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ConnectingBest bid
—
Spread
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Best ask
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Waiting for the first live quote…
What the markets expect
Grand Theft Auto VI 66.4%
Next is Resident Evil Requiem at 7.4%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 3 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Fair chance
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Grand Theft Auto VI66.4%81%66.4% fair80¢ bid, 81¢ askpolled, 3 h ago81¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $123 (1.23x)Grand Theft Auto VI66.4%Kalshi 81%(66.4% fair)polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Grand Theft Auto VI
66.4%
81%
66.4% fair
80¢ bid, 81¢ ask
polled, 3 h ago
81¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Grand Theft Auto VI
66.4%
Kalshi 81%(66.4% fair)polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Grand Theft Auto VI
- Last price
- 81%
- Fair, margin removed
- 66.4%
- As of
- Polled 3 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 81¢
- Sell Yes
- 80¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $123 (1.23x)
- Volume
- $510K
Resident Evil Requiem7.4%9%7.4% fair8¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 3 h ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Resident Evil Requiem7.4%Kalshi 9%(7.4% fair)polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Resident Evil Requiem
7.4%
9%
7.4% fair
8¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 3 h ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Resident Evil Requiem
7.4%
Kalshi 9%(7.4% fair)polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Resident Evil Requiem
- Last price
- 9%
- Fair, margin removed
- 7.4%
- As of
- Polled 3 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $307K
Phantom Blade Zero4.9%6%4.9% fair5¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 3 h ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Phantom Blade Zero4.9%Kalshi 6%(4.9% fair)polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Phantom Blade Zero
4.9%
6%
4.9% fair
5¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 3 h ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Phantom Blade Zero
4.9%
Kalshi 6%(4.9% fair)polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Phantom Blade Zero
- Last price
- 6%
- Fair, margin removed
- 4.9%
- As of
- Polled 3 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $180K
Big Walk1.7%2%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 3 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Big Walk1.7%Kalshi 2%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Big Walk
1.7%
2%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 3 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Big Walk
1.7%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Big Walk
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 3 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $110K
Control Resonant1.7%2%2¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, 3 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Control Resonant1.7%Kalshi 2%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Control Resonant
1.7%
2%
2¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 3 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Control Resonant
1.7%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Control Resonant
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 3 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $156K
Crimson Desert1.7%2%2¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, 3 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Crimson Desert1.7%Kalshi 2%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Crimson Desert
1.7%
2%
2¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 3 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Crimson Desert
1.7%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Crimson Desert
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 3 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $421K
007 First Light0.9%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)007 First Light0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
007 First Light
0.9%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
007 First Light
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 007 First Light
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 3 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $1K
Cairn0.9%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Cairn0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Cairn
0.9%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Cairn
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cairn
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 3 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $6K
Esoteric Ebb0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Esoteric Ebb0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Esoteric Ebb
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Esoteric Ebb
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Esoteric Ebb
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 3 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $4K
Fable0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Fable0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Fable
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Fable
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Fable
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 3 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $76K
Show 16 more outcomesHide 16 outcomes
Forza Horizon 60.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Forza Horizon 60.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Forza Horizon 6
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Forza Horizon 6
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Forza Horizon 6
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 3 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $465
Gears of War: E-Day0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Gears of War: E-Day0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Gears of War: E-Day
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Gears of War: E-Day
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Gears of War: E-Day
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 3 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $6K
Half-Life 30.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Half-Life 30.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Half-Life 3
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Half-Life 3
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Half-Life 3
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 3 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $79K
Marathon0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Marathon0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Marathon
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Marathon
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Marathon
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 3 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $31K
Marvel's Wolverine0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Marvel's Wolverine0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Marvel's Wolverine
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Marvel's Wolverine
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Marvel's Wolverine
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 3 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $150K
Mewgenics0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Mewgenics0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Mewgenics
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Mewgenics
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Mewgenics
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 3 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $2K
Mina the Hollower0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Mina the Hollower0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Mina the Hollower
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Mina the Hollower
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Mina the Hollower
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 3 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $2K
Onimusha: Way of the Sword0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Onimusha: Way of the Sword0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Onimusha: Way of the Sword
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Onimusha: Way of the Sword
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Onimusha: Way of the Sword
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 3 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $83K
Pragmata0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Pragmata0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Pragmata
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Pragmata
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Pragmata
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 3 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $150K
Saros0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Saros0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Saros
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Saros
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Saros
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 3 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $41K
Slay the Spire 20.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Slay the Spire 20.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Slay the Spire 2
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Slay the Spire 2
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Slay the Spire 2
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 3 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $49K
Stranger Than Heaven0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Stranger Than Heaven0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Stranger Than Heaven
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Stranger Than Heaven
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Stranger Than Heaven
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 3 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $41K
The Blood of Dawnwalker0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)The Blood of Dawnwalker0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
The Blood of Dawnwalker
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
The Blood of Dawnwalker
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- The Blood of Dawnwalker
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 3 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $73K
The Duskbloods0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)The Duskbloods0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
The Duskbloods
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
The Duskbloods
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- The Duskbloods
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 3 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $39K
Tie0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Tie0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Tie
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Tie
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tie
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 3 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $58K
Trails in the Sky 2nd Chapter0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Trails in the Sky 2nd Chapter0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Trails in the Sky 2nd Chapter
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Trails in the Sky 2nd Chapter
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Trails in the Sky 2nd Chapter
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 3 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $100
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Game Awards
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Grand Theft Auto VI
- Resident Evil Requiem
- Phantom Blade Zero
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "2026 Game of the Year?". Grand Theft Auto VI leads at 66.4%. Next is Resident Evil Requiem at 7.4%. $2.6M has traded across 26 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 31, 2027.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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