Top of book
ConnectingBest bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—
Waiting for the first live quote…
This market has closed
Trading ended on Jul 20, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets
Odds by venue
Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 159 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
Outcome
Fair chance
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Best Yes price
Kylian Mbappe14.9%16.5%14.9% fair16¢ bid, 17¢ askpolled, 3818 h ago17¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $588 (5.88x)Kylian Mbappe14.9%Polymarket 16.5%(14.9% fair)polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 17¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kylian Mbappe
14.9%
16.5%
14.9% fair
16¢ bid, 17¢ ask
polled, 3818 h ago
17¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kylian Mbappe
14.9%
Polymarket 16.5%(14.9% fair)polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 17¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Kylian Mbappe
- Last price
- 16.5%
- Fair, margin removed
- 14.9%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- 16¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
- Volume
- $11K
Harry Kane12.2%13.5%12.2% fair13¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 3818 h ago14¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Harry Kane12.2%Polymarket 13.5%(12.2% fair)polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Harry Kane
12.2%
13.5%
12.2% fair
13¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 3818 h ago
14¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Harry Kane
12.2%
Polymarket 13.5%(12.2% fair)polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Harry Kane
- Last price
- 13.5%
- Fair, margin removed
- 12.2%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 13¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
- Volume
- $4K
Erling Haaland6.3%7%6.3% fair6¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 3818 h ago8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Erling Haaland6.3%Polymarket 7%(6.3% fair)polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Erling Haaland
6.3%
7%
6.3% fair
6¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 3818 h ago
8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Erling Haaland
6.3%
Polymarket 7%(6.3% fair)polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Erling Haaland
- Last price
- 7%
- Fair, margin removed
- 6.3%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $6K
Mikel Oyarzabal5.9%6.5%5.9% fair6¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 3818 h ago7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Mikel Oyarzabal5.9%Polymarket 6.5%(5.9% fair)polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Mikel Oyarzabal
5.9%
6.5%
5.9% fair
6¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 3818 h ago
7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Mikel Oyarzabal
5.9%
Polymarket 6.5%(5.9% fair)polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Mikel Oyarzabal
- Last price
- 6.5%
- Fair, margin removed
- 5.9%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $6K
Ousmane Dembele5.9%6.6%5.9% fair5.2¢ bid, 7.9¢ askpolled, 3818 h ago7.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,266 (12.7x)Ousmane Dembele5.9%Polymarket 6.6%(5.9% fair)polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 7.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,266 (12.7x)
Ousmane Dembele
5.9%
6.6%
5.9% fair
5.2¢ bid, 7.9¢ ask
polled, 3818 h ago
7.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,266 (12.7x)
Ousmane Dembele
5.9%
Polymarket 6.6%(5.9% fair)polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 7.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,266 (12.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ousmane Dembele
- Last price
- 6.6%
- Fair, margin removed
- 5.9%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 7.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 5.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,266 (12.7x)
- Volume
- $4K
Lionel Messi5.6%6.3%5.6% fair5.5¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 3818 h ago7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Lionel Messi5.6%Polymarket 6.3%(5.6% fair)polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Lionel Messi
5.6%
6.3%
5.6% fair
5.5¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 3818 h ago
7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Lionel Messi
5.6%
Polymarket 6.3%(5.6% fair)polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Lionel Messi
- Last price
- 6.3%
- Fair, margin removed
- 5.6%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 5.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $3K
Lamine Yamal4.3%4.8%4.7¢ bid, 4.8¢ askpolled, 3818 h ago4.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)Lamine Yamal4.3%Polymarket 4.8%polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 4.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Lamine Yamal
4.3%
4.8%
4.7¢ bid, 4.8¢ ask
polled, 3818 h ago
4.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Lamine Yamal
4.3%
Polymarket 4.8%polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 4.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Lamine Yamal
- Last price
- 4.8%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 4.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 4.7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,083 (20.8x)
- Volume
- $4K
Cristiano Ronaldo3.6%4.1%3.3¢ bid, 4.8¢ askpolled, 3818 h ago4.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)Cristiano Ronaldo3.6%Polymarket 4.1%polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 4.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Cristiano Ronaldo
3.6%
4.1%
3.3¢ bid, 4.8¢ ask
polled, 3818 h ago
4.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Cristiano Ronaldo
