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What the markets expect
Oklahoma City 19%
Next is San Antonio at 17%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Oklahoma City19%19%11¢ bid, 19¢ askpolled, 40s ago19¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $526 (5.26x)Oklahoma City19%Kalshi 19%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Oklahoma City
19%
19%
11¢ bid, 19¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
19¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Oklahoma City
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Oklahoma City
- Last price
- 19%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 19¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $526 (5.26x)
- Volume
- $1K
San Antonio17%17%13¢ bid, 17¢ askpolled, 40s ago17¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $588 (5.88x)San Antonio17%Kalshi 17%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
San Antonio
17%
17%
13¢ bid, 17¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
17¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
San Antonio
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- San Antonio
- Last price
- 17%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- 13¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
- Volume
- $3K
Minnesota16%16%9¢ bid, 17¢ askpolled, 40s ago17¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $588 (5.88x)Minnesota16%Kalshi 16%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Minnesota
16%
16%
9¢ bid, 17¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
17¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Minnesota
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Minnesota
- Last price
- 16%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
- Volume
- $6K
Los Angeles L15%15%5¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 40s ago15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Los Angeles L15%Kalshi 15%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Los Angeles L
15%
15%
5¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Los Angeles L
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Los Angeles L
- Last price
- 15%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
- Volume
- $2K
Philadelphia9%9%5¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 40s ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Philadelphia9%Kalshi 9%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Philadelphia
9%
9%
5¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Philadelphia
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Philadelphia
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $4K
Portland9%9%2¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 40s ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Portland9%Kalshi 9%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Portland
9%
9%
2¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Portland
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Portland
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $429
Toronto8%8%4¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 40s ago15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Toronto8%Kalshi 8%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Toronto
8%
8%
4¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Toronto
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Toronto
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
- Volume
- $1K
Detroit7%7%6¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 40s ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Detroit7%Kalshi 7%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Detroit
7%
7%
6¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Detroit
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Detroit
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $315
Utah7%7%1¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 40s ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Utah7%Kalshi 7%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Utah
7%
7%
1¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Utah
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Utah
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $1K
Boston6%6%2¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 40s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Boston6%Kalshi 6%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Boston
6%
6%
2¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Boston
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Boston
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $1K
Show 20 more outcomesHide 20 outcomes
New York6%6%6¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 40s ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)New York6%Kalshi 6%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
New York
6%
6%
6¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
New York
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New York
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $1K
Cleveland5%5%1¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 40s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Cleveland5%Kalshi 5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Cleveland
5%
5%
1¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Cleveland
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cleveland
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $400
Denver5%5%4¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 40s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Denver5%Kalshi 5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Denver
5%
5%
4¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Denver
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Denver
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $348
Houston5%5%3¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 40s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Houston5%Kalshi 5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Houston
5%
5%
3¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Houston
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Houston
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $259
Indiana5%5%1¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 40s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Indiana5%Kalshi 5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Indiana
5%
5%
1¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Indiana
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Indiana
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $2K
Miami5%5%3¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 40s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Miami5%Kalshi 5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Miami
5%
5%
3¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Miami
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Miami
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $7K
Atlanta2%2%1¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 40s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Atlanta2%Kalshi 2%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Atlanta
2%
2%
1¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Atlanta
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Atlanta
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $183
Dallas2%2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 40s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Dallas2%Kalshi 2%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Dallas
2%
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Dallas
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dallas
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $1K
Golden State2%2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 40s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Golden State2%Kalshi 2%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Golden State
2%
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Golden State
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Golden State
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $193
Orlando2%2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 40s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Orlando2%Kalshi 2%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Orlando
2%
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Orlando
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Orlando
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $89
Sacramento2%2%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 40s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Sacramento2%Kalshi 2%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Sacramento
2%
2%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Sacramento
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Sacramento
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $155
Brooklyn1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 40s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Brooklyn1%Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Brooklyn
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Brooklyn
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Brooklyn
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $31
Charlotte1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 40s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Charlotte1%Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Charlotte
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Charlotte
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Charlotte
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $32
Chicago1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 40s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Chicago1%Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Chicago
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Chicago
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chicago
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $43
Los Angeles C1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 40s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Los Angeles C1%Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Los Angeles C
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Los Angeles C
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Los Angeles C
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $25
Memphis1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 40s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Memphis1%Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Memphis
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Memphis
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Memphis
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $25
Milwaukee1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 40s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Milwaukee1%Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Milwaukee
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Milwaukee
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Milwaukee
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $25
New Orleans1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 40s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)New Orleans1%Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
New Orleans
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
New Orleans
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New Orleans
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $75
Phoenix1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 40s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Phoenix1%Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Phoenix
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Phoenix
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Phoenix
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $43
Washington1%1%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 40s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Washington1%Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Washington
1%
1%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 40s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Washington
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Washington
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $301
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League, ESPN
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Oklahoma City
- San Antonio
- Minnesota
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "2026 Pro Basketball Cup Champion". Oklahoma City leads at 19%. Next is San Antonio at 17%. $34K has traded across 30 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Feb 14, 2027.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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