x)
- Volume
- $66
Cyberpunk: Edgerunners 28%Not listed8%2¢ bid, 20¢ askpolled, 51s ago20¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $500 (5.00x)Cyberpunk: Edgerunners 28%Kalshi 8%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Cyberpunk: Edgerunners 2
8%
Not listed
8%
2¢ bid, 20¢ ask
polled, 51s ago
20¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Cyberpunk: Edgerunners 2
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cyberpunk: Edgerunners 2
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 20¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $500 (5.00x)
- Volume
- $507
Sacrifice6.3%8.5%2¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 4 min agoNot listed4.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)Sacrifice6.3%Polymarket 7.5%polled, 51s agoPolymarket 3%polled, 51s agoPolymarket 8.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Sacrifice
6.3%
8.5%
2¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
Not listed
4.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Sacrifice
6.3%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 51s agoPolymarket 3%polled, 51s agoPolymarket 8.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Sacrifice
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
- Volume
- $40
Polymarket
- Contract
- Sacrifice
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,041 (20.4x)
- Volume
- $54
Polymarket
- Contract
- Sacrifice
- Last price
- 8.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
Below: Limited Series4%Not listed4%3¢ bid, 19¢ askpolled, 51s ago19¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $526 (5.26x)Below: Limited Series4%Kalshi 4%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Below: Limited Series
4%
Not listed
4%
3¢ bid, 19¢ ask
polled, 51s ago
19¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Below: Limited Series
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Below: Limited Series
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 19¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $526 (5.26x)
- Volume
- $77
Doing Life3.8%8.5%2¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 4 min agoNot listed1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Doing Life3.8%Polymarket 2.4%polled, 51s agoPolymarket 0.6%polled, 51s agoPolymarket 8.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Doing Life
3.8%
8.5%
2¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
Not listed
1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Doing Life
3.8%
Polymarket 2.4%polled, 51s agoPolymarket 0.6%polled, 51s agoPolymarket 8.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Doing Life
- Last price
- 2.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,703 (27.0x)
- Volume
- $7
Polymarket
- Contract
- Doing Life
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $135
Polymarket
- Contract
- Doing Life
- Last price
- 8.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
Primate3.5%8.5%2¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 4 min agoNot listed1.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)Primate3.5%Polymarket 2.6%polled, 51s agoPolymarket 1.1%polled, 51s agoPolymarket 8.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 1.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Primate
3.5%
8.5%
2¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
Not listed
1.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Primate
3.5%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 51s agoPolymarket 1.1%polled, 51s agoPolymarket 8.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 1.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Primate
- Last price
- 2.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,041 (20.4x)
- Volume
- $261
Polymarket
- Contract
- Primate
- Last price
- 1.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,263 (52.6x)
- Volume
- $261
Polymarket
- Contract
- Primate
- Last price
- 8.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
- Volume
- $40
Show 13 more outcomesHide 13 outcomes
The Diplomat: Season 43%Not listed3%1¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 51s ago12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)The Diplomat: Season 43%Kalshi 3%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
The Diplomat: Season 4
3%
Not listed
3%
1¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 51s ago
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
The Diplomat: Season 4
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- The Diplomat: Season 4
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
- Volume
- $26
Evil Dead Burn2.9%8.5%2¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 4 min agoNot listed1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Evil Dead Burn2.9%Polymarket 1.5%polled, 51s agoPolymarket 0.6%polled, 51s agoPolymarket 8.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Evil Dead Burn
2.9%
8.5%
2¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
Not listed
1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Evil Dead Burn
2.9%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 51s agoPolymarket 0.6%polled, 51s agoPolymarket 8.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Evil Dead Burn
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,571 (35.7x)
- Volume
- $397
Polymarket
- Contract
- Evil Dead Burn
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $261
Polymarket
- Contract
- Evil Dead Burn
- Last price
- 8.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
- Volume
- $40
Ice Age2.5%2.5%0.2¢ bid, 4.8¢ askpolled, 4 min agoNot listed4.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)Ice Age2.5%Polymarket 2.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 4.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Ice Age
2.5%
2.5%
0.2¢ bid, 4.8¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
Not listed
4.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Ice Age
2.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 4.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ice Age
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,083 (20.8x)
- Volume
- $242
Ice Age: Collision Course2.5%2.5%0.2¢ bid, 4.8¢ askpolled, 4 min agoNot listed4.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)Ice Age: Collision Course2.5%Polymarket 2.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 4.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Ice Age: Collision Course
2.5%
2.5%
0.2¢ bid, 4.8¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
Not listed