3.6%
Polymarket 4.1%polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 4.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Cristiano Ronaldo
- Last price
- 4.1%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 4.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 3.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,083 (20.8x)
- Volume
- $6K
Lautaro Martinez3.2%3.6%3.4¢ bid, 3.7¢ askpolled, 3818 h ago3.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,703 (27.0x)Lautaro Martinez3.2%Polymarket 3.6%polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 3.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,703 (27.0x)
Lautaro Martinez
3.2%
3.6%
3.4¢ bid, 3.7¢ ask
polled, 3818 h ago
3.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,703 (27.0x)
Lautaro Martinez
3.2%
Polymarket 3.6%polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 3.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,703 (27.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Lautaro Martinez
- Last price
- 3.6%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 3.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 3.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,703 (27.0x)
- Volume
- $1K
Michael Olise3.2%3.6%3.5¢ bid, 3.6¢ askpolled, 3818 h ago3.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,778 (27.8x)Michael Olise3.2%Polymarket 3.6%polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 3.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,778 (27.8x)
Michael Olise
3.2%
3.6%
3.5¢ bid, 3.6¢ ask
polled, 3818 h ago
3.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,778 (27.8x)
Michael Olise
3.2%
Polymarket 3.6%polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 3.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,778 (27.8x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Michael Olise
- Last price
- 3.6%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 3.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 3.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,778 (27.8x)
- Volume
- $5K
Show 34 more outcomesHide 34 outcomes
Vinicius Junior3%3.3%2.8¢ bid, 3.8¢ askpolled, 3818 h ago3.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,632 (26.3x)Vinicius Junior3%Polymarket 3.3%polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 3.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,632 (26.3x)
Vinicius Junior
3%
3.3%
2.8¢ bid, 3.8¢ ask
polled, 3818 h ago
3.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,632 (26.3x)
Vinicius Junior
3%
Polymarket 3.3%polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 3.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,632 (26.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Vinicius Junior
- Last price
- 3.3%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 3.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 2.8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,632 (26.3x)
- Volume
- $2K
Julian Alvarez2.8%3.2%3¢ bid, 3.3¢ askpolled, 3818 h ago3.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $3,030 (30.3x)Julian Alvarez2.8%Polymarket 3.2%polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 3.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,030 (30.3x)
Julian Alvarez
2.8%
3.2%
3¢ bid, 3.3¢ ask
polled, 3818 h ago
3.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $3,030 (30.3x)
Julian Alvarez
2.8%
Polymarket 3.2%polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 3.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,030 (30.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Julian Alvarez
- Last price
- 3.2%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 3.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,030 (30.3x)
- Volume
- $4K
Raphinha2.3%2.5%1.7¢ bid, 3.3¢ askpolled, 3818 h ago3.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $3,030 (30.3x)Raphinha2.3%Polymarket 2.5%polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 3.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,030 (30.3x)
Raphinha
2.3%
2.5%
1.7¢ bid, 3.3¢ ask
polled, 3818 h ago
3.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $3,030 (30.3x)
Raphinha
2.3%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 3.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,030 (30.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Raphinha
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 3.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,030 (30.3x)
- Volume
- $2K
Deniz Undav2.1%2.3%1¢ bid, 3.6¢ askpolled, 3818 h ago3.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,778 (27.8x)Deniz Undav2.1%Polymarket 2.3%polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 3.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,778 (27.8x)
Deniz Undav
2.1%
2.3%
1¢ bid, 3.6¢ ask
polled, 3818 h ago
3.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,778 (27.8x)
Deniz Undav
2.1%
Polymarket 2.3%polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 3.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,778 (27.8x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Deniz Undav
- Last price
- 2.3%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 3.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,778 (27.8x)
- Volume
- $568
Ferran Torres2.1%2.4%2.3¢ bid, 2.4¢ askpolled, 3818 h ago2.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $4,167 (41.7x)Ferran Torres2.1%Polymarket 2.4%polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 2.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,167 (41.7x)
Ferran Torres
2.1%
2.4%
2.3¢ bid, 2.4¢ ask
polled, 3818 h ago
2.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $4,167 (41.7x)
Ferran Torres
2.1%
Polymarket 2.4%polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 2.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,167 (41.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ferran Torres
- Last price
