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Best ask
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What the markets expect
Japan 38%
Next is Korea Republic at 35%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Japan38%38%36¢ bid, 43¢ askpolled, 59s ago43¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $233 (2.33x)Japan38%Kalshi 38%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Japan
38%
38%
36¢ bid, 43¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
43¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Japan
38%
Kalshi 38%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Japan
- Last price
- 38%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 43¢
- Sell Yes
- 36¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $233 (2.33x)
- Volume
- $7K
Korea Republic35%35%20¢ bid, 48¢ askpolled, 59s ago48¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $208 (2.08x)Korea Republic35%Kalshi 35%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 48¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Korea Republic
35%
35%
20¢ bid, 48¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
48¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Korea Republic
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 48¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Korea Republic
- Last price
- 35%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 48¢
- Sell Yes
- 20¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $208 (2.08x)
- Volume
- $3K
Jordan18%18%5¢ bid, 18¢ askpolled, 59s ago18¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $556 (5.56x)Jordan18%Kalshi 18%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Jordan
18%
18%
5¢ bid, 18¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
18¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Jordan
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jordan
- Last price
- 18%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 18¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $556 (5.56x)
- Volume
- $3K
Korea DPR9%9%— bid, 18¢ askpolled, 59s ago18¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $556 (5.56x)Korea DPR9%Kalshi 9%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Korea DPR
9%
9%
— bid, 18¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
18¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Korea DPR
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Korea DPR
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 18¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $556 (5.56x)
Kuwait9%9%— bid, 18¢ askpolled, 59s ago18¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $556 (5.56x)Kuwait9%Kalshi 9%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kuwait
9%
9%
— bid, 18¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
18¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kuwait
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kuwait
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 18¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $556 (5.56x)
Uzbekistan8.5%8.5%— bid, 17¢ askpolled, 59s ago17¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $588 (5.88x)Uzbekistan8.5%Kalshi 8.5%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Uzbekistan
8.5%
8.5%
— bid, 17¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
17¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Uzbekistan
8.5%
Kalshi 8.5%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Uzbekistan
- Last price
- 8.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
Iraq8%8%— bid, 16¢ askpolled, 59s ago16¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $625 (6.25x)Iraq8%Kalshi 8%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Iraq
8%
8%
— bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
16¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Iraq
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Iraq
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
Palestine8%8%— bid, 8¢ askpolled, 59s ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Palestine8%Kalshi 8%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Palestine
8%
8%
— bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Palestine
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Palestine
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $103
Qatar8%8%— bid, 16¢ askpolled, 59s ago16¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $625 (6.25x)Qatar8%Kalshi 8%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Qatar
8%
8%
— bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
16¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Qatar
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Qatar
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
United Arab Emirates7.5%7.5%— bid, 15¢ askpolled, 59s ago15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)United Arab Emirates7.5%Kalshi 7.5%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
United Arab Emirates
7.5%
7.5%
— bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
United Arab Emirates
7.5%
Kalshi 7.5%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- United Arab Emirates
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
Show 14 more outcomesHide 14 outcomes
Oman6.5%6.5%— bid, 13¢ askpolled, 59s ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Oman6.5%Kalshi 6.5%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Oman
6.5%
6.5%
— bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Oman
6.5%
Kalshi 6.5%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Oman
- Last price
- 6.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
Syria6.5%6.5%— bid, 13¢ askpolled, 59s ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Syria6.5%Kalshi 6.5%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Syria
6.5%
6.5%
— bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Syria
6.5%
Kalshi 6.5%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Syria
- Last price
- 6.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
Thailand6%6%— bid, 12¢ askpolled, 59s ago12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Thailand6%Kalshi 6%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Thailand
6%
6%
— bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Thailand
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Thailand
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
Singapore5.5%5.5%— bid, 11¢ askpolled, 59s ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Singapore5.5%Kalshi 5.5%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Singapore
5.5%
5.5%
— bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Singapore
5.5%
Kalshi 5.5%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Singapore
- Last price
- 5.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
Kyrgyzstan5%5%— bid, 10¢ askpolled, 59s ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Kyrgyzstan5%Kalshi 5%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kyrgyzstan
5%
5%
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kyrgyzstan
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kyrgyzstan
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Saudi Arabia5%5%4¢ bid, 27¢ askpolled, 59s ago27¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $370 (3.70x)Saudi Arabia5%Kalshi 5%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Saudi Arabia
5%
5%
4¢ bid, 27¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
27¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Saudi Arabia
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Saudi Arabia
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 27¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $370 (3.70x)
- Volume
- $22
Indonesia4.5%4.5%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, 59s ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Indonesia4.5%Kalshi 4.5%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Indonesia
4.5%
4.5%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Indonesia
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Indonesia
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
Lebanon4.5%4.5%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, 59s ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Lebanon4.5%Kalshi 4.5%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Lebanon
4.5%
4.5%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Lebanon
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Lebanon
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
Australia3%3%3¢ bid, 31¢ askpolled, 59s ago31¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $323 (3.23x)Australia3%Kalshi 3%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Australia
3%
3%
3¢ bid, 31¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
31¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Australia
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Australia
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 31¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $323 (3.23x)
- Volume
- $11
Bahrain2%2%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, 59s ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Bahrain2%Kalshi 2%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Bahrain
2%
2%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Bahrain
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Bahrain
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $13
China PR2%2%2¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 59s ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)China PR2%Kalshi 2%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
China PR
2%
2%
2¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
China PR
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- China PR
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $26
Tajikistan2%2%— bid, 13¢ askpolled, 59s ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Tajikistan2%Kalshi 2%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Tajikistan
2%
2%
— bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Tajikistan
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tajikistan
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
- Volume
- $40
IR Iran1%1%1¢ bid, 22¢ askpolled, 59s ago22¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $455 (4.55x)IR Iran1%Kalshi 1%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
IR Iran
1%
1%
1¢ bid, 22¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
22¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $455 (4.55x)
IR Iran
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- IR Iran
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 22¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $455 (4.55x)
- Volume
- $61
Vietnam1%1%1¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 59s ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Vietnam1%Kalshi 1%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Vietnam
1%
1%
1¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 59s ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Vietnam
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Vietnam
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $5K
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, Fox Sports
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Japan
- Korea Republic
- Jordan
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "2027 AFC Asian Cup Champion". Japan leads at 38%. Next is Korea Republic at 35%. $19K has traded across 24 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Feb 21, 2027.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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