4.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Ice Age: Collision Course
2.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 4.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ice Age: Collision Course
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,083 (20.8x)
- Volume
- $243
Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs2.5%2.5%0.2¢ bid, 4.8¢ askpolled, 4 min agoNot listed4.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs2.5%Polymarket 2.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 4.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs
2.5%
2.5%
0.2¢ bid, 4.8¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
Not listed
4.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs
2.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 4.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,083 (20.8x)
- Volume
- $242
Terry McMillan Presents: Preach, Pray, Love2.2%2.6%0.3¢ bid, 4.8¢ askpolled, 4 min agoNot listed1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Terry McMillan Presents: Preach, Pray, Love2.2%Polymarket 3%polled, 51s agoPolymarket 0.6%polled, 51s agoPolymarket 2.6%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Terry McMillan Presents: Preach, Pray, Love
2.2%
2.6%
0.3¢ bid, 4.8¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
Not listed
1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Terry McMillan Presents: Preach, Pray, Love
2.2%
Polymarket 3%polled, 51s agoPolymarket 0.6%polled, 51s agoPolymarket 2.6%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Terry McMillan Presents: Preach, Pray, Love
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,041 (20.4x)
- Volume
- $117
Polymarket
- Contract
- Terry McMillan Presents: Preach, Pray, Love
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $77
Polymarket
- Contract
- Terry McMillan Presents: Preach, Pray, Love
- Last price
- 2.6%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,083 (20.8x)
- Volume
- $242
East of Eden: Limited Series1%Not listed1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 51s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)East of Eden: Limited Series1%Kalshi 1%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
East of Eden: Limited Series
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 51s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
East of Eden: Limited Series
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- East of Eden: Limited Series
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $721
Instadocs: AI Gone Wild1%Not listed1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 51s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Instadocs: AI Gone Wild1%Kalshi 1%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Instadocs: AI Gone Wild
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 51s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Instadocs: AI Gone Wild
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Instadocs: AI Gone Wild
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $5
TYSON: Limited Series1%Not listed1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 51s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)TYSON: Limited Series1%Kalshi 1%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
TYSON: Limited Series
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 51s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
TYSON: Limited Series
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- TYSON: Limited Series
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $155
Haunted Hotel: Season 20.5%Not listed0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 51s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Haunted Hotel: Season 20.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Haunted Hotel: Season 2
0.5%
Not listed
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 51s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Haunted Hotel: Season 2
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Haunted Hotel: Season 2
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Is It Cake? Halloween: Season 20.5%Not listed0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 51s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Is It Cake? Halloween: Season 20.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Is It Cake? Halloween: Season 2
0.5%
Not listed
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 51s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Is It Cake? Halloween: Season 2
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Is It Cake? Halloween: Season 2
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Michael Che: Shot in Minnesota0.5%Not listed0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 51s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Michael Che: Shot in Minnesota0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Michael Che: Shot in Minnesota
0.5%
Not listed
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 51s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Michael Che: Shot in Minnesota
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Michael Che: Shot in Minnesota
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Raw: 2026 - October 12, 20260.5%Not listed0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 51s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Raw: 2026 - October 12, 20260.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Raw: 2026 - October 12, 2026
0.5%
Not listed
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 51s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Raw: 2026 - October 12, 2026
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 51s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Raw: 2026 - October 12, 2026
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle, source: netflix.com, netflix.com
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Netflix
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Love Is Blind: S11: Boston
- The New Stanford Prison Experiment
- Animals
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Polymarket
Polymarket doesn’t list Love Is Blind: S11: Boston for this event.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "#2 US Netflix Show this week?". Love Is Blind: S11: Boston leads at 51%. Next is The New Stanford Prison Experiment at 48%. $6K has traded across 23 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 27, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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