- 2.4%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 2.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 2.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $4,167 (41.7x)
- Volume
- $6K
Bruno Fernandes1.9%2.1%1.7¢ bid, 2.5¢ askpolled, 3818 h ago2.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $4,000 (40.0x)Bruno Fernandes1.9%Polymarket 2.1%polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 2.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,000 (40.0x)
Bruno Fernandes
1.9%
2.1%
1.7¢ bid, 2.5¢ ask
polled, 3818 h ago
2.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $4,000 (40.0x)
Bruno Fernandes
1.9%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 2.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,000 (40.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Bruno Fernandes
- Last price
- 2.1%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 2.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $4,000 (40.0x)
- Volume
- $1K
Igor Thiago1.7%1.9%1.5¢ bid, 2.3¢ askpolled, 3818 h ago2.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $4,348 (43.5x)Igor Thiago1.7%Polymarket 1.9%polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 2.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,348 (43.5x)
Igor Thiago
1.7%
1.9%
1.5¢ bid, 2.3¢ ask
polled, 3818 h ago
2.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $4,348 (43.5x)
Igor Thiago
1.7%
Polymarket 1.9%polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 2.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,348 (43.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Igor Thiago
- Last price
- 1.9%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 2.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $4,348 (43.5x)
- Volume
- $811
Cody Gakpo1.4%1.6%1.1¢ bid, 2.1¢ askpolled, 3818 h ago2.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $4,762 (47.6x)Cody Gakpo1.4%Polymarket 1.6%polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 2.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,762 (47.6x)
Cody Gakpo
1.4%
1.6%
1.1¢ bid, 2.1¢ ask
polled, 3818 h ago
2.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $4,762 (47.6x)
Cody Gakpo
1.4%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 2.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,762 (47.6x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Cody Gakpo
- Last price
- 1.6%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 2.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $4,762 (47.6x)
- Volume
- $841
Rafael Leao1.4%1.6%1.4¢ bid, 1.7¢ askpolled, 3818 h ago1.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)Rafael Leao1.4%Polymarket 1.6%polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 1.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Rafael Leao
1.4%
1.6%
1.4¢ bid, 1.7¢ ask
polled, 3818 h ago
1.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Rafael Leao
1.4%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 1.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Rafael Leao
- Last price
- 1.6%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,882 (58.8x)
- Volume
- $375
Scott McTominay1.4%1.5%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 3818 h ago2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Scott McTominay1.4%Polymarket 1.5%polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Scott McTominay
1.4%
1.5%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 3818 h ago
2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Scott McTominay
1.4%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Scott McTominay
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $708
Viktor Gyökeres1.3%1.5%1.3¢ bid, 1.6¢ askpolled, 3818 h ago1.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)Viktor Gyökeres1.3%Polymarket 1.5%polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 1.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Viktor Gyökeres
1.3%
1.5%
1.3¢ bid, 1.6¢ ask
polled, 3818 h ago
1.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Viktor Gyökeres
1.3%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 1.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Viktor Gyökeres
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $6,250 (62.5x)
- Volume
- $430
Depay Memphis1.2%1.4%0.6¢ bid, 2.1¢ askpolled, 3818 h ago2.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $4,762 (47.6x)Depay Memphis1.2%Polymarket 1.4%polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 2.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,762 (47.6x)
Depay Memphis
1.2%
1.4%
0.6¢ bid, 2.1¢ ask
polled, 3818 h ago
2.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $4,762 (47.6x)
Depay Memphis
1.2%
Polymarket 1.4%polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 2.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,762 (47.6x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Depay Memphis
- Last price
- 1.4%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 2.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $4,762 (47.6x)
- Volume
- $700
Mohamed Salah1.2%1.3%0.8¢ bid, 1.8¢ askpolled, 3818 h ago1.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)Mohamed Salah1.2%Polymarket 1.3%polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 1.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Mohamed Salah
1.2%
1.3%
0.8¢ bid, 1.8¢ ask
polled, 3818 h ago
1.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Mohamed Salah
1.2%
Polymarket 1.3%polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 1.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Mohamed Salah
- Last price
- 1.3%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,556 (55.6x)
- Volume
- $420
Bukayo Saka1.1%1.3%1¢ bid, 1.5¢ askpolled, 3818 h ago1.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)Bukayo Saka1.1%Polymarket 1.3%polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 1.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Bukayo Saka
