The Prediction Markets

2026 CFL Grey Cup Champion

Closes
Nov 30, 2026, in 38 days
Traded
$16K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

Edmonton Elks 29.6%

Next is Montreal Alouettes at 27.5%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Edmonton Elks 29.6%Montreal Alouettes 27.5%British Columbia Lions 18.4%Toronto Argonauts 9.2%Saskatchewan Roughriders 5.1%4 others 10.2%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Edmonton Elks
29.6%
Kalshi 29%(29.6% fair)polled, 57s agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Edmonton Elks
Last price
29%
Fair, margin removed
29.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Montreal Alouettes
27.5%
Kalshi 27%(27.6% fair)polled, 57s agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Kalshi
Contract
Montreal Alouettes
Last price
27%
Fair, margin removed
27.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
British Columbia Lions
18.4%
Kalshi 18%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
British Columbia Lions
Last price
18%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Toronto Argonauts
9.2%
Kalshi 9%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Toronto Argonauts
Last price
9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Volume
$96
Trade this on Kalshi
Saskatchewan Roughriders
5.1%
Kalshi 5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Saskatchewan Roughriders
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Calgary Stampeders
4.1%
Kalshi 4%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Calgary Stampeders
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$240
Trade this on Kalshi
Winnipeg Blue Bombers
4.1%
Kalshi 4%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Winnipeg Blue Bombers
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Hamilton Tiger-Cats
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Hamilton Tiger-Cats
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$482
Trade this on Kalshi
Ottawa Redblacks
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ottawa Redblacks
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$371
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: CFL, ESPN, Fox Sports

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Edmonton Elks
  • Montreal Alouettes
  • British Columbia Lions

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "2026 CFL Grey Cup Champion". Edmonton Elks leads at 29.6%. Next is Montreal Alouettes at 27.5%. $16K has traded across 9 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 30, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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