1.1%
1.3%
1¢ bid, 1.5¢ ask
polled, 3818 h ago
1.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Bukayo Saka
1.1%
Polymarket 1.3%polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 1.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Bukayo Saka
- Last price
- 1.3%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $6,667 (66.7x)
- Volume
- $2K
Andrej Kramarić1%1.2%0.7¢ bid, 1.6¢ askpolled, 3818 h ago1.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)Andrej Kramarić1%Polymarket 1.2%polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 1.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Andrej Kramarić
1%
1.2%
0.7¢ bid, 1.6¢ ask
polled, 3818 h ago
1.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Andrej Kramarić
1%
Polymarket 1.2%polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 1.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Andrej Kramarić
- Last price
- 1.2%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $6,250 (62.5x)
- Volume
- $227
Heung-Min Son1%1.2%0.5¢ bid, 1.8¢ askpolled, 3818 h ago1.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)Heung-Min Son1%Polymarket 1.2%polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 1.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Heung-Min Son
1%
1.2%
0.5¢ bid, 1.8¢ ask
polled, 3818 h ago
1.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Heung-Min Son
1%
Polymarket 1.2%polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 1.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Heung-Min Son
- Last price
- 1.2%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,556 (55.6x)
- Volume
- $603
Marcus Thuram0.9%1%0.7¢ bid, 1.3¢ askpolled, 3818 h ago1.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)Marcus Thuram0.9%Polymarket 1%polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 1.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)
Marcus Thuram
0.9%
1%
0.7¢ bid, 1.3¢ ask
polled, 3818 h ago
1.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)
Marcus Thuram
0.9%
Polymarket 1%polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 1.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Marcus Thuram
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $7,692 (76.9x)
- Volume
- $423
Luis Diaz0.7%0.8%0.6¢ bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3818 h ago1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Luis Diaz0.7%Polymarket 0.8%polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Luis Diaz
0.7%
0.8%
0.6¢ bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3818 h ago
1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Luis Diaz
0.7%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Luis Diaz
- Last price
- 0.8%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $1K
Jude Bellingham0.6%0.7%0.5¢ bid, 0.9¢ askpolled, 3818 h ago0.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $11,111 (111x)Jude Bellingham0.6%Polymarket 0.7%polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Jude Bellingham
0.6%
0.7%
0.5¢ bid, 0.9¢ ask
polled, 3818 h ago
0.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Jude Bellingham
0.6%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Jude Bellingham
- Last price
- 0.7%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $11,111 (111x)
- Volume
- $361
Rodrygo0.6%0.7%0.3¢ bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3818 h ago1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Rodrygo0.6%Polymarket 0.7%polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Rodrygo
0.6%
0.7%
0.3¢ bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3818 h ago
1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Rodrygo
0.6%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Rodrygo
- Last price
- 0.7%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $4K
Amad Diallo0.5%0.5%0.1¢ bid, 0.9¢ askpolled, 3818 h ago0.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $11,111 (111x)Amad Diallo0.5%Polymarket 0.5%polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Amad Diallo
0.5%
0.5%
0.1¢ bid, 0.9¢ ask
polled, 3818 h ago
0.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Amad Diallo
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Amad Diallo
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $11,111 (111x)
- Volume
- $296
Dani Olmo0.5%0.5%0.4¢ bid, 0.6¢ askpolled, 3818 h ago0.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $16,667 (167x)Dani Olmo0.5%Polymarket 0.5%polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Dani Olmo
0.5%
0.5%
0.4¢ bid, 0.6¢ ask
polled, 3818 h ago
0.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Dani Olmo
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Dani Olmo
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $16,667 (167x)
- Volume
- $359
Federico Valverde0.5%0.6%0.5¢ bid, 0.6¢ askpolled, 3818 h ago0.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $16,667 (167x)Federico Valverde0.5%Polymarket 0.6%polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Federico Valverde
0.5%
0.6%
0.5¢ bid, 0.6¢ ask
polled, 3818 h ago
0.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Federico Valverde
0.5%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Federico Valverde
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $16,667 (167x)
- Volume
- $289
Pedri0.5%0.6%0.5¢ bid, 0.7¢ askpolled, 3818 h ago0.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $14,286 (143x)Pedri0.5%Polymarket 0.6%polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Pedri
0.5%
0.6%
0.5¢ bid, 0.7¢ ask
polled, 3818 h ago
0.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Pedri
0.5%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Pedri
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $14,286 (143x)
- Volume
- $466
Sadio Mane0.5%0.6%0.5¢ bid, 0.6¢ askpolled, 3818 h ago0.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $16,667 (167x)Sadio Mane0.5%Polymarket 0.6%polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Sadio Mane
0.5%
0.6%
0.5¢ bid, 0.6¢ ask
polled, 3818 h ago
0.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Sadio Mane
0.5%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Sadio Mane
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $16,667 (167x)
- Volume
- $296
Antoine Semenyo0.4%0.5%0.4¢ bid, 0.5¢ askpolled, 3818 h ago0.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $20,000 (200x)Antoine Semenyo0.4%Polymarket 0.5%polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Antoine Semenyo
0.4%
0.5%
0.4¢ bid, 0.5¢ ask
polled, 3818 h ago
0.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Antoine Semenyo
0.4%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Antoine Semenyo
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $20,000 (200x)
- Volume
- $289
Desire Doue0.4%0.5%0.4¢ bid, 0.6¢ askpolled, 3818 h ago0.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $16,667 (167x)Desire Doue0.4%Polymarket 0.5%polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Desire Doue
0.4%
0.5%
0.4¢ bid, 0.6¢ ask
polled, 3818 h ago
0.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Desire Doue
0.4%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Desire Doue
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $16,667 (167x)
- Volume
- $289
Edin Džeko0.4%0.5%0.1¢ bid, 0.8¢ askpolled, 3818 h ago0.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $12,500 (125x)Edin Džeko0.4%Polymarket 0.5%polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 0.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Edin Džeko
0.4%
0.5%
0.1¢ bid, 0.8¢ ask
polled, 3818 h ago
0.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Edin Džeko
0.4%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 0.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Edin Džeko
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $12,500 (125x)
- Volume
- $249
Ivan Perišić0.3%0.3%0.2¢ bid, 0.4¢ askpolled, 3818 h ago0.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $25,000 (250x)Ivan Perišić0.3%Polymarket 0.3%polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Ivan Perišić
0.3%
0.3%
0.2¢ bid, 0.4¢ ask
polled, 3818 h ago
0.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Ivan Perišić
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ivan Perišić
- Last price
- 0.3%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $25,000 (250x)
- Volume
- $234
Luis Javier Suárez0.3%0.3%0.1¢ bid, 0.5¢ askpolled, 3818 h ago0.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $20,000 (200x)Luis Javier Suárez0.3%Polymarket 0.3%polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Luis Javier Suárez
0.3%
0.3%
0.1¢ bid, 0.5¢ ask
polled, 3818 h ago
0.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Luis Javier Suárez
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Luis Javier Suárez
- Last price
- 0.3%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $20,000 (200x)
- Volume
- $614
Serge Gnabry0.3%0.4%0.2¢ bid, 0.5¢ askpolled, 3818 h ago0.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $20,000 (200x)Serge Gnabry0.3%Polymarket 0.4%polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Serge Gnabry
0.3%
0.4%
0.2¢ bid, 0.5¢ ask
polled, 3818 h ago
0.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Serge Gnabry
0.3%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Serge Gnabry
- Last price
- 0.4%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $20,000 (200x)
- Volume
- $6K
Bradley Barcola0.2%0.2%0.1¢ bid, 0.3¢ askpolled, 3818 h ago0.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $33,333 (333x)Bradley Barcola0.2%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Bradley Barcola
0.2%
0.2%
0.1¢ bid, 0.3¢ ask
polled, 3818 h ago
0.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Bradley Barcola
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Bradley Barcola
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $33,333 (333x)
- Volume
- $289
Dion Beljo0.2%0.3%0.1¢ bid, 0.4¢ askpolled, 3818 h ago0.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $25,000 (250x)Dion Beljo0.2%Polymarket 0.3%polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Dion Beljo
0.2%
0.3%
0.1¢ bid, 0.4¢ ask
polled, 3818 h ago
0.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Dion Beljo
0.2%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Dion Beljo
- Last price
- 0.3%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $25,000 (250x)
- Volume
- $278
Noah Okafor0.2%0.3%0.2¢ bid, 0.3¢ askpolled, 3818 h ago0.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $33,333 (333x)Noah Okafor0.2%Polymarket 0.3%polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Noah Okafor
0.2%
0.3%
0.2¢ bid, 0.3¢ ask
polled, 3818 h ago
0.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Noah Okafor
0.2%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 3818 h agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Noah Okafor
- Last price
- 0.3%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $33,333 (333x)
- Volume
- $401
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Kylian Mbappe
- Harry Kane
- Erling Haaland
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Final prediction market prices for "2026 FIFA World Cup: Top Goalscorer". Kylian Mbappe last traded at 14.9%. Next is Harry Kane at 12.2%. $87K has traded across 44 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Jul 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
More sports markets
See all sports markets- F1 Drivers' ChampionKimi Antonelli97.6%$204.6M traded
- 2027 Pro Football ChampionSan Francisco15%$196.3M traded
- Pro Baseball ChampionMilwaukee65.6%$134.1M traded
- College Football National Championship WinnerGeorgia17%$63.9M traded
- 2027 Pro Basketball ChampionOklahoma City25%$45.4M traded
- MVP Winner?Josh Allen27%$36.8M traded